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NWISA North Regionals

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 1 10 29 39
2 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 31 17 48
3 Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 1 53 17 70
4 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 39 41 80
5 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 38 44 82
6 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 44 39 83
7 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 69 21 90
8 Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 45 53 98
9 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 40 61 101
10 Mercer Island High School Mercer Island High School Islanders 36 66 102
11 Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 46 56 102
12 Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals 61 75 136
13 Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 95 62 157
14 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 81 95 176
15 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 3 100 92 192
16 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 119 86 205
17 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 5 71 139 210
18 Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 2 103 110 213
19 Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 2 94 119 213
20 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 4 104 111 215
21 Seagulls Seagulls Seagulls 122 104 226
22 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 132 117 249
23 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 3 132 133 265
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 10 Perham Black '18
Emmett Carrier '20
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 6 2 8 2 4 9 31 Maggie Toombs '18
Emma Freedman '19
Mercer Island High School Mercer Island High School Islanders 4 4 6 6 9 7 36 Christopher Stoll '19
No Show
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 8 10 4 9 1 6 38 Christopher Warmuth '18
Satone Haratani '19
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 2 3 10 13 7 4 39 Emma Powell '21
Peyton Nienaber '18
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 7 14 3 3 8 5 40 Jordan Wood-Pina '18
Aiden Wright '21
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 11 12 2 7 10 2 44 Ronan Rankin '19
Sol Mehl Zobriest '19
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 3 6 9 10 5 12 45 Margot Watts '19
Colette Royer '18
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 9 5 11 8 12 1 46 Maks Groom '20
Aragorn Crozier '20
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 1 5 8 15 15 2 8 53 Miles Williams '20
Eilidh Haakanson '21
Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals 12 13 5 5 15 11 61 Erik Anderson '21 [1-6]
Everett Rendon '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Gus Rindal '21 [3-4]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 14 11 7 11 11 15 69 Cedric Keneipp '19
Forrest Rehberger '20
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 5 17 7 13 4 16 14 71 Alejandro Ponce '18
Max Scofidio '21
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 13 9 18 17 6 18 81 Thomas Buys '22
Cooper Billiter '22
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 2 20 16 12 12 14 20 94 Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '19
Maddie Taylor '19
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 21 17 16 14 17 10 95 Cole Sokolik '17
Dillon Baijot '21
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 3 18 18 14 16 18 16 100 Gus Roelof '20
Madeline Roberts '21
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 2 10 15 DNS DNS 13 17 103 Addi Kessler '19
Evan Foley '20
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 4 16 20 17 18 20 13 104 Casey Malone '20 [1-6]
Madison Reardon '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jennafer Huffstetler '20 [3-4]
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 19 19 19 20 21 21 119 Fischer Brunzell '21
Reid Fryer '21
Seagulls Seagulls Seagulls 15 21 DNS DNS 19 19 122
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 22 23 20 21 23 23 132 Annika Dunton '21 [1-6]
Maggie Patrick '20 [1-2]
Savannah Sevieri '20 [3-6]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 3 23 22 DNF 19 22 22 132 Emma Paul '20 [1-6]
Kanane Haratani '22 [1-2]
Sameer Shorab '20 [3-4]
Maggie Patrick '20 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 2 1 7 1 3 3 17 Dominick Wareham '19
Millie Kau '19
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 1 4 3 3 3 2 2 17 Van Senseney '19
Abbie Chipps '21
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 9 6 2 2 1 1 21 Sammy Farkas '23
Natalie Serbousek '21
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 1 3 2 1 10 6 7 29 Perham Black '18
Emmett Carrier '20
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 8 8 4 11 4 4 39 Levi Moss '19
Sol Mehl Zobriest '19
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 1 12 8 5 9 6 41 Ria West '22
Giselle Yaude '20
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 5 4 10 7 8 10 44 Liam Patrick '18
Anna Morrow '18
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 6 7 6 13 13 8 53 Reilly Hearne '18
Anna Wohnoutka '18
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 7 5 11 12 7 14 56 Max Kauffman '18
Bridget Boyle '18
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 12 10 14 4 10 11 61 Jenny Danielson '20
Liam Chapman '22
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 11 9 9 9 12 12 62 Jacob Weston '19
Sophia Roberts '19
Mercer Island High School Mercer Island High School Islanders 13 14 15 8 11 5 66 Stuart Blakey '20
Cooper Hand '20
Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals 10 11 16 DSQ 5 9 75 Alden Mcgonagle '21 [1-6]
Ella Barnard '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Tian Marchello '20 [3-4]
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 20 17 5 6 19 19 86 Morgan Seestrom '20
Quentin Vazquez '21
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 3 15 20 13 14 17 13 92 Mira Anders '21
Sedona Webb '21
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 16 13 18 16 15 17 95 Atlas Iverson '22
No Show
Seagulls Seagulls Seagulls 14 15 12 15 DNS DNS 104
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 2 17 16 DNS DNS 14 15 110 Addi Kessler '19
Evan Foley '20
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 4 18 19 19 18 21 16 111 No Show
Cole Zecha '22
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 22 21 17 17 20 20 117 Robert Mccarroll '22 [1-6]
Elizabeth Koals '20 [1-2]
Cassius Tossavainen '22 [3-6]
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 2 19 18 DNS DNS 16 18 119 Kira Blumhagen '21
Elie Simsch '20
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 3 23 23 DNS DNS 18 21 133 Lauren Mcclintock '20 [1-6]
Carson Lindholm '20 [1-2]
Olivia Schwartz '21 [3-6]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 5 21 22 DNS DNS DNS DNS 139 Kristoff Kogan '19
Payton Knopp '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 1959596969898
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 2969698989999
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 398989999129129
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders9999129129102102
SeagullsSeagulls Seagulls129129102102103103
Friday Harbor High SchoolFriday Harbor High School Wolverines 110210210310311
Friday Harbor High SchoolFriday Harbor High School Wolverines 21031031122
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams112233
Mercer Island High SchoolMercer Island High School Islanders22334141
Nathan Hale High SchoolNathan Hale High School Raiders3341414444
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 1414144442525
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 2444425252626
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 125252626100100
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 22626100100101101
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders 11001001011014545
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders 210110145455050
Seattle Academy of Arts & SciencesSeattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals454550505151
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 1505051515353
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 2515153535454
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 3535354545555
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 4545455555656
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 5555556569595
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm565695959696

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 1444425252626
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 225252626100100
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 32626100100101101
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders1001001011014545
SeagullsSeagulls Seagulls10110145455050
Friday Harbor High SchoolFriday Harbor High School Wolverines 1454550505151
Friday Harbor High SchoolFriday Harbor High School Wolverines 2505051515353
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams515153535454
Mercer Island High SchoolMercer Island High School Islanders535354545555
Nathan Hale High SchoolNathan Hale High School Raiders545455555656
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 1555556569595
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 2565695959696
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 1959596969898
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 2969698989999
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders 198989999129129
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders 29999129129102102
Seattle Academy of Arts & SciencesSeattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals129129102102103103
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 110210210310311
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 21031031122
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 3112233
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 422334141
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 53341414444
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm414144442525
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Christopher Warmuth '18 Satone Haratani '19
Seahawks 1 Liam Patrick '18 Anna Morrow '18
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Annika Dunton '21 [1-6] Maggie Patrick '20 [1-2]
Savannah Sevieri '20 [3-6]
Seahawks 2 Robert Mccarroll '22 [1-6] Elizabeth Koals '20 [1-2]
Cassius Tossavainen '22 [3-6]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Emma Paul '20 [1-6] Kanane Haratani '22 [1-2]
Sameer Shorab '20 [3-4]
Maggie Patrick '20 [5-6]
Seahawks 3 Lauren Mcclintock '20 [1-6] Carson Lindholm '20 [1-2]
Olivia Schwartz '21 [3-6]
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Fischer Brunzell '21 Reid Fryer '21
Raiders Morgan Seestrom '20 Quentin Vazquez '21
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Perham Black '18 Emmett Carrier '20
Wolverines 1 Perham Black '18 Emmett Carrier '20
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Addi Kessler '19 Evan Foley '20
Wolverines 2 Addi Kessler '19 Evan Foley '20
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Maks Groom '20 Aragorn Crozier '20
Rams Max Kauffman '18 Bridget Boyle '18
Mercer Island High School Mercer Island High School Christopher Stoll '19 No Show
Islanders Stuart Blakey '20 Cooper Hand '20
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Margot Watts '19 Colette Royer '18
Raiders Reilly Hearne '18 Anna Wohnoutka '18
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Jordan Wood-Pina '18 Aiden Wright '21
Wildcats 1 Jenny Danielson '20 Liam Chapman '22
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Thomas Buys '22 Cooper Billiter '22
Wildcats 2 Atlas Iverson '22 No Show
Orcas High School Orcas High School Maggie Toombs '18 Emma Freedman '19
Vikings 1 Dominick Wareham '19 Millie Kau '19
Orcas High School Orcas High School Ronan Rankin '19 Sol Mehl Zobriest '19
Vikings 2 Levi Moss '19 Sol Mehl Zobriest '19
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Miles Williams '20 Eilidh Haakanson '21
Rough Riders 1 Van Senseney '19 Abbie Chipps '21
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '19 Maddie Taylor '19
Rough Riders 2 Kira Blumhagen '21 Elie Simsch '20
Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Erik Anderson '21 [1-6] Everett Rendon '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Gus Rindal '21 [3-4]
Cardinals Alden Mcgonagle '21 [1-6] Ella Barnard '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Tian Marchello '20 [3-4]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Emma Powell '21 Peyton Nienaber '18
Mariners 1 Ria West '22 Giselle Yaude '20
Sehome High School Sehome High School Cedric Keneipp '19 Forrest Rehberger '20
Mariners 2 Sammy Farkas '23 Natalie Serbousek '21
Sehome High School Sehome High School Gus Roelof '20 Madeline Roberts '21
Mariners 3 Mira Anders '21 Sedona Webb '21
Sehome High School Sehome High School Casey Malone '20 [1-6] Madison Reardon '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jennafer Huffstetler '20 [3-4]
Mariners 4 No Show Cole Zecha '22
Sehome High School Sehome High School Alejandro Ponce '18 Max Scofidio '21
Mariners 5 Kristoff Kogan '19 Payton Knopp '22
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Cole Sokolik '17 Dillon Baijot '21
Storm Jacob Weston '19 Sophia Roberts '19

Conditions — 03/03/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1014.3 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 45°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 36°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.4 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From NNW (338°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1014.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Anacortes: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.32 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Anacortes by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Anacortes, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →