VISA York Fleet Race Regatta

HostYouth Sailing Virginia
Date03/24/2018
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Christchurch School	Seahorses 1	11	23	34
2	Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 1	16	36	52
3	Christchurch School	Seahorses 2	50	21	71
4	Christchurch School	Seahorses 3	50	37	87
5	Nansemond-Suffolk Academy	Saints	51	37	88
6	Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 1	55	49	104
7	Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 2	54	57	111
8	York High School	Varsity 1	51	62	113
9	York High School	Varsity 2	73	62	135
10	Hampton High School	Crabbers	70	78	148
11	Maury High School	Commodores 1	77	74	151
12	Maury High School	Commodores 2	95	61	156
13	Poquoson High School	Islanders	51	112	163
14	Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 2	88	77	165
15	Phoebus High School	Phantoms	74	105	179
16	Grafton High School	Varsity	94	112	206
17	Peninsula Catholic High School	Knights	125	92	217
18	Frank W. Cox High School	Falcons	125	107	232

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Christchurch School	Seahorses 1	1	1	1	2	1	3	2	11	Boyd Bragg '19 Sally Johnson '18
Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 1	3	2	2	4	2	2	1	16	Ellie Maus '18 Matt Wright '19
Christchurch School	Seahorses 2	2	3	3	7	8	13	14	50	Benton Amthor '19 [1-4] Duke Cowart '19 [5-7] Galt Oliver '18 [1-4]
Christchurch School	Seahorses 3	DNS	9	5	1	5	8	3	50	Nathan Smith '20 Reese Bragg '21
York High School	Varsity 1	4	7	4	10	10	6	10	51	Zane Morris '18 Ethan White '21
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy	Saints	6	6	12	13	4	4	6	51	Harrison Parker '18 [1-5, 7] Jack Butler '23 [6] Jack Butler '23 [1-5, 7] Harrison Parker '18 [6]
Poquoson High School	Islanders	7	5	11	6	12	5	5	51	Jack Mckenna '20 Emmaline Dicarlo '20
Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 2	9	4	6	3	9	15	8	54	Sarah Smith '18 Jenks Britt '20
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 1	5	8	7	8	14	9	4	55	Cole Handly '19 Megan Geith '20
Hampton High School	Crabbers	12	14	10	12	3	12	7	70	Henry Waddill '18 Morgan Handly '21
York High School	Varsity 2	11	12	9	5	15	10	11	73	Brian Fox '19 Hunter Bryson '22
Phoebus High School	Phantoms	8	13	8	15	7	14	9	74	Gannon Troutman '21 Lucas Masiello '19
Maury High School	Commodores 1	10	10	15	9	6	11	16	77	Jalen Rogers '19 Sophia Bibbo '20
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 2	14	11	17	14	16	1	15	88	Bryce Hoen '18 Rachael Kilgore '14
Grafton High School	Varsity	16	15	14	16	13	7	13	94	Haydon Gould '19 Christopher Raab '20
Maury High School	Commodores 2	15	17	13	11	11	16	12	95	Robert Chase '22 Connor Mccarty '21
Peninsula Catholic High School	Knights	13	DNF	DNS	DNS	DNS	17	DNS	125	Britt Cortina '20 Charlotte Patterson '20
Frank W. Cox High School	Falcons	DNF	16	16	17	DSQ	DSQ	DSQ	125	Logan Deaver '18 [1-4] Benton Amthor '19 [5-7] Warren Smith '18 [1-2] Leland Cobb '18 [3-4]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Christchurch School	Seahorses 2	4	2	2	3	4	2	4	21	Brendan Little '18 Louie Lafevre '17
Christchurch School	Seahorses 1	1	3	3	4	5	1	6	23	Mariana Guzman Casas '19 Jeff Elkin '20
Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 1	7	4	6	10	3	4	2	36	Parker Purrington '19 Jon Krueger '20
Christchurch School	Seahorses 3	2	1	1	2	7	13	11	37	John Vail '20 Clare Elden Gaule '21
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy	Saints	12	6	5	8	2	3	1	37	Kyle Pfrang '22 Leila Pfrang '25
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 1	3	9	7	6	10	9	5	49	Sam Brady '19 Laura Rhodes '20
Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 2	9	10	8	15	1	7	7	57	Harrison Thomson '22 [1-4] Chris Robertson '19 [5-7] Sam Beck '21 [1-4]
Maury High School	Commodores 2	15	15	11	1	6	5	8	61	Paul Trudell '22 [1-7] Kalia Haupt '19 [1-4] Gabby Cloe '24 [5-7]
York High School	Varsity 1	6	13	4	5	13	11	10	62	Daniel Hodges '18 Charlie Gibson '20
York High School	Varsity 2	13	5	9	11	11	10	3	62	Kai Vylet '19 Reilly Warren '21
Maury High School	Commodores 1	8	8	15	14	8	12	9	74	Tyler Cason '18 Will Moore '20
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 2	10	14	10	13	9	8	13	77	Tyler Bevington '19 Charlotte Pirnik '20
Hampton High School	Crabbers	11	11	12	12	12	6	14	78	Tyler Brown '22 Ricky Cordner '19
Peninsula Catholic High School	Knights	14	7	17	7	17	14	16	92	Dan Whelan '20 Claire Dicarlo '22
Phoebus High School	Phantoms	18	17	14	9	15	17	15	105	Ryan Nguyen '20 Alexandra Smith '23
Frank W. Cox High School	Falcons	5	16	13	16	DSQ	DSQ	DSQ	107	Ryan Allman '21 David Portal '18
Poquoson High School	Islanders	16	12	16	17	16	16	DNS	112	Chase Brewer '22 Ashlyn Wise '21
Grafton High School	Varsity	17	18	18	18	14	15	12	112	Elias Rooker '23 Lenore Dougherty '20

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (48 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Christchurch School Seahorses 1	1	1	3	3	5	5	7
Christchurch School Seahorses 2	2	2	4	4	6	6	8
Christchurch School Seahorses 3	3	3	5	5	7	7	9
Frank W. Cox High School Falcons	4	4	6	6	8	8	10
Grafton High School Varsity	5	5	7	7	9	9	11
Hampton High School Crabbers	6	6	8	8	10	10	12
Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1	7	7	9	9	11	11	13
Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2	8	8	10	10	12	12	14
Maury High School Commodores 1	9	9	11	11	13	13	15
Maury High School Commodores 2	10	10	12	12	14	14	16
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints	11	11	13	13	15	15	17
Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1	12	12	14	14	16	16	18
Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2	13	13	15	15	17	17	1
Peninsula Catholic High School Knights	14	14	16	16	18	18	2
Phoebus High School Phantoms	15	15	17	17	1	1	3
Poquoson High School Islanders	16	16	18	18	2	2	4
York High School Varsity 1	17	17	1	1	3	3	5
York High School Varsity 2	18	18	2	2	4	4	6

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Christchurch School Seahorses 1	2	2	4	4	6	6	8
Christchurch School Seahorses 2	3	3	5	5	7	7	9
Christchurch School Seahorses 3	4	4	6	6	8	8	10
Frank W. Cox High School Falcons	5	5	7	7	9	9	11
Grafton High School Varsity	6	6	8	8	10	10	12
Hampton High School Crabbers	7	7	9	9	11	11	13
Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1	8	8	10	10	12	12	14
Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2	9	9	11	11	13	13	15
Maury High School Commodores 1	10	10	12	12	14	14	16
Maury High School Commodores 2	11	11	13	13	15	15	17
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints	12	12	14	14	16	16	18
Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1	13	13	15	15	17	17	1
Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2	14	14	16	16	18	18	2
Peninsula Catholic High School Knights	15	15	17	17	1	1	3
Phoebus High School Phantoms	16	16	18	18	2	2	4
Poquoson High School Islanders	17	17	1	1	3	3	5
York High School Varsity 1	18	18	2	2	4	4	6
York High School Varsity 2	1	1	3	3	5	5	7

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Christchurch School	Boyd Bragg '19	Sally Johnson '18
Seahorses 1	Mariana Guzman Casas '19	Jeff Elkin '20
Christchurch School	Benton Amthor '19 [1-4] Duke Cowart '19 [5-7]	Galt Oliver '18 [1-4]
Seahorses 2	Brendan Little '18	Louie Lafevre '17
Christchurch School	Nathan Smith '20	Reese Bragg '21
Seahorses 3	John Vail '20	Clare Elden Gaule '21
Frank W. Cox High School	Logan Deaver '18 [1-4] Benton Amthor '19 [5-7]	Warren Smith '18 [1-2] Leland Cobb '18 [3-4]
Falcons	Ryan Allman '21	David Portal '18
Grafton High School	Haydon Gould '19	Christopher Raab '20
Varsity	Elias Rooker '23	Lenore Dougherty '20
Hampton High School	Henry Waddill '18	Morgan Handly '21
Crabbers	Tyler Brown '22	Ricky Cordner '19
Kecoughtan High School	Cole Handly '19	Megan Geith '20
Warriors 1	Sam Brady '19	Laura Rhodes '20
Kecoughtan High School	Bryce Hoen '18	Rachael Kilgore '14
Warriors 2	Tyler Bevington '19	Charlotte Pirnik '20
Maury High School	Jalen Rogers '19	Sophia Bibbo '20
Commodores 1	Tyler Cason '18	Will Moore '20
Maury High School	Robert Chase '22	Connor Mccarty '21
Commodores 2	Paul Trudell '22 [1-7]	Kalia Haupt '19 [1-4] Gabby Cloe '24 [5-7]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy	Harrison Parker '18 [1-5, 7] Jack Butler '23 [6]	Jack Butler '23 [1-5, 7] Harrison Parker '18 [6]
Saints	Kyle Pfrang '22	Leila Pfrang '25
Norfolk Collegiate School	Ellie Maus '18	Matt Wright '19
Oaks 1	Parker Purrington '19	Jon Krueger '20
Norfolk Collegiate School	Sarah Smith '18	Jenks Britt '20
Oaks 2	Harrison Thomson '22 [1-4] Chris Robertson '19 [5-7]	Sam Beck '21 [1-4]
Peninsula Catholic High School	Britt Cortina '20	Charlotte Patterson '20
Knights	Dan Whelan '20	Claire Dicarlo '22
Phoebus High School	Gannon Troutman '21	Lucas Masiello '19
Phantoms	Ryan Nguyen '20	Alexandra Smith '23
Poquoson High School	Jack Mckenna '20	Emmaline Dicarlo '20
Islanders	Chase Brewer '22	Ashlyn Wise '21
York High School	Zane Morris '18	Ethan White '21
Varsity 1	Daniel Hodges '18	Charlie Gibson '20
York High School	Brian Fox '19	Hunter Bryson '22
Varsity 2	Kai Vylet '19	Reilly Warren '21

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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VISA York Fleet Race Regatta

Division A

Division B

From the notes