Mallory Central Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 18 15 33
2 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 18 20 38
3 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 25 13 38
4 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 16 27 43
5 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 14 34 48
6 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 31 20 51
7 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 36 19 55
8 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 33 24 57
9 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 29 33 62
10 Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 26 48 74
11 Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 36 46 82
12 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 50 34 84
13 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 42 43 85
14 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 47 44 91
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 5 4 3 2 14 Marleigh Belsley '19 [1-4]
Cj Ricci '20 [1]
James Nappo '20 [2-4]
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 4 2 6 4 16 Jack Baldwin '22
Luke Goldman '21
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 12 4 1 18 Quinn Keenan '19
Anna Mcbride '20
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 6 8 1 3 18 Luke Hosek '20
Lauren Mellinger '21
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 7 1 2 RAF 25 Owen Patterson '19
Alessandra Torres '20
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 2 7 9 8 26 John Hultquist '20
William Carl '23
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 10 5 5 9 29 Zach Biela '20 [1-4]
Lucia Marquez '21 [1-2]
Zoe Zoghlin '21 [3-4]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 9 3 12 7 31 Matteo Torquati '20
Alec Wyers '20
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 8 10 10 5 33 Austin Suvari '19
Lily Allen '19
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 3 11 11 11 36 Lexi Chigas '22
Grace Beard '21
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 11 6 7 12 36 Margo Cicero '22
Rossignel Wolfe '22
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 14 9 13 6 42 Greg Wootton '19
Will Alter '19
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 13 13 8 13 47 Jack Bergman '20
Leo Lavato '20
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 12 14 14 10 50 Molly Sheridan '21
Philip Mick '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 3 1 2 7 13 Wyatt Harley '21
Aviva Kaplan '20
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 2 7 5 1 15 William Frendreiss '20 [1-4]
Sydney Mandell '22 [1-2]
Audra Spokas-Jaros '21 [3-4]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 4 10 4 19 Bridget Falkenhayn '19
Angelina Simon '20
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 4 5 9 2 20 Benny Wild '22 [1-4]
Adler Wright '22 [1-2]
Benjamin Luu '23 [3-4]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 8 6 3 3 20 Nathan Whisner '19 [1-2]
Noah Barton '19 [3-4]
Izzy Cox '19 [1-2]
Alex Adams '20 [3-4]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 9 2 7 6 24 Ryan Henderson '19
Elias Henke '19
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 11 3 8 5 27 Caroline Sandoval '19 [1-4]
Daniel Sandoval '22 [1-2]
Cristina Dombrowski '19 [3-4]
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 12 9 1 11 33 Casey Murray '20 [1-4]
Kyle Mcdonald '23 [1-2]
Paige Roby '23 [3-4]
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 5 10 6 13 34 Michael Stewart '21
Maddie Fitzgerald '22
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 7 DSQ 4 8 34 Nikolas Chambers '19
Cj Ricci '20
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 6 11 14 12 43 Willem Aspinall '21
Daren Nerad '20
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions RDG 13 13 9 44 Isabel Drobny '20
Abbey Walls '20
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 13 8 11 14 46 Brody Schwartz '20
Cassidy Skafish '22
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 14 12 12 10 48 Maura Hopkinson '20
Aidan Janc '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Wolves1133
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons12121414
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits2244
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars3355
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles4466
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts5577
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity6688
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans7799
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers881010
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions991111
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian10101212
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack11111313
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies131311
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins141422

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Wolves2244
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons131311
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits3355
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars4466
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles5577
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts6688
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity7799
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans881010
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers991111
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions10101212
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian11111313
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack12121414
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies141422
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins1133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Greg Wootton '19 Will Alter '19
Wolves Willem Aspinall '21 Daren Nerad '20
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Austin Suvari '19 Lily Allen '19
Wildkits Ryan Henderson '19 Elias Henke '19
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School John Hultquist '20 William Carl '23
Friars Maura Hopkinson '20 Aidan Janc '21
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Molly Sheridan '21 Philip Mick '22
Eagles Michael Stewart '21 Maddie Fitzgerald '22
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Zach Biela '20 [1-4] Lucia Marquez '21 [1-2]
Zoe Zoghlin '21 [3-4]
Scouts Casey Murray '20 [1-4] Kyle Mcdonald '23 [1-2]
Paige Roby '23 [3-4]
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Luke Hosek '20 Lauren Mellinger '21
Varsity William Frendreiss '20 [1-4] Sydney Mandell '22 [1-2]
Audra Spokas-Jaros '21 [3-4]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Marleigh Belsley '19 [1-4] Cj Ricci '20 [1]
James Nappo '20 [2-4]
Romans Nikolas Chambers '19 Cj Ricci '20
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Lexi Chigas '22 Grace Beard '21
Ramblers Bridget Falkenhayn '19 Angelina Simon '20
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Jack Bergman '20 Leo Lavato '20
Lions Isabel Drobny '20 Abbey Walls '20
New Trier HS New Trier HS Quinn Keenan '19 Anna Mcbride '20
Trevian Nathan Whisner '19 [1-2]
Noah Barton '19 [3-4]
Izzy Cox '19 [1-2]
Alex Adams '20 [3-4]
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Jack Baldwin '22 Luke Goldman '21
Wolfpack Caroline Sandoval '19 [1-4] Daniel Sandoval '22 [1-2]
Cristina Dombrowski '19 [3-4]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Matteo Torquati '20 Alec Wyers '20
Maroons Benny Wild '22 [1-4] Adler Wright '22 [1-2]
Benjamin Luu '23 [3-4]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Owen Patterson '19 Alessandra Torres '20
Grizzlies Wyatt Harley '21 Aviva Kaplan '20
Whitney Young Whitney Young Margo Cicero '22 Rossignel Wolfe '22
Dolphins Brody Schwartz '20 Cassidy Skafish '22

Conditions — 04/06/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 95%  ·  Pressure 1020.6 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From ESE (102°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover96% Sunshine7.1 hrs Humidity95% Pressure1020.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 9 kn · S 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Brother Rice (IL)/Fenwick/Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lyons Township/Trinity/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Brother Rice (IL)/Fenwick/Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lyons Township/Trinity/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Brother Rice (IL)/Fenwick/Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lyons Township/Trinity/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →