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Island Cup - GOLD

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 23 13 36
2 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 15 24 39
3 Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 10 30 40
4 Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 53 12 65
5 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 52 14 66
6 Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 21 52 73
7 Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 39 38 77
8 Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 45 42 87
9 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 45 43 88
10 Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 36 56 92
11 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 55 44 99
12 Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 59 68 127
13 Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals 30 99 129
14 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 68 70 138
15 Bruins Bruins Bruins 83 58 141
16 Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 79 65 144
17 Kingston High School Kingston High School Kraken 77 79 156
18 Eagles Eagles Eagles 81 92 173
19 North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 94 81 175
20 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 92 88 180
21 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 98 89 187
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 1 2 1 2 4 10 Erik Anderson '21
Johnny Vaughey '21
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 8 1 4 1 1 15 Dayne Hall '22
Carter Stevens '23
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 7 3 2 6 3 21 Annie Buelt '20
Ann Li '20
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 3 5 6 7 2 23 Miles Williams '20
Abbie Chipps '21
Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals 2 12 5 5 6 30 Alden Mcgonagle '21
Kit Zivin '21
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 13 4 3 3 13 36 Hayden Flaskerud '20
Ted Corddry '21
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 5 11 10 8 5 39 Mary Darcy '21
Chance Bates '21
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 6 6 11 13 9 45 Emily Smith '21
Corinne Harrison '23
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 10 7 14 4 10 45 Thomas Buys '22
Andrew Buys '21
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 11 9 8 10 14 52 Ella Hubbard '22
Levi Morse '24
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 15 8 7 12 11 53 Aragorn Crozier '20
Alice Curtis '22
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 12 13 9 14 7 55 Max Case '22
Natalie Aarstol '22
Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 14 10 16 11 8 59 Colin Olson '22
Blake Bundesmann '23
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 18 14 15 9 12 68 Jack Knowles '22
Zane Barrett '23
Kingston High School Kingston High School Kraken 4 16 18 20 19 77 Victor Taylor '23 [1-4]
Trenton Filben '23 [5]
Trenton Filben '23 [1-4]
Victor Taylor '23 [5]
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 17 18 13 15 16 79 Will Seegert '23 [1-4]
Zoe Plattner '20 [5]
Ray Mcdavid '22 [1-4]
Eagles Eagles Eagles 9 19 19 17 17 81
Bruins Bruins Bruins 20 15 12 18 18 83
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 16 17 17 21 21 92 Miette Woolworth '21
Finn Rubottom '23
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 19 20 21 19 15 94 Brandon Cole '20 [1-4]
Pearl Young '22 [5]
Pearl Young '22 [1-4]
Brandon Cole '20 [5]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 21 21 20 16 20 98 Lauren Mcclintock '20 [1-5]
Carson Lindholm '20 [1-4]
Luc Diaz '21 [5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 1 2 1 3 5 12 Maks Groom '20 [1-5]
Duncan Weiner '20 [1-2, 5]
Maya Outhred '20 [3-4]
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 2 1 3 1 6 13 Danny Juan '23
Sam Kimmel '20
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 3 6 2 2 1 14 Sam Bonauto '21
Miles Kirkbride '22
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 4 5 5 8 2 24 Axel Stordahl '20 [1-5]
Dalton Lovett '21 [1-4]
Carter Stevens '23 [5]
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 7 3 7 9 4 30 Catie Vandervort '22 [1-5]
Meimei Peterson '22 [1-2, 5]
Nikolai Wagner '23 [3-4]
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 8 7 11 4 8 38 Jack Gibbons '20
Sophie Kunka '23
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 10 10 6 5 11 42 Thomas Pentimonti '20
Taggart Messersmith '22
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 5 12 4 7 15 43 Ben Servatius '22
Liam Chapman '22
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 6 4 8 14 12 44 Casey Malone '22
Keller Morrison '22
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 11 14 9 11 7 52 Joy Brennan '20
Caroline Hurley '20
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 9 9 10 18 10 56 Nicholas Lee '20
Jaden Unruh '22
Bruins Bruins Bruins 15 8 14 12 9 58
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 14 13 18 6 14 65 Dexter Shafer-White '22 [1-5]
Sam Whitener '22 [1-4]
Will Seegert '23 [5]
Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 12 DSQ 16 15 3 68 Soren Althoff '22
Evan Piccola '22
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 13 19 12 10 16 70 Morgan Seestrom '22
Talia Clarke '22
Kingston High School Kingston High School Kraken 20 11 17 13 18 79 Morgan Chandler '20
Thomas Emling '23
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 21 15 15 17 13 81 Sam Davenport '21 [1-4]
Emma Fish '22 [5]
Emma Fish '22 [1-4]
Nolan Loverich '22 [5]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 18 16 13 20 21 88 Landon Carter '21
Saya Takevchi '23
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 16 18 19 16 20 89 Sam Hardesty '20
Amy Chookiatsurichai '20
Eagles Eagles Eagles 19 17 20 19 17 92
Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals 17 20 DNF 21 19 99 Willem Patrick '21 [1-3]
Jaxon Gordon '21 [4-5]
Jaxon Gordon '21 [1-3]
Willem Patrick '21 [4-5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.240+0.24
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks464611411483
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers85855454112
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions11411483835
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders5454112112115
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars8383553
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers1121121151154
BruinsBruins Bruins1111858554
Garfield High SchoolGarfield High School Bulldogs553384
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides1151154444
EaglesEagles Eagles10104646114
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams33848482
Kingston High SchoolKingston High School Kraken1212111185
Nathan Hale High SchoolNathan Hale High School Raiders44444461
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish848482826
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats4444616145
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears82826656
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings2424101046
Port Townsend High SchoolPort Townsend High School Redhawks6161454524
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders66565612
Seattle Academy of Arts & SciencesSeattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals4545242410
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners5656121211

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks85855454112
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers11411483835
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions5454112112115
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders8383553
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars1121121151154
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers553384
BruinsBruins Bruins464611411483
Garfield High SchoolGarfield High School Bulldogs1151154444
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides33848482
EaglesEagles Eagles1111858554
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams44444461
Kingston High SchoolKingston High School Kraken10104646114
Nathan Hale High SchoolNathan Hale High School Raiders848482826
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish4444616145
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats82826656
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears6161454524
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings1212111185
Port Townsend High SchoolPort Townsend High School Redhawks66565612
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders4545242410
Seattle Academy of Arts & SciencesSeattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Cardinals5656121211
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners2424101046
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Lauren Mcclintock '20 [1-5] Carson Lindholm '20 [1-4]
Luc Diaz '21 [5]
Seahawks Sam Hardesty '20 Amy Chookiatsurichai '20
Ballard High School Ballard High School Erik Anderson '21 Johnny Vaughey '21
Beavers Catie Vandervort '22 [1-5] Meimei Peterson '22 [1-2, 5]
Nikolai Wagner '23 [3-4]
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Emily Smith '21 Corinne Harrison '23
Lions Thomas Pentimonti '20 Taggart Messersmith '22
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Jack Knowles '22 Zane Barrett '23
Raiders Morgan Seestrom '22 Talia Clarke '22
Capital High School Capital High School Annie Buelt '20 Ann Li '20
Cougars Joy Brennan '20 Caroline Hurley '20
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Hayden Flaskerud '20 Ted Corddry '21
Tarriers Nicholas Lee '20 Jaden Unruh '22
Garfield High School Garfield High School Colin Olson '22 Blake Bundesmann '23
Bulldogs Soren Althoff '22 Evan Piccola '22
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Dayne Hall '22 Carter Stevens '23
Tides Axel Stordahl '20 [1-5] Dalton Lovett '21 [1-4]
Carter Stevens '23 [5]
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Aragorn Crozier '20 Alice Curtis '22
Rams Maks Groom '20 [1-5] Duncan Weiner '20 [1-2, 5]
Maya Outhred '20 [3-4]
Kingston High School Kingston High School Victor Taylor '23 [1-4]
Trenton Filben '23 [5]		 Trenton Filben '23 [1-4]
Victor Taylor '23 [5]
Kraken Morgan Chandler '20 Thomas Emling '23
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Will Seegert '23 [1-4]
Zoe Plattner '20 [5]		 Ray Mcdavid '22 [1-4]
Raiders Dexter Shafer-White '22 [1-5] Sam Whitener '22 [1-4]
Will Seegert '23 [5]
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Brandon Cole '20 [1-4]
Pearl Young '22 [5]		 Pearl Young '22 [1-4]
Brandon Cole '20 [5]
Dogfish Sam Davenport '21 [1-4]
Emma Fish '22 [5]		 Emma Fish '22 [1-4]
Nolan Loverich '22 [5]
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Thomas Buys '22 Andrew Buys '21
Wildcats Ben Servatius '22 Liam Chapman '22
Olympia High School Olympia High School Ella Hubbard '22 Levi Morse '24
Bears Sam Bonauto '21 Miles Kirkbride '22
Orcas High School Orcas High School Miette Woolworth '21 Finn Rubottom '23
Vikings Landon Carter '21 Saya Takevchi '23
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Mary Darcy '21 Chance Bates '21
Redhawks Jack Gibbons '20 Sophie Kunka '23
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Miles Williams '20 Abbie Chipps '21
Rough Riders Danny Juan '23 Sam Kimmel '20
Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Seattle Academy of Arts & Sciences Alden Mcgonagle '21 Kit Zivin '21
Cardinals Willem Patrick '21 [1-3]
Jaxon Gordon '21 [4-5]		 Jaxon Gordon '21 [1-3]
Willem Patrick '21 [4-5]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Max Case '22 Natalie Aarstol '22
Mariners Casey Malone '22 Keller Morrison '22

Conditions — 03/07/2020 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1010.9 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 43°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 36°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From SSW (203°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine7.5 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1010.9 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 5 kn · NE 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Oak Harbor: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.17)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.23 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 15% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Oak Harbor by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Oak Harbor, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →