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VISA Fleet Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 24 28 52
2 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 33 25 58
3 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 34 32 66
4 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 40 45 85
5 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 53 39 92
6 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 44 50 94
7 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 37 73 110
8 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 94 26 120
9 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 83 55 138
10 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 59 83 142
11 Collegiate School Collegiate School Collegiate Richmond 17 126 143
12 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 95 56 151
13 Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 75 78 153
14 York High School York High School Varsity 84 78 162
15 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 87 84 171
16 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 102 91 193
17 The Hague School The Hague School The Tritons 111 111 222
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Collegiate School Collegiate School Collegiate Richmond 1 3 4 5 1 2 1 17 Walker Angus '24
Mason Chapman Jr. '22
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 5 1 1 1 5 9 2 24 Carlos Bermudez De Castro Castro '22
Aidan Iaconis '22
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 6 7 5 2 4 5 4 33 Alex Schuck '21
Adam Elci '22
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 7 4 3 3 6 4 7 34 Maison Koepke '23
Marina Dryer '22
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 4 2 7 7 8 6 3 37 Tyler Brown '23
Jack Herritage '24
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 2 5 10 10 7 1 5 40 Robert Chase '22
Sam Beck '21
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 9 8 2 4 2 10 9 44 Kyle Pfrang '22
Carter Lydon '21
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 8 9 6 6 11 3 10 53 Jaxon Parker Searcy '22
Sarah Ratcliffe '22
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 12 6 8 14 3 8 8 59 Henry Allard '23 [1-4, 7]
Davis Mann '23 [5-6]
Davis Mann '23 [1-4]
Hannah Bonheur '24 [5-7]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 11 11 9 8 13 12 11 75 Blake Goodwin '23
Nick Fogt '23
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 15 14 13 12 9 14 6 83 Connor Mccarty '21 [1-7]
Gabby Cloe '24 [1-4]
Ava Morgan '25 [5-7]
York High School York High School Varsity 10 12 15 17 10 7 13 84 Justin Kelly '25
Savanah Van Cleave '25
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 3 13 11 16 15 15 14 87 Chase Brewer '22 [1-7]
Barrett Wise '23 [1-6]
Addison Kuczynski '23 [7]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 14 16 14 11 16 11 12 94 Pierce Brindley '24
Liam Ambrosino '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 16 17 12 9 12 13 16 95 Ashlyn Wise '21
Lauren Messerschmidt '21
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 13 10 16 15 17 16 15 102 Cam Brewer '24 [1-7]
Sam Palmertree '21 [1-5]
Mackenzie Haynes '24 [6-7]
The Hague School The Hague School The Tritons DNS 15 17 13 14 17 17 111 Charlotte Stillman '23 [1-7]
Gianna Dunn '23 [1, 5-6]
Madeline Ballard '25 [2-4, 7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 6 7 4 2 1 2 3 25 Harrison Thomson '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Maggie Campbell '22 [3-4, 7]
Kiana Beachy '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Clara Murphy '23 [3-4, 7]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 3 5 4 2 6 4 26 Madeline Amthore '22
Ellie Hasbrouck '24
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 9 8 2 1 4 3 1 28 Gannon Troutman '21
Reese Bragg '21
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 1 11 1 8 5 1 5 32 Louie Lafevre '21
Emilie Janzen '22
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 4 6 3 3 8 5 10 39 Nat Bonham '24
Cameron Nealon '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 13 5 6 6 3 10 2 45 Maddie Murphy '25
Jackson Delanty '23
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 7 4 10 7 7 4 11 50 Leila Pfrang '25
Kevin Li '23
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 3 9 8 5 9 8 13 55 Emily Priest '25
Charlotte Shumate '24
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 5 1 13 12 6 11 8 56 Olivia Gilmore '23
Emery Hill '23
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 8 10 12 14 13 9 7 73 Morgan Handly '21
Molly Hanson '23
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 10 12 7 11 14 12 12 78 Luke Manternach '22
Helen Schmuck '23
York High School York High School Varsity 11 2 14 10 12 14 15 78 Ben Clarke '16
Liam Burke '27
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 14 15 11 9 10 DNF 6 83 Huaqiu "Cho-Cho" Williams '22 [1-4]
Joe Murphy '24 [5-7]
Joe Murphy '24 [1-2]
Reagan Evans '23 [3-7]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 15 14 9 13 11 13 9 84 Grace Watlington '22
Ava Michel '22
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 3 12 13 15 15 15 7 14 91 Evan Harris '24 [1-7]
Tiernan Boyd '23 [1-6]
Hunter Walton '25 [7]
The Hague School The Hague School The Tritons 16 16 16 16 16 15 16 111 Nicholas Davis '24
Justina Reynolds '24
Collegiate School Collegiate School Collegiate Richmond DNF DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 126 Madison Newton '25 [1]
Walker Angus '24 [2-7]
Maryjane Ramos '23 [1]
Mason Chapman Jr. '22 [2-7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 11111111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 22222222
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 33333333
Collegiate SchoolCollegiate School Collegiate Richmond7777777
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity9999999
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets4444444
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators11111111111111
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors8888888
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores5555555
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints12121212121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 117171717171717
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 218181818181818
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 113131313131313
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 214141414141414
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 316161616161616
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School The Tritons6666666
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity10101010101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 11111111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 22222222
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 33333333
Collegiate SchoolCollegiate School Collegiate Richmond7777777
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity9999999
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets4444444
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators11111111111111
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors8888888
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores5555555
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints12121212121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 117171717171717
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 218181818181818
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 113131313131313
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 214141414141414
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 315151515151515
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School The Tritons6666666
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity10101010101010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Carlos Bermudez De Castro Castro '22 Aidan Iaconis '22
Seahorses 1 Gannon Troutman '21 Reese Bragg '21
Christchurch School Christchurch School Maison Koepke '23 Marina Dryer '22
Seahorses 2 Louie Lafevre '21 Emilie Janzen '22
Christchurch School Christchurch School Jaxon Parker Searcy '22 Sarah Ratcliffe '22
Seahorses 3 Nat Bonham '24 Cameron Nealon '23
Collegiate School Collegiate School Walker Angus '24 Mason Chapman Jr. '22
Collegiate Richmond Madison Newton '25 [1]
Walker Angus '24 [2-7]		 Maryjane Ramos '23 [1]
Mason Chapman Jr. '22 [2-7]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Blake Goodwin '23 Nick Fogt '23
Varsity Luke Manternach '22 Helen Schmuck '23
Granby High School Granby High School Henry Allard '23 [1-4, 7]
Davis Mann '23 [5-6]		 Davis Mann '23 [1-4]
Hannah Bonheur '24 [5-7]
Comets Huaqiu "Cho-Cho" Williams '22 [1-4]
Joe Murphy '24 [5-7]		 Joe Murphy '24 [1-2]
Reagan Evans '23 [3-7]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Pierce Brindley '24 Liam Ambrosino '23
Navigators Madeline Amthore '22 Ellie Hasbrouck '24
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Tyler Brown '23 Jack Herritage '24
Warriors Morgan Handly '21 Molly Hanson '23
Maury High School Maury High School Connor Mccarty '21 [1-7] Gabby Cloe '24 [1-4]
Ava Morgan '25 [5-7]
Commodores Emily Priest '25 Charlotte Shumate '24
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Kyle Pfrang '22 Carter Lydon '21
Saints Leila Pfrang '25 Kevin Li '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Alex Schuck '21 Adam Elci '22
Oaks 1 Harrison Thomson '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Maggie Campbell '22 [3-4, 7]		 Kiana Beachy '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Clara Murphy '23 [3-4, 7]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Robert Chase '22 Sam Beck '21
Oaks 2 Maddie Murphy '25 Jackson Delanty '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Chase Brewer '22 [1-7] Barrett Wise '23 [1-6]
Addison Kuczynski '23 [7]
Islanders 1 Grace Watlington '22 Ava Michel '22
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Ashlyn Wise '21 Lauren Messerschmidt '21
Islanders 2 Olivia Gilmore '23 Emery Hill '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Cam Brewer '24 [1-7] Sam Palmertree '21 [1-5]
Mackenzie Haynes '24 [6-7]
Islanders 3 Evan Harris '24 [1-7] Tiernan Boyd '23 [1-6]
Hunter Walton '25 [7]
The Hague School The Hague School Charlotte Stillman '23 [1-7] Gianna Dunn '23 [1, 5-6]
Madeline Ballard '25 [2-4, 7]
The Tritons Nicholas Davis '24 Justina Reynolds '24
York High School York High School Justin Kelly '25 Savanah Van Cleave '25
Varsity Ben Clarke '16 Liam Burke '27

Conditions — 05/01/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 30%  ·  Pressure 1017.5 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.0 kn
avg  ·  max 16.2 kn
Gusts to 28.8 kn
From NW (308°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity30% Pressure1017.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Granby/Hampton Roads/The Hague: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Granby/Hampton Roads/The Hague by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Granby/Hampton Roads/The Hague, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →