MDISA AYC Spring Fling - MDISA Fleet Race

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 14 14 28
2 Severn School Severn School Admirals 29 13 42
3 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 36 34 70
4 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 43 55 98
5 Key School Key School Zags 31 94 125
6 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 106 28 134
7 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 89 59 148
8 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 35 115 150
9 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 36 117 153
10 Winston Churchill High School Winston Churchill High School Bulldogs 128 52 180
11 Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 128 78 206
12 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 99 118 217
13 Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Tigers 101 128 229
14 Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors 128 113 241
15 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 123 120 243
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 1 4 1 3 1 1 2 1 14 Hugh Carty '23 [1-5]
Parker Herman '24 [6-8]
Gehrig Dewaele '24 [1-5]
Severn School Severn School Admirals 6 1 5 4 4 3 1 5 29 Will Friedell '24 [1-8]
Kate Castleberry '24 [1-4]
Reese Corckran '24 [5-8]
Key School Key School Zags 3 5 7 2 2 5 5 2 31 Mason Cook '25
Stella Kim '23
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 2 7 2 1 7 7 6 3 35 Joseph Murphy '24
Marc Hauenstein '23
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 4 3 4 6 6 4 3 6 36 William Donald '23 [1-6]
Jack Powers '24 [7-8]
Aurelea Cerny '30 [1-6]
Charlotte Hugo '26 [7-8]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 7 2 6 5 3 2 4 7 36 Marco Welch '24
Ryan Becker '24
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 5 6 3 7 5 6 7 4 43 Hartley Cooper '26 [1-8]
Caroline Welte '25 [1-5]
Armand Otmishi '24 [6-8]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 9 DNS DNF DNS 8 8 8 8 89 Ryan Brelage '24
Owen Delwiche '25
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 10 9 8 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS 99 Sophie Griggs '24
Eric Nielsen '24
Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Tigers DNS 10 9 9 9 DNS DNS DNS 101 Caitlin Costello '24
Jonah Molinoff '25
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 8 8 10 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 106 Peter Judge '25
Gavin Morris '25
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 11 DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 123 Katie Howard '23
Sabrina Vignola '23
Winston Churchill High School Winston Churchill High School Bulldogs DNS DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 128 No Show
No Show
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers DNS DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 128 No Show
No Show
Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors DNS DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 128 Drew Defonzo '26
James Cottage '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 2 2 1 3 2 13 Annie Sitzmann '26
John Szynal '24
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 2 2 2 1 1 4 1 1 14 Owen Macwilliams '24
Madeline Washburn '23
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 4 6 4 3 3 3 2 3 28 Johnny Riganati '23
Madison Cannon '25
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 8 4 3 4 5 2 4 4 34 Chris White '24 [1-8]
Justin Marquez '24 [1-2]
Aden Keithley '24 [3-8]
Winston Churchill High School Winston Churchill High School Bulldogs 7 9 7 6 7 6 5 5 52 Jack Sieg '24 [1-8]
Allison Sproles '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Morgan Rathjen '24 [3-4]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 5 DNS 5 5 4 7 6 7 55 Louisa Kalinski '25 [1-8]
Victor Kleppinger '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Cristian Botsis '25 [3-4]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 10 7 6 7 8 8 7 6 59 Adam Nilsson '25
Mac Fitzgerald '24
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 6 13 DSQ 8 6 5 8 DNS 78 Connor Lamm-Knipscher '23
Gemma Love '25
Key School Key School Zags 3 10 8 DNS 9 DNS DNS DNS 94 James Rizek '23 [1-6]
Trey Burman '25 [7-8]
Maya Kirshtein '26 [1-6]
Annabelle Ulak '26 [7-8]
Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors 9 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 113 Maggie Defonzo '26
Peter Mazzagatti '26
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders DNS 3 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 115 Will Clay '25
Isabelle Merritt '23
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints DNS 5 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 117 Halsey Carter '26
Myles Riffle '31
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 11 11 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 118 Scott Opert '24
Molly Dowling '25
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 12 12 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 120 Sam Somers '25
Ethan Depaola '24
Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Tigers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 128 William Lindsley '24
Max Molinoff '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2022 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers11223344
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers22334455
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins33445566
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets44556677
Jackson-Reed High SchoolJackson-Reed High School Tigers66778899
Key SchoolKey School Zags7788991010
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders889910101111
Henderson High SchoolHenderson High School Warriors55667788
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres141415151122
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals99101011111212
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons1010111112121313
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs1111121213131414
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights13131414151511
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints1212131314141515
Winston Churchill High SchoolWinston Churchill High School Bulldogs1515112233

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers11223344
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers22334455
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins33445566
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets44556677
Jackson-Reed High SchoolJackson-Reed High School Tigers66778899
Key SchoolKey School Zags7788991010
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders889910101111
Henderson High SchoolHenderson High School Warriors55667788
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres141415151122
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals99101011111212
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons1010111112121313
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs1111121213131414
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights13131414151511
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints1212131314141515
Winston Churchill High SchoolWinston Churchill High School Bulldogs1515112233
School / Team SkipperCrew
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School No Show No Show
Panthers Connor Lamm-Knipscher '23 Gemma Love '25
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Hugh Carty '23 [1-5]
Parker Herman '24 [6-8]
Gehrig Dewaele '24 [1-5]
Cavaliers Owen Macwilliams '24 Madeline Washburn '23
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Marco Welch '24 Ryan Becker '24
Bruins Chris White '24 [1-8] Justin Marquez '24 [1-2]
Aden Keithley '24 [3-8]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Ryan Brelage '24 Owen Delwiche '25
Hornets Adam Nilsson '25 Mac Fitzgerald '24
Henderson High School Henderson High School Drew Defonzo '26 James Cottage '23
Warriors Maggie Defonzo '26 Peter Mazzagatti '26
Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Caitlin Costello '24 Jonah Molinoff '25
Tigers William Lindsley '24 Max Molinoff '23
Key School Key School Mason Cook '25 Stella Kim '23
Zags James Rizek '23 [1-6]
Trey Burman '25 [7-8]
Maya Kirshtein '26 [1-6]
Annabelle Ulak '26 [7-8]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Joseph Murphy '24 Marc Hauenstein '23
Raiders Will Clay '25 Isabelle Merritt '23
Severn School Severn School Will Friedell '24 [1-8] Kate Castleberry '24 [1-4]
Reese Corckran '24 [5-8]
Admirals Annie Sitzmann '26 John Szynal '24
Severna Park Severna Park Peter Judge '25 Gavin Morris '25
Falcons Johnny Riganati '23 Madison Cannon '25
Southern High School Southern High School Sophie Griggs '24 Eric Nielsen '24
Bulldogs Scott Opert '24 Molly Dowling '25
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) William Donald '23 [1-6]
Jack Powers '24 [7-8]
Aurelea Cerny '30 [1-6]
Charlotte Hugo '26 [7-8]
Saints Halsey Carter '26 Myles Riffle '31
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Katie Howard '23 Sabrina Vignola '23
Knights Sam Somers '25 Ethan Depaola '24
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Hartley Cooper '26 [1-8] Caroline Welte '25 [1-5]
Armand Otmishi '24 [6-8]
Sabres Louisa Kalinski '25 [1-8] Victor Kleppinger '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Cristian Botsis '25 [3-4]
Winston Churchill High School Winston Churchill High School No Show No Show
Bulldogs Jack Sieg '24 [1-8] Allison Sproles '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Morgan Rathjen '24 [3-4]

Conditions — 03/19/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 33%  ·  Pressure 1021.3 hPa

Temperature

36°F
↑ 41°F   ↓ 28°F
Feels like 25°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.0 kn
avg  ·  max 12.5 kn
Gusts to 28.8 kn
From WNW (296°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover14% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity33% Pressure1021.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Annapolis Yacht Club & Severn Sailing Association: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.25 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Annapolis Yacht Club & Severn Sailing Association by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Annapolis Yacht Club & Severn Sailing Association: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →