Navigate

VISA Christchurch Regatta 3/25

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 18 7 25
2 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 9 20 29
3 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 9 27 36
4 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 22 16 38
5 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 30 15 45
6 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 18 30 48
7 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 33 18 51
8 Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 20 38 58
9 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 43 28 71
10 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 37 37 74
11 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 44 39 83
12 The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 42 43 85
13 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 60 46 106
14 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 44 64 108
15 York High School York High School Falcons 45 64 109
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 1 1 5 2 9 Rebecca Schill '23
Amanda Wong '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 2 2 1 4 9 Henry Allgeier '23
Eliana Mopper '26
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 10 4 1 18 Kiana Beachy '24
Clara Murphy '23
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 8 5 2 3 18 Pierce Brindley '24
Stone Dewey '26
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 6 6 3 5 20 Blake Goodwin '23
Felix Susta '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 7 3 6 6 22 Rafael "Rafa" De Tomas Pereda '25
Maria Del Rosario De Tomas Perello '23
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 9 7 7 7 30 Gianna Dewey '23
Charlie Moore '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 RDG 4 9 12 33 Bo Angus '25
Bennett Moss '26
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 5 13 10 9 37 Cam Brewer '24
Emery Hill '23
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 4 11 14 13 42 Charlotte Stillman '23
Nathan Libby '26
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 13 12 8 10 43 Reagan Evans '23 [1-2]
Emily Priest '25 [3-4]
Madeline Ballard '25 [1-2]
Gabby Cloe '24 [3-4]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 11 8 11 14 44 Kieran Mason '26
Molly Hanson '23
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 12 9 12 11 44 Nicholas Davis '24
Aliyah Oakley '23
York High School York High School Falcons 10 14 13 8 45 Grayson Kelly '27
Tyler Compton '29
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 14 15 DNF 15 60 Barrett Wise '23 [1-2]
Hunter Walton '25 [3-4]
Brett Clemmey '27 [1-2]
Jackson Raymond '27 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 2 3 1 1 7 Parker Moore '25
Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 4 5 3 3 15 Leila Pfrang '25
Madison Bivins '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 8 1 5 2 16 Owen Grainger '24
Nathaniel Bonham '24
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 1 2 7 8 18 Simone Moss '25
Alders Kulynych-Irvin '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 10 4 2 4 20 Audrey Permenter '23
Anna Iacobucci '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 7 11 4 5 27 Hunter Wheary '24 [1-2]
James Savage '23 [3-4]
Foard Hunter '27 [1-2]
David Martin '26 [3-4]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 6 7 8 7 28 Tucker Mcgrady '26
Lillian Rippel '25
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 5 9 10 6 30 Maddie Murphy '25
Jackson Delanty '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 3 12 11 11 37 Olivia Gilmore '23
Cate Rutter '24
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 12 10 6 10 38 Nick Fogt '23
Liam Burke '27
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 11 6 9 13 39 Angelo Bellecci '25
Chloe Anderson '24
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 13 8 13 9 43 Justina Reynolds '24 [1-2]
Thomas Bloys '24 [3-4]
Austin Sadler '26 [1-2]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 9 13 12 12 46 Aubrey Walton '23
Tyler Sebring '27
Granby High School Granby High School Comets DNS DNS DNS DNS 64 No Show
No Show
York High School York High School Falcons DNS DNS DNS DNS 64 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 11111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 22222
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers4444
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets5555
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 16666
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 27777
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors8888
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores9999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 110101010
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 211111111
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks13131313
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 115151515
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 216161616
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons17171717
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons18181818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 11111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 22222
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers4444
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets5555
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 16666
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 27777
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors8888
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores9999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 110101010
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 211111111
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks13131313
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 115151515
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 216161616
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons17171717
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons18181818
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Rafael "Rafa" De Tomas Pereda '25 Maria Del Rosario De Tomas Perello '23
Seahorses 1 Owen Grainger '24 Nathaniel Bonham '24
Christchurch School Christchurch School Bo Angus '25 Bennett Moss '26
Seahorses 2 Simone Moss '25 Alders Kulynych-Irvin '25
Grafton High School Grafton High School Blake Goodwin '23 Felix Susta '27
Clippers Nick Fogt '23 Liam Burke '27
Granby High School Granby High School Nicholas Davis '24 Aliyah Oakley '23
Comets No Show No Show
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Pierce Brindley '24 Stone Dewey '26
Navigators 1 Parker Moore '25 Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Gianna Dewey '23 Charlie Moore '27
Navigators 2 Leila Pfrang '25 Madison Bivins '25
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Kieran Mason '26 Molly Hanson '23
Warriors Angelo Bellecci '25 Chloe Anderson '24
Maury High School Maury High School Reagan Evans '23 [1-2]
Emily Priest '25 [3-4]		 Madeline Ballard '25 [1-2]
Gabby Cloe '24 [3-4]
Commodores Tucker Mcgrady '26 Lillian Rippel '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Henry Allgeier '23 Eliana Mopper '26
Bulldogs 1 Audrey Permenter '23 Anna Iacobucci '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Rebecca Schill '23 Amanda Wong '25
Bulldogs 2 Hunter Wheary '24 [1-2]
James Savage '23 [3-4]		 Foard Hunter '27 [1-2]
David Martin '26 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Kiana Beachy '24 Clara Murphy '23
Oaks Maddie Murphy '25 Jackson Delanty '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Cam Brewer '24 Emery Hill '23
Islanders 1 Olivia Gilmore '23 Cate Rutter '24
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Barrett Wise '23 [1-2]
Hunter Walton '25 [3-4]		 Brett Clemmey '27 [1-2]
Jackson Raymond '27 [3-4]
Islanders 2 Aubrey Walton '23 Tyler Sebring '27
The Hague School The Hague School Charlotte Stillman '23 Nathan Libby '26
Tritons Justina Reynolds '24 [1-2]
Thomas Bloys '24 [3-4]		 Austin Sadler '26 [1-2]
York High School York High School Grayson Kelly '27 Tyler Compton '29
Falcons No Show No Show

Conditions — 03/25/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1008.3 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.6 kn
avg  ·  max 12.2 kn
Gusts to 26.4 kn
From SSW (194°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover85% Sunshine4.7 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1008.3 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christchurch: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.23 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christchurch by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Christchurch, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →