NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Bristol, RI

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 20 11 31
2 Brunswick School Brunswick School Bruins 20 23 43
3 Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens 36 29 65
4 Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School Sailing 32 35 67
5 Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Cardinals 31 45 76
6 Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 57 30 87
7 North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 46 69 115
8 Greenwich Country Day School Greenwich Country Day School Tigers 69 67 136
9 The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders 59 78 137
10 Old Rochester Old Rochester Bulldogs 86 61 147
11 Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 85 83 168
12 Sacred Heart Greenwich Sacred Heart Greenwich Varsity 85 93 178
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 1 4 3 4 1 3 3 1 20 Christian Ebbin '24 [1-8]
Avery Peterson '26 [1-2, 7-8]
Grace Patterson '25 [3-6]
Brunswick School Brunswick School Bruins 2 2 2 3 3 1 4 3 20 Sebastian Sheppard '27
Wills Gandy '30
Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Cardinals DSQ 3 1 2 2 4 2 4 31 Richard Sykes '26
Michael Donovan '26
Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School Sailing 5 1 5 6 4 8 1 2 32 Sam Sperry '26
Finn Sperry '26
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens 3 5 4 1 5 2 9 7 36 Kyle Reinecke '24
Ainsley West '24
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 4 6 6 5 6 9 5 5 46 Elizabeth Bishop '25 [1-6]
Jacob Lentz '25 [7-8]
Olivia Soucy '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Jacob Lentz '25 [3-4]
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 6 7 8 8 7 5 8 8 57 Glen Foster '26 [1-6]
Emmet Ennico '25 [7-8]
Hayes Cooper '27 [1-6]
The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders 7 8 7 7 8 7 6 9 59 Ethan Brown '25
Maddie Ammatuna '26
Greenwich Country Day School Greenwich Country Day School Tigers 10 9 9 9 OCS 6 7 6 69 Owen Chickering '25
Skylar Dreas '26
Sacred Heart Greenwich Sacred Heart Greenwich Varsity 8 12 10 11 10 12 11 11 85 Caitlin Dean '26
Emily Shull '25
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 9 11 11 10 11 11 12 10 85 Andrew Goodburn '24 [1-8]
Ethan Hoag '27 [1-2]
Hannah Conroy '26 [3-8]
Old Rochester Old Rochester Bulldogs 11 10 12 12 9 10 10 12 86 Emilia Perreira '24
Zach Leblanc '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 11 Emily Doble '24 [1-4]
Gil Hackel '26 [5-8]
Max Miller '24 [1-4]
Phoebe Fogarty '25 [5-8]
Brunswick School Brunswick School Bruins 1 1 4 4 4 6 1 2 23 Thomas Whidden '24
Henry Ginnel '26
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens 5 5 2 2 3 2 3 7 29 Charlotte West '24 [1-8]
Becca Healey '24 [1-2]
Mary Davidson '24 [3-8]
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 3 3 3 3 5 4 4 5 30 Avery Beck '27 [1-8]
Emmet Ennico '25 [1-6]
Neil Chaudhari '24 [7-8]
Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School Sailing 6 4 5 6 2 3 5 4 35 Maisy Sperry '24
Phoebe Murray '26
Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Cardinals 4 6 6 5 6 5 10 3 45 Luca Larosa '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Marcos Rotella '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Wellington Kennedy '24 [1-2]
Mollie Wood '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Annabelle Elkin '25 [5-6]
Old Rochester Old Rochester Bulldogs 9 9 7 7 10 7 6 6 61 Jack Gallagher '25
Linden White '26
Greenwich Country Day School Greenwich Country Day School Tigers 8 8 8 9 8 9 7 10 67 Mary Chickering '27
Chris L'Helias '26
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 10 7 10 10 7 8 9 8 69 Marykate Hanus '24 [1-4]
Grayson Edge '27 [5-8]
Slate Evans '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Clifford Cushman '26 [3-4, 7-8]
The Prout School The Prout School Crusaders 11 10 9 8 11 12 8 9 78 Aurora Meunier Mott '24 [1-8]
Paige Constantine '26 [1-6]
Ebby Demos '26 [7-8]
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 7 11 11 11 9 10 12 12 83 Sophie Reddick '27 [1-2]
Morgan Spring '25 [3-8]
Mia Hanson '26 [1-4]
Aspen Pearson '24 [5-8]
Sacred Heart Greenwich Sacred Heart Greenwich Varsity 12 12 12 12 12 11 11 11 93 Avery Quake '26
Sutton Burchetta '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Brunswick SchoolBrunswick School Bruins11335577
Dartmouth High SchoolDartmouth High School Sailing22446688
Greens Farms AcademyGreens Farms Academy Dragons33557799
Greenwich High SchoolGreenwich High School Cardinals5577991111
Greenwich Country Day SchoolGreenwich Country Day School Tigers4466881010
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers668810101212
Old RochesterOld Rochester Bulldogs7799111111
Portsmouth Abbey SchoolPortsmouth Abbey School Ravens881010121222
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings9911111133
Sacred Heart GreenwichSacred Heart Greenwich Varsity101012122244
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons1111113355
The Prout SchoolThe Prout School Crusaders1212224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Brunswick SchoolBrunswick School Bruins22446688
Dartmouth High SchoolDartmouth High School Sailing33557799
Greens Farms AcademyGreens Farms Academy Dragons4466881010
Greenwich High SchoolGreenwich High School Cardinals668810101212
Greenwich Country Day SchoolGreenwich Country Day School Tigers5577991111
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers7799111111
Old RochesterOld Rochester Bulldogs881010121222
Portsmouth Abbey SchoolPortsmouth Abbey School Ravens9911111133
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings101012122244
Sacred Heart GreenwichSacred Heart Greenwich Varsity1111113355
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons1212224466
The Prout SchoolThe Prout School Crusaders11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Brunswick School Brunswick School Sebastian Sheppard '27 Wills Gandy '30
Bruins Thomas Whidden '24 Henry Ginnel '26
Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School Sam Sperry '26 Finn Sperry '26
Sailing Maisy Sperry '24 Phoebe Murray '26
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Glen Foster '26 [1-6]
Emmet Ennico '25 [7-8]
Hayes Cooper '27 [1-6]
Dragons Avery Beck '27 [1-8] Emmet Ennico '25 [1-6]
Neil Chaudhari '24 [7-8]
Greenwich Country Day School Greenwich Country Day School Owen Chickering '25 Skylar Dreas '26
Tigers Mary Chickering '27 Chris L'Helias '26
Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Richard Sykes '26 Michael Donovan '26
Cardinals Luca Larosa '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Marcos Rotella '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Wellington Kennedy '24 [1-2]
Mollie Wood '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Annabelle Elkin '25 [5-6]
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Elizabeth Bishop '25 [1-6]
Jacob Lentz '25 [7-8]
Olivia Soucy '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Jacob Lentz '25 [3-4]
Skippers Marykate Hanus '24 [1-4]
Grayson Edge '27 [5-8]
Slate Evans '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Clifford Cushman '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Old Rochester Old Rochester Emilia Perreira '24 Zach Leblanc '24
Bulldogs Jack Gallagher '25 Linden White '26
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Kyle Reinecke '24 Ainsley West '24
Ravens Charlotte West '24 [1-8] Becca Healey '24 [1-2]
Mary Davidson '24 [3-8]
Rogers High School Rogers High School Andrew Goodburn '24 [1-8] Ethan Hoag '27 [1-2]
Hannah Conroy '26 [3-8]
Vikings Sophie Reddick '27 [1-2]
Morgan Spring '25 [3-8]
Mia Hanson '26 [1-4]
Aspen Pearson '24 [5-8]
Sacred Heart Greenwich Sacred Heart Greenwich Caitlin Dean '26 Emily Shull '25
Varsity Avery Quake '26 Sutton Burchetta '26
St. George's School St. George's School Christian Ebbin '24 [1-8] Avery Peterson '26 [1-2, 7-8]
Grace Patterson '25 [3-6]
Dragons Emily Doble '24 [1-4]
Gil Hackel '26 [5-8]
Max Miller '24 [1-4]
Phoebe Fogarty '25 [5-8]
The Prout School The Prout School Ethan Brown '25 Maddie Ammatuna '26
Crusaders Aurora Meunier Mott '24 [1-8] Paige Constantine '26 [1-6]
Ebby Demos '26 [7-8]

Conditions — 04/28/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1020.7 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.2 kn
avg  ·  max 13.2 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From S (185°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine8.7 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1020.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Portsmouth Abbey School: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.22 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Portsmouth Abbey School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Portsmouth Abbey School, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →