Greenwich High School '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.30 (fleet 2.25) | 120 of 231 | −0.10 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 37–25 (60%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 8–11 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 3–6 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 3 | 16–4 | — |
| Spring 2023 | 2 | 10–4 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 9 graded regattas (62 matches) the record is 37–25 against 43.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−6.5). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 19 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 2026 NESSA Team Racing Champs (Presidents Trophy) | skipper | 1.55 | -1.11 | 4–10 | 9.1 | −2.67 | 7.5 | >99% |
| 2026-04-29 | FCSL 2026 Gold Cup | skipper | 1.47 | 2.52 | 4–1 | 3.4 | +1.05 | 0.3 | 49% |
| 2025-05-03 | NESSA Team Racing Championship (Presidents Trophy) | skipper | 1.52 | -1.61 | 1–3 | 2.1 | −3.14 | 2.1 | 99% |
| 2025-04-30 | FCSL 2025 Gold Cup | skipper | 1.48 | -0.29 | 2–3 | 3.4 | −1.77 | 1.4 | 97% |
| 2024-05-18 | NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | skipper | 1.67 | 1.79 | 9–1 | 8.9 | +0.13 | 0.0 | 70% |
| 2024-05-01 | FCSL Gold Cup | skipper | 1.75 | -1.29 | 2–3 | 4.3 | −3.04 | 4.2 | >99% |
| 2024-04-30 | FCSL Silver Cup | skipper | 1.69 | 4.69 | 5–0 | 4.7 | ≥+3.00 | 0.4 | 71% |
| 2023-05-20 | National Invitational Tournament (Founders Trophy) | skipper | 1.65 | 3.96 | 7–1 | 4.5 | +2.31 | 2.9 | 6% |
| 2023-05-06 | NESSA Team Racing Championship (Presidents Trophy) | skipper | 1.49 | 1.26 | 3–3 | 3.2 | −0.22 | 0.0 | 74% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA NKBI Qualifier Keelboat | Crew | A | 7 | 3.7 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
To have this profile removed, email quinnbrighton2005@gmail.com.
