Rye Country Day School '25
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.70 (fleet 1.17) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.02 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 3–15 (17%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 0–2 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 1–7 | — |
| Spring 2023 | 1 | 2–6 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (16 matches) the record is 3–13 against 3.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.9). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | NYISA-SE Team Race Championship Spring 2024 | skipper | 0.78 | -1.38 | 1–7 | 2.4 | −2.17 | 1.6 | 98% |
| 2023-04-22 | NYISA-SE Team Race Championship | skipper | 0.57 | 1.20 | 2–6 | 1.5 | +0.63 | 0.2 | 47% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| NYISA-SE Fleet Championship Spring 2025 | Skipper | B | 4 | 2.5 | 1.55 |
| NYISA-NW State High School Sailing Championship | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.8 | 0.04 |
| NYISA-SE Team Race League Qualifiers | Skipper | TR | 6 | 0% | — |
| MASSA Spring Invitational | Skipper | A | 2 | 9.5 | -0.26 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| NYISA-SE Team Race Championship Spring 2024 | Skipper | TR | 8 | 12% | — |
| NYISA-SE Spring Fleet Race Qualifier | Skipper | A | 6 | 2.7 | 0.81 |
| MASSA Invitational | Skipper | A | 4 | 6.8 | 1.30 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| NYISA-SE Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 8 | 25% | — |
| NYISA-SE SUNY Maritime Invitational | Skipper | B | 4 | 10.8 | -0.41 |
| NYISA-SE Spring League Champs 2023 | Skipper | B | 2 | 4.5 | -0.50 |
| MASSA Silver Fleet Championship spring 2023 | Skipper | A | 2 | 3.5 | 2.39 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| NYISA-SE NY State Champs | Skipper | B | 3 | 4.3 | 1.15 |
| NYISA-SE 2022 SUNY Invitational | Crew | B | 2 | 12.5 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
To have this profile removed, email quinnbrighton2005@gmail.com.
