NYISA-SE Spring League Champs 2023

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 6 16 22
2 Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 19 14 33
3 Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 20 14 34
4 Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 18 24 42
5 St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 27 22 49
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Gavin Hudson '24
Mairead Reitzel '24
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 2 4 3 4 2 3 18 Connor Davidson '24
Sara Komaroff '27
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 3 2 2 2 5 5 19 Cameron Silvers '23 [1-6]
Lanie Ferrarone '24 [1-4]
Jonathan Wittick '25 [5-6]
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 4 3 4 3 4 2 20 Saffer Lillian '23
Hugo Sacristan '26
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 5 5 5 5 3 4 27 Nicole Ostapowicz '24
Bernadette Scott '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 1 5 4 1 1 2 14 Helen Halvorson '26
Finn Palermo '24
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 2 2 1 2 2 5 14 Michelle Kaneti '25 [1-6]
Sadie Yoder '24 [1-4]
Sabrina Bauer '24 [5-6]
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 3 1 2 4 3 3 16 Mauro Gonzales '24
Amy Li '23
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 4 3 3 3 5 4 22 Catherine Desmond '26
Kathryn Elliott '26
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 5 4 5 5 4 1 24 Connor Rusch '25 [1-2]
Alice Rikkers '26 [3-4]
Hayden Hart '25 [5-6]
Josh Greene '25 [1-4]
Stella Meymin '24 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers113355
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets335522
Rye Country Day SchoolRye Country Day School Wildcats224411
St. John the BaptistSt. John the Baptist Cougars441133
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears552244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers224411
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets441133
Rye Country Day SchoolRye Country Day School Wildcats335522
St. John the BaptistSt. John the Baptist Cougars552244
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears113355

Conditions — 04/13/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 40%  ·  Pressure 1010.5 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 8.4 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From WSW (254°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity40% Pressure1010.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at The Stony Brook: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.61 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at The Stony Brook by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at The Stony Brook, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →