MASSA Silver Fleet Championship spring 2023

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 17 9 26
2 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 22 40 62
3 Key School Key School Zags 25 43 68
4 Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 65 29 94
5 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 35 60 95
6 Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 44 55 99
7 Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors 43 60 103
8 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 61 44 105
9 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 69 48 117
10 Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 53 66 119
11 Gunston Gunston Herons 61 65 126
12 St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 70 64 134
13 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 67 75 142
14 Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 91 81 172
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 5 1 3 3 3 17 Owen Grainger '24 [1-6]
Elliott Lipp '26 [7]
Bennett Moss '26 [1-6]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 4 3 4 BKD 2 4 2 22 Marco Welch '24 [1-7]
Anabel Chambers '24 [1-4]
Ryan Becker '24 [5-7]
Key School Key School Zags 2 5 8 4 4 1 1 25 Mason Cook '25 [1-7]
Paige Asbill '31 [1-4]
Stella Kim '23 [5-7]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 3 7 2 5 6 5 7 35 Hartley Cooper '26
Caroline Welte '25
Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors 10 11 3 3 5 7 4 43 Drew Defonzo '26
Maggie Defonzo '26
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 5 2 6 11 1 11 8 44 Richard Pokorny '25
Morgan Auth '23
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 11 6 1 6 14 9 6 53 Connor Davidson '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Connor Rusch '25 [3-4]
Alice Rikkers '26 [1-7]
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 7 8 12 8 13 8 5 61 Scott Opert '24
Molly Dowling '25
Gunston Gunston Herons 9 10 10 7 10 6 9 61 Tommy Mcgeady '25 [1-7]
Grace Anne Philips '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Eli Moore '25 [3-4, 7]
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 6 4 14 9 7 13 12 65 Saffer Lillian '23 [1-7]
Annabella Milano '25 [1-3]
Cecelia Hoogstra '25 [4-7]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 12 13 7 2 11 12 10 67 Jamie Lynch '23
Keira Press '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 8 12 9 10 9 10 11 69 Olivia Gilmore '23
Cate Rutter '24
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 13 9 13 12 8 2 13 70 Benjamin Mazurkiewicz '25
Matthew Hudi '26
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 14 14 11 13 12 BKD 14 91 Philipp Meyer '24
Hannah Dearman '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 9 Bo Angus '25 [1-2]
Jordan Viera '24 [3-4, 7]
Guillem Balaguer Soler '26 [5-6]
Paul Rodrigues Jr '24 [1-2]
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 4 2 3 4 4 1 11 29 Helen Halvorson '26 [1-7]
Hugo Sacristan '26 [1-3]
Finn Palermo '24 [4-7]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 5 4 6 10 3 7 5 40 Hayden Clary '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Chris White '24 [3-4]
James O'Leary '25 [1-2, 7]
Justin Marquez '24 [3-4]
Aden Keithley '24 [5-6]
Key School Key School Zags 8 OCS 5 2 1 10 2 43 James Rizek '23
Trey Burman '25
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 6 7 4 5 10 8 4 44 Sophie Griggs '24
Nola Primeaux '25
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 7 OCS 2 6 6 6 6 48 Cam Brewer '24 [1-2]
Aubrey Walton '23 [3-7]
Hunter Walton '25 [1-2]
Barrett Wise '23 [3-7]
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls 9 11 10 8 7 3 7 55 Hudson Depaul '26 [1-2]
Sydney Mihalko '25 [3-7]
Sydney Mihalko '25 [1-2]
Hudson Depaul '26 [3-7]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 2 6 7 12 8 13 12 60 Louisa Kalinski '25
Victor Kleppinger '25
Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors 13 8 9 7 5 9 9 60 Peter Mazzagatti '26
Jeff Porter '26
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 11 5 8 9 9 12 10 64 Benjamin Mazurkiewicz '25 [1-7]
Thomas Ferguson '23 [1-4, 7]
Daniel Piazza '26 [5-6]
Gunston Gunston Herons 3 3 12 13 12 14 8 65 Matthew Periconi '24 [1-4]
Ian Kissel '23 [5-7]
Alix Allison '25 [1-2, 7]
Ian Kissel '23 [3-4]
Matthew Periconi '24 [5-6]
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 12 12 11 3 14 11 3 66 Hayden Hart '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Alice Rikkers '26 [3-4]
Josh Greene '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Ade Larsen '23 [3-4]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 10 9 13 11 13 5 14 75 Grant Press '25 [1-7]
Cameron Francini '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Ethan Wagner '26 [3-4, 7]
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 14 10 DNF 14 11 4 13 81 Nolan Lefler '25
Matt Lefler '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins1133557
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars2244668
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses3355779
Key SchoolKey School Zags6688101012
Point Pleasant Beach High SchoolPoint Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls7799111113
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders881010121214
Henderson High SchoolHenderson High School Warriors55779911
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets1010121214142
Rye Country Day SchoolRye Country Day School Wildcats99111113131
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres141422446
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs11111313113
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans12121414224
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders131311335
GunstonGunston Herons44668810

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins2244668
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars3355779
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses44668810
Key SchoolKey School Zags7799111113
Point Pleasant Beach High SchoolPoint Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls881010121214
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders99111113131
Henderson High SchoolHenderson High School Warriors6688101012
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets11111313113
Rye Country Day SchoolRye Country Day School Wildcats1010121214142
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres1133557
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs12121414224
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans131311335
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders141422446
GunstonGunston Herons55779911
School / Team SkipperCrew
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Marco Welch '24 [1-7] Anabel Chambers '24 [1-4]
Ryan Becker '24 [5-7]
Bruins Hayden Clary '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Chris White '24 [3-4]
James O'Leary '25 [1-2, 7]
Justin Marquez '24 [3-4]
Aden Keithley '24 [5-6]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Jamie Lynch '23 Keira Press '23
Cougars Grant Press '25 [1-7] Cameron Francini '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Ethan Wagner '26 [3-4, 7]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Owen Grainger '24 [1-6]
Elliott Lipp '26 [7]
Bennett Moss '26 [1-6]
Seahorses Bo Angus '25 [1-2]
Jordan Viera '24 [3-4, 7]
Guillem Balaguer Soler '26 [5-6]
Paul Rodrigues Jr '24 [1-2]
Gunston Gunston Tommy Mcgeady '25 [1-7] Grace Anne Philips '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Eli Moore '25 [3-4, 7]
Herons Matthew Periconi '24 [1-4]
Ian Kissel '23 [5-7]
Alix Allison '25 [1-2, 7]
Ian Kissel '23 [3-4]
Matthew Periconi '24 [5-6]
Henderson High School Henderson High School Drew Defonzo '26 Maggie Defonzo '26
Warriors Peter Mazzagatti '26 Jeff Porter '26
Key School Key School Mason Cook '25 [1-7] Paige Asbill '31 [1-4]
Stella Kim '23 [5-7]
Zags James Rizek '23 Trey Burman '25
Point Pleasant Beach High School Point Pleasant Beach High School Richard Pokorny '25 Morgan Auth '23
Garnett Gulls Hudson Depaul '26 [1-2]
Sydney Mihalko '25 [3-7]
Sydney Mihalko '25 [1-2]
Hudson Depaul '26 [3-7]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Olivia Gilmore '23 Cate Rutter '24
Islanders Cam Brewer '24 [1-2]
Aubrey Walton '23 [3-7]
Hunter Walton '25 [1-2]
Barrett Wise '23 [3-7]
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Connor Davidson '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Connor Rusch '25 [3-4]
Alice Rikkers '26 [1-7]
Wildcats Hayden Hart '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Alice Rikkers '26 [3-4]
Josh Greene '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Ade Larsen '23 [3-4]
Rye High School Rye High School Saffer Lillian '23 [1-7] Annabella Milano '25 [1-3]
Cecelia Hoogstra '25 [4-7]
Garnets Helen Halvorson '26 [1-7] Hugo Sacristan '26 [1-3]
Finn Palermo '24 [4-7]
Southern High School Southern High School Scott Opert '24 Molly Dowling '25
Bulldogs Sophie Griggs '24 Nola Primeaux '25
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Philipp Meyer '24 Hannah Dearman '24
Trojans Nolan Lefler '25 Matt Lefler '24
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Benjamin Mazurkiewicz '25 Matthew Hudi '26
Marauders Benjamin Mazurkiewicz '25 [1-7] Thomas Ferguson '23 [1-4, 7]
Daniel Piazza '26 [5-6]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Hartley Cooper '26 Caroline Welte '25
Sabres Louisa Kalinski '25 Victor Kleppinger '25

Conditions — 05/13/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌧️Slight rain
Humidity 91%  ·  Pressure 1017.7 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From WSW (248°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine3.8 hrs Humidity91% Pressure1017.7 hPa Rain0.64 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 4 kn · N 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Great Mills/Leonardtown High: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Great Mills/Leonardtown High by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (16 labelled days at Great Mills/Leonardtown High).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →