NYISA-SE Fleet Championship Spring 2025

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 11 14 25
2 Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 16 18 34
3 Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 22 19 41
4 Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 25 19 44
5 St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 30 35 65
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 1 1 2 1 1 BKD 3 11 Carlos Gonzalez '28
Jp Panebianco '27
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 4 2 3 3 2 1 1 16 Melanie Lahrkamp '27 [1-7]
Annabella Milano '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Mark Lieshaj '26 [3-4]
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 5 4 1 4 4 2 2 22 Michelle Kaneti '25
Max Lazarus '25
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 2 3 5 2 3 5 5 25 Zack Wirth '27 [1-7]
Sara Komaroff '27 [1-6]
Josh Greene '25 [7]
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 3 5 4 5 5 4 4 30 Catherine Desmond '26
Bridget Theisen '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 1 1 2 4 2 1 3 14 Arancha Rivero-Ansed '27
Joshua Henson '25
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 4 4 1 1 4 3 1 18 Hugo Sacristan '26
Haley Kloepfer '25
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 2 2 3 3 1 4 4 19 Connor Rusch '25 [1-4]
Alice Rikkers '26 [5-7]
Charlotte Crowley '28 [1-4]
Frank Zingg '26 [5-7]
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 3 3 4 2 3 2 2 19 Jonathan Wittick '25
Graham Welsh '25
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 35 Kathryn Elliott '26
Caitlin Stewart '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers1133552
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets3355224
Rye Country Day SchoolRye Country Day School Wildcats2244113
St. John the BaptistSt. John the Baptist Cougars4411335
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears5522441

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers25252626272728
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets29292525262627
Rye Country Day SchoolRye Country Day School Wildcats28282929252526
St. John the BaptistSt. John the Baptist Cougars26262727282829
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears27272828292925

Conditions — 03/29/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1014.1 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.1 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 26.2 kn
From W (259°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover66% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1014.1 hPa Rain0.16 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 17 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at The Stony Brook: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at The Stony Brook by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at The Stony Brook, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →