| Regatta | Type | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| MDISA BCSC Silver Regatta #1 | Fleet Race | 9 / 17 |
| MDISA DC Sail Fall '22 T3 | Fleet Race | 11 / 15 |
| MDISA Fall '22 DC Sail T1 | Fleet Race | 8 / 13 |
| MDISA Gunston Fall '22 Bronze | Fleet Race | 6 / 13 |
| MDISA Gunston Fall '22 T2 | Fleet Race | 8 / 14 |
| MDISA SCC Tier 2 | Fleet Race | 5 / 13 |
| MDISA SSA/AYC Fleet Race (Tier 2) | Fleet Race | 13 / 16 |
| John Thomas |
| Amory Smith |
| Erez Engler |
| John Wills |
| Jonah Molinoff |
| Lila Gottenberg |
| Marco Gessner Pilotto |
| Marco Pilotto |
| Sadie Haas |
| Sebastian Yurcisin |
| Teniola Tobun |
| Ava Kucko |
| Jack Sieg |
| Luke Johnson |
| Morgan Rathjen |
| Phoebe Milhollin |
| Riley Purcell |
| Allison Sproles |
| Grace Lally |
| # | Skipper | Rating | League percentile |
Team percentile |
Races |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amory Smith | 1.08 | 66.03 | 91.67 | 9 |
| 2 | Jack Sieg | 0.33 | 43.30 | 75.00 | 42 |
| 3 | Allison Sproles | 0.26 | 41.55 | 58.33 | 7 |
| 4 | Marco Pilotto | 0.08 | 35.54 | 41.67 | 6 |
| 5 | Riley Purcell | -0.16 | 25.89 | 25.00 | 8 |
| 6 | Marco Gessner Pilotto | -0.62 | 13.37 | 8.33 | 6 |
Skippers with at least 4 rated boat-races this season, ranked by their rating after their last race of the season. Percentiles count ties as half.
| # | Crew | Rating | Range The dot is the rating. The shaded band is where it plausibly sits (90% range): a wide band means little evidence, and bands that overlap mean the crews cannot be told apart. The dashed line is the team's skipper average. Ratings are on the skipper scale and crews on one team differ far less than skippers do, so use them to compare crews across teams, not to rank within a team. How crew ratings work → |
League percentile |
Team percentile |
Races |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morgan Rathjen | 1.09 | 64.88 | 87.50 | 9 | |
| 2 | Teniola Tobun* | 0.44 | 44.57 | 62.50 | 10 | |
| 3 | Lila Gottenberg | 0.08 | 31.98 | 37.50 | 16 | |
| 4 | Erez Engler | -0.98 | 6.68 | 12.50 | 28 |
| Crew* | Rating | Range The dot is the rating. The shaded band is where it plausibly sits (90% range): a wide band means little evidence, and bands that overlap mean the crews cannot be told apart. The dashed line is the team's skipper average. Ratings are on the skipper scale and crews on one team differ far less than skippers do, so use them to compare crews across teams, not to rank within a team. How crew ratings work → |
Races this season | Career races |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Kucko* | – | not enough data to rate | 7 | 26 |
| Luke Johnson* | – | not enough data to rate | 2 | 36 |
| Sebastian Yurcisin* | – | not enough data to rate | 2 | 2 |
| Grace Lally* | – | not enough data to rate | 2 | 2 |
| Jonah Molinoff* | -1.41 | 3 | 67 | |
| John Thomas* | – | not enough data to rate | 4 | 0 |
Ranked crews have at least 8 races this season; * means low evidence (under 8 races this season, or under 30 career races with rated skippers). Ratings are on the skipper scale (×18.7 the crew effect). League percentile also reflects how strong the team's skippers are.
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
Winston Churchill High School