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North 2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 26 27 53
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 61 45 106
3 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 60 63 123
4 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 73 62 135
5 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 75 69 144
6 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 46 99 145
7 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 78 70 148
8 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 95 73 168
9 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 129 78 207
10 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 80 153 233
11 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 133 106 239
12 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 128 119 247
13 Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 133 124 257
14 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 146 167 313
15 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 176 164 340
16 University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 188 202 390
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 2 1 1 1 3 BKD 1 1 10 2 1 26 Daniel Liberty '12
Francois Conde-Jahn '13
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 6 3 2 4 4 1 2 3 2 3 10 6 46 Peter Soosalu '12
James Morrin '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 5 7 5 8 2 2 3 2 14 1 9 2 60 Mike Carr '15
Thomas Sippel '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 13 3 5 3 BKD 7 BKD 3 6 5 3 61 George Prieto '13
Sarah Blake '15
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 7 6 12 2 8 5 BKD 4 6 5 3 9 73 Elliott Morrill '15
Alex Nugent '15
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 2 4 8 3 5 12 9 6 7 4 8 7 75 Billy Hines '12
Marie Johnson '12
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 4 1 4 7 10 4 12 5 4 13 1 13 78 Lauren Turner '13
Della Bradt '13
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 12 8 9 6 7 7 1 9 5 2 6 8 80 Griffin Orr '15
Stephanie Rosenbaum '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 8 5 10 10 6 10 6 13 12 7 4 4 95 Christopher Scott '12 [1-4]
Dan Crouch Crouch '12 [5-12]
Jamileh Soueidan '15 [1-4]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 9 11 7 14 11 11 8 14 8 9 12 14 128 James Codega '14
Michael Larose '13
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 14 12 13 11 9 8 11 8 13 8 11 11 129 Chase Webber '15 [1-12]
Alexander Avery '12 [1-4]
Jennifer Irwin '15 [5-12]
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 10 10 15 15 12 13 5 10 9 11 13 10 133 Eddie Einhaus '13
Nathaniel Macdonald '13
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 16 9 6 9 OCS 15 16 11 10 12 7 5 133 Nathan Fulcher '13 [1-4, 11-12]
John Handel '12 [5-10]
Andy Peck '15 [1-4, 11-12]
Peter Thorpe '13 [5-10]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 13 14 11 13 13 9 10 12 11 14 14 12 146 Chris Myers '15
Melanie Musso '15
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 15 15 14 12 14 16 15 15 15 15 15 15 176 Lucas Holmes '15
Blair Stewart '15
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 11 DNF DNS DNS 15 14 14 16 DNS DNS DNS 16 188 Danielle Sookiasian '15
John Power '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 1 4 4 5 BKD 27 Gary Herring '12 [1-8]
Andrew Bates '15 [9-12]
Maggy Ashton '14 [1-8]
Erin Hofstetter '14 [9-12]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 3 5 1 4 1 7 7 1 8 2 3 45 Charles Peck '15
Glenn Mckenna '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 2 2 6 5 6 9 3 3 9 9 6 62 Potter Hodgson '13
Robert Davenport '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 7 6 3 5 3 9 5 2 2 3 1 OCS 63 Scott Lubliner '13
Andrew Haggerty '14
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 9 BKD 4 3 1 2 4 5 5 12 8 10 69 John Croll '12
Austin Lo '12
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 4 5 7 7 8 4 3 4 14 1 12 1 70 Jennifer Borshoff '15
Martha Peterson '12
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 6 14 BKD 4 11 5 2 6 9 5 3 2 73 Paige Conlin '14
Nicole Kelly '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 10 4 6 9 6 7 12 8 6 2 4 4 78 Adam Keally '15 [1-4]
John O'Riordan '12 [5-12]
Dan Canziani '14 [1-6, 9-12]
Nina Synnestvedt '14 [7-8]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 8 8 10 8 9 11 6 9 7 11 7 5 99 Arielle Morgan '13
David Kagan '15
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 5 10 9 10 7 10 8 12 10 7 10 8 106 Ian Hunt '13 [1-12]
John Handel '12 [1-4]
Olivia Robertson '15 [5-12]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 13 7 14 14 10 12 11 11 8 6 6 7 119 Troy Zangle '13 [1-4]
Douglas Zangre '13 [5-12]
Marc Smith '13 [1-4]
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer 11 9 8 12 12 8 10 10 11 13 11 9 124 Kevin Petrikas '13
Gregory Pitner '12
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 12 12 15 15 13 13 13 14 12 10 13 11 153 Jon Gambacorta '13 [1-12]
Andrew Green '14 [1-4]
Collin Mandris '13 [5-12]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 14 11 11 13 15 15 15 15 15 14 14 12 164 David Geer '13 [1-4]
Jack Pinnell '15 [5-12]
Jack Pinnell '15 [1-4]
Margaret Jones '14 [5-12]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 15 13 13 11 14 14 14 13 13 15 15 DNF 167 Stephen Ciccariello '13
Hunter Snyder '12
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester DNF 16 DNS DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 16 DNS DNS 202 Jonathan Lotempio '14
Michael Danta '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army11335577991111
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo15151133557799
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions22161614141212101088
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red3355779911111313
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons44221616141412121010
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams557799111113131515
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen664422161614141212
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners779911111313151511
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen8866442216161414
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 1991111131315151133
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 21010886644221616
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels111113131515113355
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer141412121010886644
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester1212101088664422
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester1313151511335577
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers16161414121210108866

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army2244668810101212
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo1616224466881010
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions111515131311119977
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red446688101012121414
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons331115151313111199
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams66881010121214141616
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen553311151513131111
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners88101012121414161622
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen7755331115151313
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 110101212141416162244
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 299775533111515
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels121214141616224466
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer1313111199775533
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester11119977553311
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester1414161622446688
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers151513131111997755
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University Billy Hines '12 Marie Johnson '12
Lions John Croll '12 Austin Lo '12
Cornell University Cornell University Lauren Turner '13 Della Bradt '13
Big Red Jennifer Borshoff '15 Martha Peterson '12
Drexel University Drexel University Chris Myers '15 Melanie Musso '15
Dragons Stephen Ciccariello '13 Hunter Snyder '12
Fordham University Fordham University Chase Webber '15 [1-12] Alexander Avery '12 [1-4]
Jennifer Irwin '15 [5-12]
Rams Adam Keally '15 [1-4]
John O'Riordan '12 [5-12]		 Dan Canziani '14 [1-6, 9-12]
Nina Synnestvedt '14 [7-8]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Elliott Morrill '15 Alex Nugent '15
Statesmen Potter Hodgson '13 Robert Davenport '13
Queen's University Queen's University Peter Soosalu '12 James Morrin '14
Gaels Arielle Morgan '13 David Kagan '15
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Eddie Einhaus '13 Nathaniel Macdonald '13
Rensselaer Kevin Petrikas '13 Gregory Pitner '12
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Nathan Fulcher '13 [1-4, 11-12]
John Handel '12 [5-10]		 Andy Peck '15 [1-4, 11-12]
Peter Thorpe '13 [5-10]
Rochester Ian Hunt '13 [1-12] John Handel '12 [1-4]
Olivia Robertson '15 [5-12]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Christopher Scott '12 [1-4]
Dan Crouch Crouch '12 [5-12]		 Jamileh Soueidan '15 [1-4]
Privateers 1 Paige Conlin '14 Nicole Kelly '12
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Mike Carr '15 Thomas Sippel '14
Privateers 2 Scott Lubliner '13 Andrew Haggerty '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Daniel Liberty '12 Francois Conde-Jahn '13
Mariners Gary Herring '12 [1-8]
Andrew Bates '15 [9-12]		 Maggy Ashton '14 [1-8]
Erin Hofstetter '14 [9-12]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Lucas Holmes '15 Blair Stewart '15
Army David Geer '13 [1-4]
Jack Pinnell '15 [5-12]		 Jack Pinnell '15 [1-4]
Margaret Jones '14 [5-12]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy George Prieto '13 Sarah Blake '15
Midshipmen Charles Peck '15 Glenn Mckenna '14
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Griffin Orr '15 Stephanie Rosenbaum '13
Buffalo Jon Gambacorta '13 [1-12] Andrew Green '14 [1-4]
Collin Mandris '13 [5-12]
University of Rochester University of Rochester Danielle Sookiasian '15 John Power '14
U. Rochester Jonathan Lotempio '14 Michael Danta '14
Webb Institute Webb Institute James Codega '14 Michael Larose '13
Clippers Troy Zangle '13 [1-4]
Douglas Zangre '13 [5-12]		 Marc Smith '13 [1-4]

Conditions — 10/15/2011 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1003.9 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.8 kn
avg  ·  max 17.7 kn
Gusts to 32.3 kn
From WSW (243°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover27% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1003.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 17 kn · SW 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at NY Maritime: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at NY Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at NY Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →