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Maritime Fall Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 48 48 96
2 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 45 57 102
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 72 57 129
4 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 61 82 143
5 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 80 72 152
6 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 96 69 165
7 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 109 71 180
8 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 110 90 200
9 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 74 131 205
10 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 69 139 208
11 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 121 98 219
12 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 157 110 267
13 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 160 117 277
14 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 139 163 302
15 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 160 171 331
16 Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI 159 176 335
17 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 191 223 414
18 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 220 201 421
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 2 2 6 3 2 2 4 1 OCS 1 1 45 Alecsander Tayler '17
Madeleine Sims '16
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 15 7 1 2 1 4 1 5 2 4 4 2 48 Elliott Morrill '15
Adele Huffine '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 12 8 5 2 1 5 3 6 5 9 4 61 Arthur Libby '17 [1-6]
Austin Buonsignore '16 [7-12]
James Lane '17 [1-6]
Matthew Romanuski '16 [7-12]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 10 4 3 1 4 3 6 6 3 11 8 10 69 Conor Cashel '14
Catherine Duggan '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 5 11 6 4 6 5 9 7 5 2 3 9 72 Marissa Lihan '14
Julie Miller '15
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 9 1 5 8 DNF 13 3 1 4 1 7 3 74 Joshua Prucnal '16
Sabrina Hesse '17
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 6 6 11 3 14 11 4 2 8 3 5 7 80 Jennifer Borshoff '15
Rebecca Mount '17
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 4 3 4 11 9 8 7 8 11 10 15 6 96 Joe Farned '17
Cary Kane '17
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 3 10 12 7 13 14 10 12 12 9 2 5 109 Cody Stansky '16
Kurt Gavel '16
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 13 5 7 9 5 6 8 9 10 13 13 12 110 Colin Keil '15
Natalie Macdisi '16
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 7 9 10 10 7 10 12 10 7 12 14 13 121 Jay Spector '16
Matthew Ricci '15
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 8 18 9 13 15 9 11 16 15 6 11 8 139 Joy Macdonald '14
David Kagan '15
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 16 13 14 16 11 16 15 13 14 8 6 15 157 Madeline Taggart '15
Michael Ince '16
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI 14 14 16 12 8 7 16 11 9 14 DNF DNF 159 Peter Hudson '16
Michael Kubista '17
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 12 8 13 14 12 12 17 14 16 16 12 14 160 Andrew Baransky '14
Heidi Neubelt '17
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 17 15 17 17 10 15 13 15 13 7 10 11 160 Constantine Spentzos '17
David Benjamin '15
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 11 16 15 15 16 17 14 17 17 15 DNF DNF 191 Zachary Kyritsis '14
Emily Brownawell '15
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 18 17 18 DNF 17 DNF 18 18 DNS DNS DNF DNF 220 Erik Slawsky '17
Kevin Mccandless '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 5 3 1 2 4 5 1 3 11 5 4 4 48 Brendan O'Leary '16
Marnie Merrill '15
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 2 2 1 2 1 4 6 2 1 16 OCS 57 Adelaide Ferguson '17
Samantha Foulston '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 1 8 10 9 6 2 1 4 7 3 3 57 Hannah Hughes '17
Mary Robertson '17
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 7 14 5 6 4 6 13 3 2 1 6 69 Caroline Garth '17
Maxwell Ryder '16
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 7 4 3 4 7 2 8 2 DSQ 4 6 5 71 Nathan Fast '14 [1-6]
Alex Dzinbal '17 [7-12]
James Codega '14 [1-4]
Alexander Donlan '16 [5-8]
Brianna Louie '17 [9-10]
Isaac Kremers '17 [11-12]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 10 8 12 3 3 3 7 4 5 9 7 1 72 Collin Clark '14
Honore Johnson '16
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 4 6 4 RAF 1 10 5 8 1 8 8 8 82 Nicholas Wallinder '15 [1-6]
John Nothacker '16 [7-12]
Zachery Harris '15 [1-6]
Larissa Bellavia '16 [7-12]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 11 5 7 7 5 11 10 5 7 6 14 2 90 Alex Gatto '15
Perry Goodman '17
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 6 12 6 6 11 9 3 9 9 3 5 DSQ 98 Hannah Mcnomee '16
Erin Mccormack '14
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 9 11 5 8 10 7 12 7 8 12 10 11 110 Madison Oleson '17
Sloan Dickey '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 12 10 9 9 8 8 14 10 6 10 11 10 117 Padraig Loughlin '15
Danielle Ciufia '17
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 13 9 13 11 12 15 11 15 10 11 2 9 131 David Bigelow '15
Nathaniel Lowe '14
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 8 13 10 12 13 14 9 12 14 15 12 7 139 Catherine Duggan '15
Paolo Bertolotti '16
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 15 16 15 15 15 13 16 11 12 13 9 13 163 Stephanie Alp '12
Anders Brown '14
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 16 15 17 13 14 12 13 16 13 14 13 15 171 Heather Grosso '16
Gregory Sarafin '14
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI 14 14 11 14 16 16 17 14 15 16 17 12 176 Stephen Gross '17
Logan Shire '16
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 17 17 DNF 16 DNS DNS 15 17 16 17 15 14 201 Patrick Stege '14
Christopher Dimaria '17
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 18 18 16 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 223 Cody Murphy '17
Alicia Elliott '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions11335577991111
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 12218181616141412121010
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 23355779911111313
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams44221818161614141212
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 1557799111113131515
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 2664422181816161414
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen77991111131315151717
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners8866442218181616
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps99111113131515171711
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1010886644221818
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers11111313151517171133
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers17171133557799
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels1212101088664422
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI131315151717113355
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1141412121010886644
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 21515171711335577
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange16161414121210108866
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1818161614141212101088

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions2244668810101212
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 111171715151313111199
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 2446688101012121414
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams33111717151513131111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 166881010121214141616
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 2553311171715151313
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen8810101212141416161818
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners7755331117171515
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps1010121214141616181822
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen99775533111717
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers12121414161618182244
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1818224466881010
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels11119977553311
Rensselaer Polytechnic InstituteRensselaer Polytechnic Institute RPI141416161818224466
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 11313111199775533
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 21616181822446688
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange151513131111997755
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers17171515131311119977
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University Conor Cashel '14 Catherine Duggan '15
Lions Catherine Duggan '15 Paolo Bertolotti '16
Cornell University Cornell University Jennifer Borshoff '15 Rebecca Mount '17
Big Red 1 Collin Clark '14 Honore Johnson '16
Cornell University Cornell University Colin Keil '15 Natalie Macdisi '16
Big Red 2 Alex Gatto '15 Perry Goodman '17
Fordham University Fordham University Alecsander Tayler '17 Madeleine Sims '16
Rams Adelaide Ferguson '17 Samantha Foulston '17
George Washington University George Washington University Jay Spector '16 Matthew Ricci '15
Colonials 1 Hannah Mcnomee '16 Erin Mccormack '14
George Washington University George Washington University Madeline Taggart '15 Michael Ince '16
Colonials 2 Madison Oleson '17 Sloan Dickey '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Elliott Morrill '15 Adele Huffine '14
Statesmen Brendan O'Leary '16 Marnie Merrill '15
Queen's University Queen's University Joy Macdonald '14 David Kagan '15
Gaels Stephanie Alp '12 Anders Brown '14
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Peter Hudson '16 Michael Kubista '17
RPI Stephen Gross '17 Logan Shire '16
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Arthur Libby '17 [1-6]
Austin Buonsignore '16 [7-12]		 James Lane '17 [1-6]
Matthew Romanuski '16 [7-12]
Privateers Nicholas Wallinder '15 [1-6]
John Nothacker '16 [7-12]		 Zachery Harris '15 [1-6]
Larissa Bellavia '16 [7-12]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Zachary Kyritsis '14 Emily Brownawell '15
Seawolves 1 Cody Murphy '17 Alicia Elliott '15
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Constantine Spentzos '17 David Benjamin '15
Seawolves 2 Heather Grosso '16 Gregory Sarafin '14
Syracuse University Syracuse University Erik Slawsky '17 Kevin Mccandless '15
Orange Patrick Stege '14 Christopher Dimaria '17
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Andrew Baransky '14 Heidi Neubelt '17
Mariners Padraig Loughlin '15 Danielle Ciufia '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Marissa Lihan '14 Julie Miller '15
Midshipmen Hannah Hughes '17 Mary Robertson '17
University of Maryland University of Maryland Joshua Prucnal '16 Sabrina Hesse '17
Terps David Bigelow '15 Nathaniel Lowe '14
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Joe Farned '17 Cary Kane '17
Quakers Caroline Garth '17 Maxwell Ryder '16
Webb Institute Webb Institute Cody Stansky '16 Kurt Gavel '16
Clippers Nathan Fast '14 [1-6]
Alex Dzinbal '17 [7-12]		 James Codega '14 [1-4]
Alexander Donlan '16 [5-8]
Brianna Louie '17 [9-10]
Isaac Kremers '17 [11-12]

Conditions — 09/21/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1011.3 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.5 kn
avg  ·  max 15.6 kn
Gusts to 31.5 kn
From S (169°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1011.3 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 14 kn · NW 12 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at NY Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at NY Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at NY Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →