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Central Coast Challenge

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 26 18 44
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 28 33 61
3 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA 1 42 33 75
4 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 29 72 101
5 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 29 77 106
6 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 42 71 113
7 Long Beach City College Long Beach City College Vikings 50 66 116
8 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA 3 91 32 123
9 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA 2 84 45 129
10 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 94 53 147
11 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 92 101 193
12 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 116 82 198
13 Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 100 101 201
14 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 119 97 216
15 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 87 145 232
16 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 100 MRP 141 MRP 241 MRP
17 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 124 130 254
18 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 141 147 288
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 1 1 7 3 2 5 5 2 26 Sterling Henken '18
Anonah Lee '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 8 6 4 2 5 1 1 1 28 Grant Rickon '16 [1-8]
Olivia Montiano '18 [1-4]
Claire Stivers '18 [5-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 3 2 8 3 3 4 4 29 Alex Verdoia '15
Altea Hines '16
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 5 8 1 4 4 2 2 3 29 Sunny Scarbrough '17
Kathrine Schiller '18
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 3 4 9 5 1 9 6 5 42 Daniel Baldassare '15
Hayley Palmer '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA 1 6 5 3 7 6 4 3 8 42 Saul Rosen '15
Linda Ge '17
Long Beach City College Long Beach City College Vikings 7 9 5 1 8 6 8 6 50 Steven Hopkins '17
Betsabe Hernandez '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA 2 11 14 12 12 9 8 9 9 84 Tyler Hogan '17
Hani Azam '17
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 10 7 DNS DNS 7 7 11 7 87 Maddy Brownsea '18
Kinsey Cohen '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA 3 14 13 8 11 11 10 12 12 91 Daniel Anderson '14
Katie Hitchcock '16
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 4 2 14 10 14 15 16 17 92 Peter Schmidt '18
Kylee Walterman '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 17 11 10 6 13 12 15 10 94 Geoffrey Brelsford '18 [1-4]
Keiran Hansen '17 [5-8]
Neda Kasraee '18 [1-4]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 9 12 6 9 10 13 7 14 100 MRP
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 12 17 11 13 15 11 10 11 100 Mathew Anderson '17 [1-8]
Jacob Warren '15 [1-2, 5-7]
Julee Felts '15 [3-4]
Avary Osborn '17 [8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 15 15 16 16 12 16 13 13 116 Samuel Rohrbach '17
Robyn Gillum '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 13 10 13 14 18 18 17 16 119 Oliver Kunz '15 [1-4]
Tim Wetzel '18 [5-8]
Sarah Schatz '18 [1-4]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 16 16 15 15 16 17 14 15 124 David Luu '17
Joylen Nakagawa '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 18 18 DNS DNS 17 14 18 18 141 Grant Lin '17
Jeff Billings '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 2 3 1 3 6 1 1 1 18 Alexander Burrow '18
Shannie Kuo '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA 3 3 2 6 2 4 5 4 6 32 Henry Keenan '18
Jacob Basinger '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA 1 1 4 7 11 3 3 2 2 33 Kyra Oakes '18
Robert Mcroskey '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 4 5 4 7 2 4 3 4 33 Daniel Pekin '18
Elizabeth Long '18
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA 2 5 1 3 12 8 7 6 3 45 Matthew Thomas '17
Nathan Guiles '16
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 7 8 5 4 7 6 8 8 53 Joseph Lausten '18
Haley Weber '18
Long Beach City College Long Beach City College Vikings 12 DNF 2 1 1 2 15 14 66 Richard Bell '15
Elizabeth Ackerman '17
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 9 10 10 6 5 11 9 11 71 Alana Mcsween '17
Ishita Singh '17
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 6 6 8 9 12 12 7 12 72 Kip Wanaselja '16
Ry Ulmer-Strack '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 8 7 11 5 10 13 14 9 77 Michael Colavita '14
Alhanoof Alsuwailem '16
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 13 9 9 8 9 8 16 10 82 Hayley Chong '17
Brett Farrell '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 14 13 13 13 11 10 10 13 97 Kevin Mcmanus '17 [1-8]
Tim Wetzel '18 [1-6]
Rose Cleary '17 [7-8]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 10 11 12 14 13 9 13 DNF 101 Alicia Ward '18
Lauren Orloff '16
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors DNF 12 14 10 14 14 11 7 101 Ryan Morgan '15 [1-8]
Caleb Wilson '18 [1-2]
Amy Woo '16 [3-6]
Kalvyn Ngo '17 [7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 11 14 15 DNF DNS DNS 17 16 130 Yan Rui Goheen '17
Christopher Steefel '18
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 DNF DNF 16 DNF DNS DNS 5 5 141 MRP
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins DNF DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 12 DNF 145 Joshua Steward '17
Sarah Shah '16
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 DNF DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 18 15 147 Yuhui Jin '17
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.470+0.47
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA 12323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA 2123123123123123123123123
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA 33232323232323232
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 133333333
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins99999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers88888888
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 11717171717171717
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 21212121212121212
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies4848484848484848
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 12929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2129129129129129129129129
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3291291291291291291291291
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 13131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2131131131131131131131131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's132132132132132132132132
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors9191919191919191

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA 12323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA 2123123123123123123123123
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley CALIFORNIA 33232323232323232
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 133333333
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins99999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers88888888
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 11717171717171717
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 21212121212121212
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies4848484848484848
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 12929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2129129129129129129129129
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3291291291291291291291291
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 13131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2131131131131131131131131
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's132132132132132132132132
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors9191919191919191
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Oliver Kunz '15 [1-4]
Tim Wetzel '18 [5-8]		 Sarah Schatz '18 [1-4]
Mustang 1 Kevin Mcmanus '17 [1-8] Tim Wetzel '18 [1-6]
Rose Cleary '17 [7-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Geoffrey Brelsford '18 [1-4]
Keiran Hansen '17 [5-8]		 Neda Kasraee '18 [1-4]
Mustang 2 Joseph Lausten '18 Haley Weber '18
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Maddy Brownsea '18 Kinsey Cohen '17
Dolphins Joshua Steward '17 Sarah Shah '16
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Sunny Scarbrough '17 Kathrine Schiller '18
49ers Michael Colavita '14 Alhanoof Alsuwailem '16
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Peter Schmidt '18 Kylee Walterman '17
Otters 1 Alicia Ward '18 Lauren Orloff '16
Long Beach City College Long Beach City College Steven Hopkins '17 Betsabe Hernandez '17
Vikings Richard Bell '15 Elizabeth Ackerman '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Saul Rosen '15 Linda Ge '17
CALIFORNIA 1 Kyra Oakes '18 Robert Mcroskey '15
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Tyler Hogan '17 Hani Azam '17
CALIFORNIA 2 Matthew Thomas '17 Nathan Guiles '16
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Daniel Anderson '14 Katie Hitchcock '16
CALIFORNIA 3 Henry Keenan '18 Jacob Basinger '18
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Daniel Baldassare '15 Hayley Palmer '17
Aggies Alana Mcsween '17 Ishita Singh '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Samuel Rohrbach '17 Robyn Gillum '18
Tritons 1 Hayley Chong '17 Brett Farrell '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego David Luu '17 Joylen Nakagawa '18
Tritons 2 Yan Rui Goheen '17 Christopher Steefel '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Grant Lin '17 Jeff Billings '18
Tritons 3 Yuhui Jin '17 No Show
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Grant Rickon '16 [1-8] Olivia Montiano '18 [1-4]
Claire Stivers '18 [5-8]
Gauchos 1 Daniel Pekin '18 Elizabeth Long '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Sterling Henken '18 Anonah Lee '18
Gauchos 2 Alexander Burrow '18 Shannie Kuo '18
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Alex Verdoia '15 Altea Hines '16
Banana Slug's Kip Wanaselja '16 Ry Ulmer-Strack '18
Westmont College Westmont College Mathew Anderson '17 [1-8] Jacob Warren '15 [1-2, 5-7]
Julee Felts '15 [3-4]
Avary Osborn '17 [8]
Warriors Ryan Morgan '15 [1-8] Caleb Wilson '18 [1-2]
Amy Woo '16 [3-6]
Kalvyn Ngo '17 [7-8]

Conditions — 11/01/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1013.5 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 21.2 kn
From WNW (282°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover39% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1013.5 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · NW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC Santa Barbara/Westmont College: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Santa Barbara/Westmont College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at UC Santa Barbara/Westmont College: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →