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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 9 8 17
2 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 21 20 41
3 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 24 25 49
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 38 15 53
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 20 38 58
6 Brown University Brown University Bears 30 30 60
7 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 42 23 65
8 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 35 40 75
9 Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 43 40 83
10 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 1 40 46 86
11 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 33 59 92
12 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 57 53 110
13 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 2 68 61 129
14 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 65 67 132
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 1 1 1 5 1 9 Colin Meade '16
Katherine Xu '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 4 3 2 3 8 20 Aaron Klein '18
Pilar Bancalari '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 5 5 2 3 21 Evan Gregory '16
John Hughes '18
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 5 2 3 10 4 24 Lewis Fowler-Gerace '15
Sahar Shaikh '17
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 7 4 11 5 30 Alexandra Swanson '16
Grace Gagnon '18
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 8 8 8 7 33 Christina Wettersten '15
Matthew Davis '16
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 8 4 9 4 10 35 Gabriel Verrier-Paquette '19
Olivia Silva '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 11 7 9 2 38 Stefanie Anderson '18
Nicole Lukas '18
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 1 12 6 10 1 11 40 Sarah Hyman '15
Hannah Spiro '15
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 11 10 6 6 9 42 Jade Forsberg '17
Rebecca Freeman '18
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 10 9 11 7 6 43 John Zupkus '16
Will Whelen '18
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 7 12 13 12 13 57 Carl Noble '17
Stefanie Casella '16
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 13 13 14 13 12 65 Martin Hooker '18
Dylan Dellibovi '16
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 2 14 14 12 14 14 68 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 1 1 2 3 1 8 Alexander Tong '17
Lara Dienemann '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 5 1 5 2 15 Margaret Swanson '16
Samuel Campbell '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 2 4 2 7 20 Claire Lockard '18
Zach Shapiro '15
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 4 3 3 10 3 23 Meghan Colwell '16 [1-5]
Nathaniel Wiener '18 [1-2]
Olivia Tubio '18 [3-5]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 3 7 5 6 4 25 Abe Kipnis '18
Josephine Jenks '18
Brown University Brown University Bears 7 4 7 4 8 30 Emma Davis '17
Lauren Haller '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 10 6 6 11 5 38 Ballard Blair '18
Tyler Paige '18
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 8 11 11 1 9 40 Kevin Wilkinson '17
Kevin Wilkinson '17
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 9 8 8 9 6 40 Ben Eley '18
Kiley Burke '17
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 1 6 10 9 7 14 46 Erin Skeens '15
Mariah Smith-Jones '15
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 11 9 13 8 12 53 Kathryn Schulz '16
Elizabeth Resnick '15
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 12 12 12 13 10 59 Herbert Mehnert '15 [1-2]
Stanislav Tsitkov '15 [3-5]
Stanislav Tsitkov '15 [1-2]
Herbert Mehnert '15 [3-5]
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 2 14 14 10 12 11 61 No Show
No Show
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 13 13 14 14 13 67 Jonathan Huzil '17
Catherine Nowakowski '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11111
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges 122222
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges 233333
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears44444
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1212121212
Emmanuel CollegeEmmanuel College Saints55555
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds77777
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers88888
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers66666
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1313131313
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99999
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 11010101010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 21111111111
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1515151515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11111
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges 122222
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges 233333
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears44444
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1212121212
Emmanuel CollegeEmmanuel College Saints55555
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds77777
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers88888
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers66666
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1313131313
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99999
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 11010101010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 21111111111
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1515151515
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Stefanie Anderson '18 Nicole Lukas '18
Terriers Margaret Swanson '16 Samuel Campbell '17
Brandeis University Brandeis University Sarah Hyman '15 Hannah Spiro '15
Judges 1 Erin Skeens '15 Mariah Smith-Jones '15
Brandeis University Brandeis University No Show No Show
Judges 2 No Show No Show
Brown University Brown University Alexandra Swanson '16 Grace Gagnon '18
Bears Emma Davis '17 Lauren Haller '18
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College John Zupkus '16 Will Whelen '18
Saints Ben Eley '18 Kiley Burke '17
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Christina Wettersten '15 Matthew Davis '16
Engineers Herbert Mehnert '15 [1-2]
Stanislav Tsitkov '15 [3-5]		 Stanislav Tsitkov '15 [1-2]
Herbert Mehnert '15 [3-5]
McGill University McGill University Gabriel Verrier-Paquette '19 Olivia Silva '18
Redbirds Kevin Wilkinson '17 Kevin Wilkinson '17
Middlebury College Middlebury College Jade Forsberg '17 Rebecca Freeman '18
Panthers Meghan Colwell '16 [1-5] Nathaniel Wiener '18 [1-2]
Olivia Tubio '18 [3-5]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Evan Gregory '16 John Hughes '18
Huskies Claire Lockard '18 Zach Shapiro '15
Tufts University Tufts University Aaron Klein '18 Pilar Bancalari '18
Jumbos 1 Ballard Blair '18 Tyler Paige '18
Tufts University Tufts University Colin Meade '16 Katherine Xu '18
Jumbos 2 Alexander Tong '17 Lara Dienemann '18
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Martin Hooker '18 Dylan Dellibovi '16
Huskies Jonathan Huzil '17 Catherine Nowakowski '17
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Carl Noble '17 Stefanie Casella '16
Wildcats Kathryn Schulz '16 Elizabeth Resnick '15
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Lewis Fowler-Gerace '15 Sahar Shaikh '17
Cardinals Abe Kipnis '18 Josephine Jenks '18

Conditions — 11/08/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1013.6 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 35°F
Feels like 34°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.1 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From WSW (251°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover56% Sunshine9.3 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1013.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Northeastern: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northeastern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at Northeastern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →