Harvard Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 13 12 25
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 19 14 33
3 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 18 17 35
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 17 19 36
5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 27 31 58
6 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 52 37 89
7 Providence College Providence College Friars 37 55 92
8 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 55 39 94
9 University of New England University of New England Nor'Easters 47 58 105
10 Williams College Williams College Ephs 57 71 128
11 Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 68 70 138
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 2 3 1 1 1 13 Cameron Holley '19 [1-6]
Ian Morgan '19 [1-2]
Russell Shapiro '19 [3-6]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 3 2 2 5 4 17 Zachary Vickerson '16
Danielle Stonely '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 4 1 7 2 2 18 Andrew Puopolo '19
Catherine Tang '19
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 1 5 4 3 3 19 Alexandra Swanson '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Courtney Bergh '16 [3-4]
Courtney Bergh '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexandra Swanson '16 [3-4]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 4 5 6 3 4 5 27 Greta Farrell '18 [1-6]
Jorlyn Le Garrec '17 [1-4]
Megan Mcknelly '17 [5-6]
Providence College Providence College Friars 6 8 4 6 6 7 37 Jackie Degeorgis '19
Kohl Peasley '19
University of New England University of New England Nor'Easters 7 6 8 9 8 9 47 Matt Scheuer '16 [1-2, 5-6]
John Ripoli '18 [3-4]
Katherine Santarpio '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Nick Demonte '18 [3-4]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 8 7 DNF DNF 7 6 52 Maddy Crowley '16
Morgan Sadler '18
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech DNF DNF 9 5 9 8 55 Frank Egan '18
Benjamin Mart '19
Williams College Williams College Ephs 9 9 7 8 DNS DNS 57 Jorge Castro '16
Dorothy Gaby '18
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 10 10 DNS DNS DNS DNS 68 Kiley Burke '17
Marycatherine Dunne '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 2 1 1 3 1 12 Pierre Dupont '16 [1-6]
Margaret Veltri '20 [1-2]
Ian Morgan '19 [3-6]
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 1 4 4 1 3 14 Meredith Morran '19
Eric Xiao '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 4 2 5 2 2 17 Nicholas Karnovsky '19
Ariana Gross '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 3 3 2 4 4 19 Reed Lorimer '18
Andrew Stoycos '18
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 5 5 5 3 7 6 31 Annie Hughes '19
Sophie Goemans '17
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 6 6 6 6 6 7 37 Malich Altman '19
Emilie Macfie '17
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 7 7 7 8 5 5 39 Liam Shanahan '18
Ryan Baker '15
Providence College Providence College Friars 8 8 8 7 DNF DNF 55 Nathaniel Thomas '18 [1-6]
Cicely Dahn '19 [1-4]
No Show [5-6]
University of New England University of New England Nor'Easters DNF DNS 9 9 8 8 58 Morgan Lindback '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Brogan Hurst '19 [3-4]
Samuel Bissonnette '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Michaela Kenward '19 [3-4]
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints DNF DNS DNS 10 DNS DNS 70 Julia Becker '19
Jamie Joyce '16
Williams College Williams College Ephs DNF DNS DNS 11 DNS DNS 71 Maeve Serino '17
Didier Jean-Michel '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (43 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers112233
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears223344
Emmanuel CollegeEmmanuel College Saints334455
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson445566
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds667788
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers556677
University of New EnglandUniversity of New England Nor'Easters9912121111
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars778899
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos88991212
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs1010111111
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech11111122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers112233
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears223344
Emmanuel CollegeEmmanuel College Saints334455
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson445566
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds667788
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers556677
University of New EnglandUniversity of New England Nor'Easters9912121111
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars778899
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos88991212
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs1010111111
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech11111122
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Zachary Vickerson '16 Danielle Stonely '17
Terriers Reed Lorimer '18 Andrew Stoycos '18
Brown University Brown University Alexandra Swanson '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Courtney Bergh '16 [3-4]
Courtney Bergh '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexandra Swanson '16 [3-4]
Bears Meredith Morran '19 Eric Xiao '17
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Kiley Burke '17 Marycatherine Dunne '16
Saints Julia Becker '19 Jamie Joyce '16
Harvard University Harvard University Andrew Puopolo '19 Catherine Tang '19
Crimson Nicholas Karnovsky '19 Ariana Gross '18
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Greta Farrell '18 [1-6] Jorlyn Le Garrec '17 [1-4]
Megan Mcknelly '17 [5-6]
Engineers Annie Hughes '19 Sophie Goemans '17
McGill University McGill University Maddy Crowley '16 Morgan Sadler '18
Redbirds Malich Altman '19 Emilie Macfie '17
Providence College Providence College Jackie Degeorgis '19 Kohl Peasley '19
Friars Nathaniel Thomas '18 [1-6] Cicely Dahn '19 [1-4]
No Show [5-6]
Tufts University Tufts University Cameron Holley '19 [1-6] Ian Morgan '19 [1-2]
Russell Shapiro '19 [3-6]
Jumbos Pierre Dupont '16 [1-6] Margaret Veltri '20 [1-2]
Ian Morgan '19 [3-6]
University of New England University of New England Matt Scheuer '16 [1-2, 5-6]
John Ripoli '18 [3-4]
Katherine Santarpio '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Nick Demonte '18 [3-4]
Nor'Easters Morgan Lindback '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Brogan Hurst '19 [3-4]
Samuel Bissonnette '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Michaela Kenward '19 [3-4]
Williams College Williams College Jorge Castro '16 Dorothy Gaby '18
Ephs Maeve Serino '17 Didier Jean-Michel '17
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Frank Egan '18 Benjamin Mart '19
Worcester Polytech Liam Shanahan '18 Ryan Baker '15

Conditions — 10/03/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1029.8 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
15.5 kn
avg  ·  max 16.6 kn
Gusts to 30.1 kn
From NE (42°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1029.8 hPa Rain0.14 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 16 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Harvard: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Harvard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (59 labelled days at Harvard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →