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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 45 18 63
2 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 23 44 67
3 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 44 23 67
4 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 37 56 93
5 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 44 MRP 58 MRP 102 MRP
6 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 76 MRP 74 MRP 150 MRP
7 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 64 100 164
8 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 94 MRP 90 MRP 184 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 4 4 4 23 Kris Thompson '16
Cassidy Lynch '17
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 4 3 7 1 2 7 1 3 3 6 37 Kate Flanagan '17 [1-10]
Cory Baranski '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Audrey Jacobs '18 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 1 1 4 3 3 5 3 1 2 1 44 MRP Kia Meiklejohn '18
Heather Lee '16
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 3 4 5 4 5 2 4 2 8 7 44 Cody Odou '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Alexander Muschler '16 [3-4, 9-10]
No Show [1-2, 5-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 6 3 5 7 4 7 5 1 2 45 Benjamin Kaas '17
Grace Davidson '17
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings DNF DNS 6 6 4 6 5 8 6 3 64 Quanah Green '17 [1-10]
Natalie Gilbert '19 [1-2]
Azusa Maruyama '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Sierra Prior '16 [5-6, 9-10]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 6 5 2 7 6 8 6 6 5 5 76 MRP Laura Stewart '17
Matthew Brunner '19
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 7 DNS 8 8 8 3 8 7 7 8 94 MRP David Berry '16
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 1 1 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 18 Gabe Hill '16
Haley Bolin '17
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 1 2 5 1 2 1 1 3 2 5 23 Andrew Wilkinson '18 [1-10]
Madison Thompson '16 [1-8]
Alexander Muschler '16 [9-10]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies DNF DNS 3 3 4 4 3 2 3 2 44 Colin Bartels '17 [1-2]
Connor Hughes '19 [3-10]
Johanna Mannisto '18 [1-2]
Rachel Cohen '19 [3-10]
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 3 4 DNF 8 1 5 5 6 DNF 4 56 Shaan Shridhar '19
Athina Ebert '17
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 5 3 2 2 6 3 4 5 5 3 58 MRP Jacqui Martindale '17
Carly Martindale '18
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC 4 5 4 6 8 7 6 4 4 6 74 MRP Joren Jackson '17
Stephanie Stearman '17
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 6 DNS 6 5 5 6 7 7 DNS 8 90 MRP Leh Smallshaw '17
Emma Dayton '16
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings DNS DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 100 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC89898989898989898989
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers75757575757575757575
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings78787878787878787878
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 187878787878787878787
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 286868686868686868686
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81818181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women82828282828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings88888888888888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds SC89898989898989898989
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers75757575757575757575
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings78787878787878787878
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 187878787878787878787
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 286868686868686868686
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies81818181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women82828282828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings88888888888888888888
School / Team SkipperCrew
Oregon State University Oregon State University Cody Odou '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Alexander Muschler '16 [3-4, 9-10]		 No Show [1-2, 5-8]
Beavers Andrew Wilkinson '18 [1-10] Madison Thompson '16 [1-8]
Alexander Muschler '16 [9-10]
Portland State University Portland State University Quanah Green '17 [1-10] Natalie Gilbert '19 [1-2]
Azusa Maruyama '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Sierra Prior '16 [5-6, 9-10]
Vikings No Show No Show
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Laura Stewart '17 Matthew Brunner '19
UBC Thunderbirds SC Joren Jackson '17 Stephanie Stearman '17
University of Victoria University of Victoria David Berry '16 No Show
Vikes 1 Leh Smallshaw '17 Emma Dayton '16
University of Victoria University of Victoria Kia Meiklejohn '18 Heather Lee '16
Vikes 2 Jacqui Martindale '17 Carly Martindale '18
University of Washington University of Washington Kris Thompson '16 Cassidy Lynch '17
Huskies Colin Bartels '17 [1-2]
Connor Hughes '19 [3-10]		 Johanna Mannisto '18 [1-2]
Rachel Cohen '19 [3-10]
University of Washington University of Washington Kate Flanagan '17 [1-10] Cory Baranski '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Audrey Jacobs '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Husky Women Shaan Shridhar '19 Athina Ebert '17
Western Washington University Western Washington University Benjamin Kaas '17 Grace Davidson '17
Vikings Gabe Hill '16 Haley Bolin '17

Conditions — 10/31/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1022.2 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.4 kn
Gusts to 13.0 kn
From SSE (156°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover53% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1022.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 7 kn · SW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.30 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →