Women's Weekday Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 1 14 9 23
2 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 14 15 29
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 2 16 14 30
4 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 21 23 44
5 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 34 16 50
6 Providence College Providence College Friars 16 37 53
7 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 42 35 77
8 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 36 46 82
9 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 43 41 84
10 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 54 39 93
11 Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 46 60 106
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 2 5 3 1 3 14 Charlotte List '18
Erin Smith '19
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 6 1 1 4 2 14 Alexandra Swanson '16
Emily Haynes-Simmons '18
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 1 3 5 3 4 16 Sophie Hibben '19
Maxine De Havenon '19
Providence College Providence College Friars 4 2 7 2 1 16 Anna Bloomstine '19
Taylor Mulhearn '19
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 3 4 2 7 5 21 Emilia Clementi '18
Ellen Reagan '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 7 6 6 8 7 34 Hannah Herring '18
Dyson Lord '19
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies DNS 8 4 6 6 36 Jennifer Lee '17
Sarah Warack '16
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 5 7 9 11 10 42 Marisa Sannino '19 [1-5]
Alexa Giovanis '17 [1]
Brianne Giambagno '18 [2-5]
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags DNS 10 8 5 8 43 Lillian Vincens '19
Hannah Lovejoy '17
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 8 9 11 9 9 46 No Show
Caroline Ziff '17
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers DNS 11 10 10 11 54 Rebecca Rutkiewicz '19
Morgan Mazellan '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 1 3 1 1 3 9 Courtney Bergh '16
Ragna Eide '16
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 2 4 2 2 4 14 Meredith Morran '19
Abigayle Konys '19
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 6 1 3 3 2 15 Alexandra Maurillo '18
Serena Cipullo '17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 2 6 4 1 16 Rebecca Edmonds '19 [1, 3, 5]
Erin Morgan '18 [2, 4]
Erin Morgan '18 [1, 3, 5]
Rebecca Edmonds '19 [2, 4]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 4 5 4 5 5 23 Haley Kachmar '18
Olivia Liebnick '16
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 5 8 5 8 9 35 Lily Doolin '18
Alexandra Wiedeke '16
Providence College Providence College Friars 7 6 8 6 10 37 Stephanie Burrell '16
Chloe Kelleher '18
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 8 9 7 7 8 39 Kristen Lahaise '17
Noelle Kelly '17
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 9 7 10 9 6 41 Lauren Ten Hoopen '19
Marina Lindland '18
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 10 10 9 10 7 46 Olivia Mclaughlin '18
Melissa Conway '16
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 60 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 21212121212
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1010101010
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1111111111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 133333
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 244444
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags1414141414
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats66666
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners77777
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars1515151515
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers99999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 21212121212
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1010101010
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1111111111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 133333
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 244444
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags1414141414
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats66666
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners1818181818
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars77777
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers99999

Conditions — 09/29/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 89%  ·  Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 23.7 kn
From S (178°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine5.6 hrs Humidity89% Pressure1017.9 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Coast Guard: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Coast Guard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (57 labelled days at Coast Guard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →