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# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 69
2 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 77
3 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 79
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 126
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 132
6 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 171
7 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 186
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears B 2 5 3 5 3 1 3 1 23 William George '23
Justin Chiang '21
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 1 7 2 3 5 4 4 3 29 Carter Brock '22
Reid Wishner '24
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 B 4 4 1 1 6 6 6 2 30 Ben Rosenberg '23
Emilia Marino '22
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 B 9 1 8 9 1 2 1 4 35 Megan Gimple '22
Ally Kramer '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 A 5 6 6 2 7 3 9 6 44 Kylie Castellano '21
Alyssa Hall '20
Brown University Brown University Bears A 3 3 7 4 9 10 2 8 46 Zachary Jordan '21
Mo Liu '22
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 8 2 4 11 2 9 5 7 48 Ben Palmer '22
Ellen Reagan '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 7 10 5 6 4 5 8 9 54 Chloe Holder '23
Cali Salinas '23
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs A 12 8 10 7 8 8 7 14 74 Addison Stead '23
Page Veaze '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 6 9 9 12 12 7 11 12 78 Madeline Simms '23
Margaret Veltri '20
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 13 12 11 8 10 11 12 10 87 David Perez '23 [1-4]
Seamus Scott '23 [5-8]
Kevin Graves '23 [1-4]
Cory Oliveira '23 [5-8]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 A 10 11 12 14 13 12 13 11 96 Beth Albone '22
Ellie Mcclean '20
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs B 11 13 13 13 14 14 14 5 97 Liam Harkins '23
Anna Nelson '21
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 14 14 14 10 11 13 10 13 99 Kevin Collins '22
Benjamin Millard '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.290+0.29
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11223344
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers2233441515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies3344151566
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 166778899
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 27788991010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos4415156677
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs1515667788

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears889910101111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers99101011111212
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1010111112121313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1131314141122
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 21414112233
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111121213131414
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs12121313141411

Conditions — 10/13/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1017.4 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.6 kn
avg  ·  max 4.7 kn
Gusts to 10.7 kn
From W (259°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover76% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1017.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →