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Fairfield Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 26 18 44
2 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 31 23 54
3 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 25 54 79
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 52 43 95
5 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 62 39 101
6 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 58 65 123
7 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 83 55 138
8 Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 42 111 153
9 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 76 93 169
10 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 107 69 176
11 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 118 94 212
12 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 92 121 213
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 3 4 1 2 4 2 1 6 1 25 Christophe Chaumont '23 [1-10]
Allison Rice '23 [1-6]
Alexandra Contomichalos '22 [7-10]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 7 2 3 BKD 1 3 2 1 2 26 Nicholas Salvesen '22
Madeline Kerr '23
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 2 3 2 1 2 4 4 7 3 31 Grace Vincens '20
Caroline Mcneil '22
Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 5 5 1 4 3 5 5 3 4 7 42 Adam Gibbs '22
Elizabeth Do '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 8 5 6 4 6 1 5 8 5 52 Chloe Holder '23 [1-6]
George Sidamon-Eristoff '22 [7-10]
Rose O'Neal '22 [1-6]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 6 1 7 5 9 9 7 6 2 6 58 Jack Valentino '22
Courtney Tally '23
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 7 4 BKD 10 5 3 6 8 9 4 62 Cameron Baird '20
Livia Kelly '21
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 10 10 6 7 7 7 8 9 3 9 76 Nicholas Leshaw '22
Maya Saterson '22
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 8 11 8 9 8 8 9 7 5 10 83 Auguste Pizzano '21
Teagan Duffy '22
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 9 6 9 8 11 11 10 10 10 8 92 Colby Brennan '20
William Gasparrini '22
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 11 9 10 11 10 10 12 11 11 12 107 Nalu Tripician '22
Chris Yang '23
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags DNF 12 11 12 12 12 11 12 12 11 118 Matthew Little '22
Mike Streeter '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 3 2 1 1 1 2 3 1 3 18 Ryan Hamilton '23
Amy Sloat '20
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 4 1 1 4 2 2 1 4 3 1 23 Nils Tullberg '23
Zachary Steuer '21
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 2 6 5 8 7 3 3 1 2 2 39 Noah Ferrarotto '20
Emma Hawko '23
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 2 4 2 5 8 4 5 5 5 43 Elena Gonick '20
Kristina Puzak '22
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 5 4 7 3 6 4 5 6 6 8 54 Jacob Asher '21 [1-10]
Catherine Cheung '24 [1-6]
Sydney Zoehrer '24 [7-10]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 6 7 3 5 4 6 6 2 9 7 55 David Perez '23
Jordan Hanna '23
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 7 8 6 6 3 5 7 7 7 9 65 Owen Daniell '21
Alli Fischman '23
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 8 5 9 7 8 7 9 8 4 4 69 Ned Herrington '22
Dane Thompson '23
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 10 11 10 11 9 11 8 9 8 6 93 Grace Hering '22
Tony Sjodin '23
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 9 9 8 9 10 9 10 10 10 10 94 John Stalzer '22 [1-6]
Sarah Bowman '20 [7-10]
Devin Johnson '22 [1-6]
Amherst College Amherst College Mammoths 11 10 11 10 11 10 12 DNF 12 11 111 Katherine Boback '21 [1-6]
Nicolas Jorden '22 [7-10]
Madalyn Migliorino '23 [1-6]
Jasper Flint '21 [7-10]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies DNF 12 12 DNF DNS DNS 11 11 11 12 121 Joe Blackburn '23
Jialian Stolfi '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths10101212141416161818
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11111313151517171919
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies18182020101012121414
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags12121414161618182020
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers13131515171719192121
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds14141616181820201010
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers15151717191921211111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks16161818202010101212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos17171919212111111313
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts19192121111113131515
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals20201010121214141616
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs21211111131315151717

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Mammoths11111313151517171919
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats12121414161618182020
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies19192121111113131515
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags13131515171719192121
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers14141616181820201010
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds15151717191921211111
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers16161818202010101212
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks17171919212111111313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos18182020101012121414
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts20201010121214141616
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals21211111131315151717
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs10101212141416161818

Conditions — 10/19/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1017.8 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.1 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From WSW (244°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover17% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1017.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn · SE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Fairfield: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.21 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fairfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Fairfield, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →