Tufts Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 17 11 28
2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 23 8 31
3 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 14 24 38
4 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 26 15 41
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 23 28 51
6 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 22 33 55
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbabies 32 28 60
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 28 34 62
9 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 40 44 84
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 1 1 8 2 2 14 Noah Simmons '20
Emma Barska '23
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 2 4 3 5 3 17 Michael Tellini '21 [1-5]
Christopher Cheng '21 [1-2]
Emma Leary '23 [3-5]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 4 6 4 7 1 22 Alex Abate '22
Abigail Lee '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 3 3 6 4 7 23 Charles Lindsay '21
Maaya Prasad '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 7 2 2 8 4 23 Elena Gonick '20
Delilah Roberts '21
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 8 8 1 3 6 26 Jonas Nelle '22
Zennie Wey '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 6 9 7 1 5 28 George Sidamon-Eristoff '22
Devin Hart '23
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbabies 5 7 5 6 9 32 Bryan Trammell '23
Cecilia Adams '23
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 9 5 9 9 8 40 Anne Cathrine Longo '20
Sarah Woodward '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 1 4 1 1 1 8 Crew Fritsch '23
Elissa Ito '23
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 3 1 3 2 2 11 James Paul '23
Drew Clutterbuck '23
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 2 4 3 4 15 Eric Hansen '23
Katherine Barkin '22
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 4 8 2 4 6 24 Nicholas Hurley '23 [1-4]
Eliza Crocker '23 [5]
Joshua Cherner '21 [1-4]
Christopher Long '23 [5]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbabies 5 7 5 8 3 28 Madeline Simms '23
Paige Tyler '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 3 7 5 5 28 Niall Sheridan '23
Sara Morrison '23
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 7 6 6 7 7 33 Fiona Mckellar '20
Veronika Silkin '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 6 5 8 6 9 34 Bowton Eaves '22
Kristina Puzak '22
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 9 9 9 9 8 44 Ryan Young '21
Evan D’Agostino '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1212226
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 111337
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 222668
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson337710
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1668811
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 277101012
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbabies1111113
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbalaya101012122
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos8811111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies11337
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 122668
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 2337710
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson668811
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 177101012
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 28811111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbabies1212226
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbalaya1111113
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos101012122

Conditions — 09/07/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1006.2 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.2 kn
avg  ·  max 14.5 kn
Gusts to 28.6 kn
From NW (325°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover62% Sunshine6.2 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1006.2 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tufts: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.30 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tufts by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (60 labelled days at Tufts).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →