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UCSD Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 36 26 62
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 6 54 24 78
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 39 47 86
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 39 48 87
5 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 106 94 200
6 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 54 150 204
7 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 98 112 210
8 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 3 101 123 224
9 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 127 98 225
10 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 53 183 236
11 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 131 105 236
12 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 113 143 256
13 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 137 132 269
14 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 4 127 164 291
15 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 172 122 294
16 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 161 170 331
17 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 2 203 129 332
18 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 1 216 122 338
19 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 162 205 367
20 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 199 170 369
21 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 3 232 143 375
22 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 176 206 382
23 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 163 219 382
24 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 209 191 400
25 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 212 217 429
26 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 224 219 443
27 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 244 229 473
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 5 2 4 1 1 4 2 5 6 6 36 Quinn Wilson '21
Joseph Politi '22
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 2 5 11 3 3 3 5 2 1 4 39 Matt Long '20
Samantha Obel '21
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 7 3 2 6 7 2 1 4 2 5 39 Chris Kayda '23
Tristan Richmond '22
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 8 4 3 5 4 8 4 8 8 1 53 Drake Hayes '21
Makena Cunningham Barkus '22
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 3 10 1 2 9 6 7 7 7 2 54 Lucas Pierce '21
Mary Toomey '22
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 6 4 1 6 4 10 5 6 6 4 8 54 Sidney Gathrid '22
Elizabeth Moody '20
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 1 6 5 OCS 17 1 3 1 9 27 98 David Eastwood '22
Kenneth Sherb '23
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 3 10 7 8 OCS 14 11 12 3 5 3 101 Ciara Dorsay '21 [1-10]
Marlena Tavernier-Fine '22 [1-6]
Sarah Paulsen '20 [7-10]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 6 12 10 10 18 10 14 12 3 11 106 Liam Hood '20
Robyn Zulauf '20
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 11 8 16 8 15 7 13 15 13 7 113 Aitor Iriso '21
Kathryn Lewis '22
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 4 12 16 7 13 2 13 19 11 15 19 127 Kingsley Ehrich '23 [1-10]
Matthew Broadley '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Iesha Carter '23 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 15 9 9 16 12 9 17 9 14 17 127 Abraham Dearden '20
Caroline Crotty '21
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 13 14 18 11 5 16 8 16 21 9 131 Thomas Samuels '21 [1-10]
Sarah Puts '22 [1-8]
Sidney Faust '20 [9-10]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 9 11 14 9 22 17 11 10 20 BYE 137 Augustus Doricko '22
Josefina Ruggieri '21
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 17 13 17 7 16 15 15 18 19 24 161 Molly Rowland '21
Shea Goodner '21
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 16 15 15 15 11 14 24 14 26 12 162 Trevor Tuck '22 [1-10]
Drake Baldwin '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Charlotte Mccarrick '20 [3-4, 7-8]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 23 21 13 12 6 20 22 19 11 16 163 Kevin Gates '27 [1-10]
Cynthia Kerby '22 [1-4, 7-10]
Michael Schmitz '22 [5-6]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 19 19 22 17 19 12 16 22 16 10 172 Maddy Kuhn '20
Jacob Hauser '21
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 18 24 24 21 21 18 9 13 10 18 176 Ian Hughes '22 [1-6]
Noah Barton '23 [7-10]
Eleanore Mcguire-Wien '20 [1-6]
Giulianna Miseo '20 [7-10]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 26 26 23 19 23 19 18 20 12 13 199 Caila Devlin '21
Aaron Helfgott '23
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 2 14 18 19 18 20 25 20 26 23 20 203 Gabriel Marra '21
Jacob Hand '21
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 20 17 20 OCS 13 23 25 25 17 21 209 Canyon Breyer '20
Chieko Imai '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 21 20 DNF 20 8 21 23 24 24 23 212 Jack Kelly '22
Indigo Dumhart '21
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 1 22 23 12 14 26 24 27 21 22 25 216 Megan Mcglothlin '21
Faith Hall '22
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers DNS 27 26 24 25 27 10 17 18 22 224 Devon Kurisu '23
Sofia Persson '20
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 3 24 25 21 23 27 26 21 23 DNF 14 232 Erik Hallback '21
Stella Greenwood '22
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 25 22 25 22 24 22 26 27 25 26 244 Thomas Harris '20 [1-10]
Payten Romero '22 [1-2]
Keaton Maloney '23 [3-6]
Nathan Everson '21 [7-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 6 1 1 5 1 1 2 4 2 4 3 24 Sampson Reynolds '21
Sophie Thompson '21
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 2 5 1 3 2 3 2 1 5 2 26 David Alexander '23
Julia Roudebush '23
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 3 2 19 2 3 6 3 3 2 4 47 Lukas Kraak '23
Pyper Atkin '20
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 5 12 10 4 6 1 1 5 3 1 48 Jake Zieba '22
Sydney Aguirre '22
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 6 9 7 13 13 10 11 8 12 5 94 Tara Rogers '23
Ellie Bonnie '22
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 12 6 21 9 5 21 13 4 1 6 98 Ian Marshall '22
Megan Purl '21
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 18 26 4 7 4 4 8 7 17 10 105 Jayden Potter '21 [1-10]
Sidney Faust '20 [1-4]
Kasey Stoudt '20 [5-10]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 7 7 3 11 8 5 5 10 DNF DNS 112 Jack Holbrook '21
Michael Zheng '23
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 1 10 16 23 8 9 7 20 15 7 7 122 Charlotte Hinman '22
Nicole Blair '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 14 3 9 19 21 9 10 9 10 18 122 Cassandra Shand '22
Hallie Muller '20
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 3 9 4 13 10 14 14 16 18 13 12 123 Sophia Zaleski '22 [1-10]
Sarah Paulsen '20 [1-6]
Marlena Tavernier-Fine '22 [7-10]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 2 24 15 2 15 12 16 9 14 11 11 129 Andrew Bittner '21
Quinn Schott '22
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 17 8 22 18 22 8 7 11 6 13 132 Katey Hayes '20 [1-10]
Kyla Burmester '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jessica Stewart '23 [3-4, 7-8]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 3 4 21 6 6 19 25 12 20 16 14 143 Adam Wild '20
Samantha Dentzer '21
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 19 10 8 14 10 12 17 17 DNF 8 143 Dylan Yong '21
Sofia Mack '20
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 11 11 14 12 20 19 15 22 9 17 150 George Kripac '21
Aine Roonan '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 4 15 18 27 26 15 22 6 12 8 15 164 Evan Twigg-Smith '20 [1-2, 5-10]
Julie Soules '20 [3-4]
Caroline Sobek '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Alex Ferry '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Julie Soules '20 [9-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 13 13 24 16 11 15 22 23 14 19 170 Marie-Laure Golier '21
Keiran Hadley '21
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 16 25 11 21 7 11 14 21 DNF 16 170 Liam Patrick '22
Clover Stubbert '20
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 21 14 20 5 16 23 21 16 23 24 183 William Arnold '21 [1-8]
Lindsea Hayes '22 [9-10]
Lindsea Hayes '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Ritwik Dixit '21 [3-4, 7-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 22 20 12 24 17 13 23 19 20 21 191 Joshua Davis '20
Jeremy Jaquinod '20
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 26 23 17 25 27 26 24 13 15 9 205 Paulo Garcia Lopez '21 [1-10]
Can Ding '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Zijian Wang '22 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 8 17 18 20 18 24 27 26 22 26 206 Julien Stroumza '21
Gabriel Fara-On '23
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 25 27 16 22 25 17 19 27 19 20 217 Jack Johnson '21 [1-10]
Chloe Schofield '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Tyler Kuperstein '22 [3-4, 7-8]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 20 24 26 17 24 18 25 24 18 23 219 Sebastian Guerra '20
Rilee Mello '21
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 23 19 25 23 23 20 18 25 21 22 219 Olivia Feito '22 [1-10]
Michael Thompson '21 [1-6, 9-10]
Michael Schmitz '22 [7-8]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 27 22 15 27 26 27 26 6 DNF 25 229 Calum Merry '23 [1-10]
Stian Klype '22 [1-2]
Mikaela Hatfield '21 [3-4]
Brianna Orrill '21 [5-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.210+0.21
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils40404040404040404040
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 124242424242424242424
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 223232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 357575757575757575757
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 458585858585858585858
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 14444444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2103103103103103103103103103103
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins9999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers49494949494949494949
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters18181818181818181818
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs 115151515151515151515
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs 216161616161616161616
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs 37777777777
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies48484848484848484848
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters26262626262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 127272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 228282828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1301301301301301301301301301301
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2295295295295295295295295295295
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 330303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 131313131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 232323232323232323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3131131131131131131131131131131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4132132132132132132132132132132
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5311311311311311311311311311311
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 6321321321321321321321321321321
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs34343434343434343434

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils40404040404040404040
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 124242424242424242424
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 223232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 357575757575757575757
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 458585858585858585858
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 14444444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2103103103103103103103103103103
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins9999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers49494949494949494949
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters18181818181818181818
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs 115151515151515151515
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs 216161616161616161616
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs 37777777777
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies48484848484848484848
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters26262626262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 127272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 228282828282828282828
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1301301301301301301301301301301
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2295295295295295295295295295295
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 330303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 131313131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 232323232323232323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3131131131131131131131131131131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4132132132132132132132132132132
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5311311311311311311311311311311
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 6321321321321321321321321321321
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs34343434343434343434
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Thomas Harris '20 [1-10] Payten Romero '22 [1-2]
Keaton Maloney '23 [3-6]
Nathan Everson '21 [7-10]
Sun Devils Calum Merry '23 [1-10] Stian Klype '22 [1-2]
Mikaela Hatfield '21 [3-4]
Brianna Orrill '21 [5-10]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Liam Hood '20 Robyn Zulauf '20
Mustangs 1 Tara Rogers '23 Ellie Bonnie '22
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Jack Kelly '22 Indigo Dumhart '21
Mustangs 2 Jack Johnson '21 [1-10] Chloe Schofield '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Tyler Kuperstein '22 [3-4, 7-8]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Kevin Gates '27 [1-10] Cynthia Kerby '22 [1-4, 7-10]
Michael Schmitz '22 [5-6]
Dolphins Olivia Feito '22 [1-10] Michael Thompson '21 [1-6, 9-10]
Michael Schmitz '22 [7-8]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Devon Kurisu '23 Sofia Persson '20
49ers Sebastian Guerra '20 Rilee Mello '21
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Caila Devlin '21 Aaron Helfgott '23
Otters Liam Patrick '22 Clover Stubbert '20
San Diego State University San Diego State University Megan Mcglothlin '21 Faith Hall '22
Aztecs 1 Charlotte Hinman '22 Nicole Blair '20
San Diego State University San Diego State University Gabriel Marra '21 Jacob Hand '21
Aztecs 2 Andrew Bittner '21 Quinn Schott '22
San Diego State University San Diego State University Erik Hallback '21 Stella Greenwood '22
Aztecs 3 Adam Wild '20 Samantha Dentzer '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Drake Hayes '21 Makena Cunningham Barkus '22
Bears 1 William Arnold '21 [1-8]
Lindsea Hayes '22 [9-10]		 Lindsea Hayes '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Ritwik Dixit '21 [3-4, 7-10]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Augustus Doricko '22 Josefina Ruggieri '21
Bears 2 Katey Hayes '20 [1-10] Kyla Burmester '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jessica Stewart '23 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Ciara Dorsay '21 [1-10] Marlena Tavernier-Fine '22 [1-6]
Sarah Paulsen '20 [7-10]
Bears 3 Sophia Zaleski '22 [1-10] Sarah Paulsen '20 [1-6]
Marlena Tavernier-Fine '22 [7-10]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Kingsley Ehrich '23 [1-10] Matthew Broadley '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Iesha Carter '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Bears 4 Evan Twigg-Smith '20 [1-2, 5-10]
Julie Soules '20 [3-4]		 Caroline Sobek '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Alex Ferry '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Julie Soules '20 [9-10]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Thomas Samuels '21 [1-10] Sarah Puts '22 [1-8]
Sidney Faust '20 [9-10]
Aggies Jayden Potter '21 [1-10] Sidney Faust '20 [1-4]
Kasey Stoudt '20 [5-10]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Trevor Tuck '22 [1-10] Drake Baldwin '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Charlotte Mccarrick '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Anteaters Paulo Garcia Lopez '21 [1-10] Can Ding '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Zijian Wang '22 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Maddy Kuhn '20 Jacob Hauser '21
Bruins 1 Cassandra Shand '22 Hallie Muller '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Abraham Dearden '20 Caroline Crotty '21
Bruins 2 Ian Marshall '22 Megan Purl '21
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Molly Rowland '21 Shea Goodner '21
Tritons 1 Marie-Laure Golier '21 Keiran Hadley '21
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Canyon Breyer '20 Chieko Imai '20
Tritons 2 Joshua Davis '20 Jeremy Jaquinod '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Ian Hughes '22 [1-6]
Noah Barton '23 [7-10]		 Eleanore Mcguire-Wien '20 [1-6]
Giulianna Miseo '20 [7-10]
Tritons 3 Julien Stroumza '21 Gabriel Fara-On '23
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Lucas Pierce '21 Mary Toomey '22
Gauchos 1 George Kripac '21 Aine Roonan '21
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Chris Kayda '23 Tristan Richmond '22
Gauchos 2 Lukas Kraak '23 Pyper Atkin '20
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Matt Long '20 Samantha Obel '21
Gauchos 3 Jake Zieba '22 Sydney Aguirre '22
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Quinn Wilson '21 Joseph Politi '22
Gauchos 4 David Alexander '23 Julia Roudebush '23
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara David Eastwood '22 Kenneth Sherb '23
Gauchos 5 Jack Holbrook '21 Michael Zheng '23
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Sidney Gathrid '22 Elizabeth Moody '20
Gauchos 6 Sampson Reynolds '21 Sophie Thompson '21
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Aitor Iriso '21 Kathryn Lewis '22
Banana Slugs Dylan Yong '21 Sofia Mack '20

Conditions — 10/19/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1012.5 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From WSW (255°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover10% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1012.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn · W 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at UC San Diego: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.13)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.13
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.23 ± 0.06)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC San Diego by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at UC San Diego).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →