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# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 82
2 Beavers Beavers Beavers 170
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 195
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 231
5 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 325
6 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 365
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies A 1 2 5 3 2 8 2 2 25 Mira Anders '23
Amelia Kau '23
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies B 2 4 3 6 4 2 4 1 26 Emily Smith '25
Julia Sherry '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women B 4 5 1 1 5 4 1 8 29 Kira Blumhagen '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Fiona Mcbride '21 [5-6]
Ella Barnard '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Kira Davis '25 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies C 8 1 4 2 1 6 6 3 31 Aragorn Crozier '24
Maya Outhred '24
Beavers Beavers Beavers C 3 6 8 4 8 5 3 9 46
Beavers Beavers Beavers B 7 8 6 7 7 1 7 4 47
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings C 5 12 2 10 6 3 8 6 52 Leopold Sabharwal '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Lucas Burzycki '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Caroline Hurley '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Stensland '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings B 9 10 10 8 3 7 5 5 57 Dalton Lovett '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Tyler Nolasco '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Eddie Nosal '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Gavin Cole '24 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks A 6 3 11 13 9 16 9 10 77 Emily Avey '25
Aidan Clark '24
Beavers Beavers Beavers A 15 7 9 5 11 9 14 7 77
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings A 13 14 7 9 10 11 11 11 86 Maxwell Dodd '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Cooper Snell '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Luca Hagmayer-Pickholz '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Matthew Lindburg '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women A 12 9 15 16 16 10 10 12 100 Anna Morrow '24
Cece Nielsen '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women C 11 11 16 14 12 13 12 13 102 Annelisa Ayars '24
Allison Sasaki '24
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings A 10 13 14 11 15 12 18 18 111 Alexx Johnson '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Axcelle Bell '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Karlie Bonds '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Thomas Moore '24 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks C 14 15 13 15 13 15 13 14 112 Ben Lewis '24 [1-8]
John Kish '23 [1-4]
Kate Ryan '25 [5-8]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings C 16 17 12 17 14 14 16 15 121 Christopher Sloggett '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Bailey Deets '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Chloe Manning-Floch '25 [1-2]
Yoko Kinoshita '24 [3-8]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings B 17 16 17 18 17 17 15 16 133 Kelly Pompermayer '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Benjamin Nelson '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Eloise Glickman '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Yoko Kinoshita '24 [3-4]
Chloe Manning-Floch '25 [7-8]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks B 18 18 18 12 18 18 17 17 136 Quincy Spurlock '24 [1-8]
Kathryn Lance '24 [1-6]
Trevor Skeffington '25 [7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
BeaversBeavers Beavers7788
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings88
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies7575
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women75751313
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings75751313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
BeaversBeavers Beavers75751313
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings1313
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies7676
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women7676131131
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings7676131131

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C
BeaversBeavers Beavers7676131131
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings131131
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies77
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women7788
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings7788
School / Team SkipperCrew
Portland State University Portland State University Alexx Johnson '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Axcelle Bell '24 [3-4, 7-8]		 Karlie Bonds '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Thomas Moore '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Vikings Kelly Pompermayer '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Benjamin Nelson '23 [3-4, 7-8]		 Eloise Glickman '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Yoko Kinoshita '24 [3-4]
Chloe Manning-Floch '25 [7-8]
Christopher Sloggett '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Bailey Deets '23 [3-4, 7-8]		 Chloe Manning-Floch '25 [1-2]
Yoko Kinoshita '24 [3-8]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Emily Avey '25 Aidan Clark '24
Ducks Quincy Spurlock '24 [1-8] Kathryn Lance '24 [1-6]
Trevor Skeffington '25 [7-8]
Ben Lewis '24 [1-8] John Kish '23 [1-4]
Kate Ryan '25 [5-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Mira Anders '23 Amelia Kau '23
Huskies Emily Smith '25 Julia Sherry '23
Aragorn Crozier '24 Maya Outhred '24
Western Washington University Western Washington University Anna Morrow '24 Cece Nielsen '23
Viking Women Kira Blumhagen '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Fiona Mcbride '21 [5-6]		 Ella Barnard '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Kira Davis '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Annelisa Ayars '24 Allison Sasaki '24
Western Washington University Western Washington University Maxwell Dodd '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Cooper Snell '24 [3-4, 7-8]		 Luca Hagmayer-Pickholz '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Matthew Lindburg '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Vikings Dalton Lovett '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Tyler Nolasco '23 [3-4, 7-8]		 Eddie Nosal '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Gavin Cole '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Leopold Sabharwal '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Lucas Burzycki '23 [3-4, 7-8]		 Caroline Hurley '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Stensland '22 [3-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 11/20/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1033.9 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 28°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.6 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 12.8 kn
From SSE (163°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine7.5 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1033.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 4 kn · N 2 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Washington: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.71 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →