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Penobscot Bay Open

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 126
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 180
3 Boston University Boston University Terriers 197
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 223
5 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 266
6 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 341
7 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 374
8 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 449
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 2 4 2 1 3 3 1 2 1 2 1 4 6 3 5 5 45 Noah Robitshek '25
Matthew Hamelsky '23
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears A 5 2 3 5 1 1 3 1 3 4 3 1 5 14 10 1 62 Thomas Hall '25
Cj Ricci '24
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears B 1 3 1 2 2 2 8 3 2 6 RDG 8 10 4 4 4 64 Sam Bonauto '25
Jondall Norris '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 3 1 7 6 7 5 4 5 4 1 RDG 12 2 1 7 9 79 Bryan Trammell '23
Adelaide Straub '24
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 6 8 6 9 6 12 11 7 10 3 4 6 3 2 6 2 101 John Eastman '25
Maisie Macgillivray '25
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 8 10 8 10 11 9 2 8 7 5 5 2 4 8 1 3 101 Joshua Bartoszuk '25
Maddie Taylor '24
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 9 9 4 3 8 4 7 10 6 7 9 3 8 9 9 15 120 Will Priebe '24
Alexander Jaber '25
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 12 12 9 7 9 7 5 6 9 10 8 10 1 7 3 7 122 Henry Lee '24
Halle Peterlin '24
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 7 6 5 4 13 6 13 9 11 13 7 9 11 13 11 8 146 Carter Brock '22
Ada Oancea '24
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 15 13 13 11 15 13 6 13 8 9 2 7 7 12 2 6 152 Nicholas Hardy '24 [1-16]
Alistair Coyle '25 [1-4]
Theodor Waalberg '23 [5-16]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 A 4 5 12 12 5 8 9 4 13 8 6 14 13 15 16 14 158 Luke Healy '22
Tristan Walker '22
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 A 14 14 15 8 4 15 10 12 5 11 11 15 14 10 8 10 176 Nalu Ho '24
Keegan Brooks '26
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 B 11 7 14 13 10 14 12 15 12 12 16 5 12 5 13 12 183 Ella Beauregard '25
Haley Kent '23
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 10 15 11 15 12 10 15 11 15 14 12 13 15 6 12 11 197 Tucker Braun '22 [1-16]
Kaylee Mutch '22 [1-10]
Teagan Duffy '22 [11-16]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 B 13 11 10 14 14 11 14 14 14 15 10 11 9 11 14 13 198 Olivia Mitchell '22
Robert Jacobs '23
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 13 16 16 16 15 16 252 Daniel Faivre '24 [1-4, 10-16]
Jillian Harrington '23 [5-9]
Jillian Harrington '23 [1-4, 11-16]
Teagan Duffy '22 [5-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1111111111111111
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears2222222222222222
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 13333333333333333
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 24444444444444444
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers5555555555555555
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies6666666666666666
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams8888888888888888
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos7777777777777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers9999999999999999
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears10101010101010101010101010101010
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 111111111111111111111111111111111
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 212121212121212121212121212121212
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers13131313131313131313131313131313
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies14141414141414141414141414141414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams16161616161616161616161616161616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos15151515151515151515151515151515

Conditions — 09/11/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1017.8 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From WSW (242°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover37% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1017.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn · SW 14 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Maine Maritime: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.33 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Maine Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Maine Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →