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Lake Virginia Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 38 40 78
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 57 28 85
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 40 49 89
4 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 74 60 134
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 67 68 135
6 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lady Fins 110 73 183
7 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 110 96 206
8 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 59 150 209
9 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 103 117 220
10 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 120 101 221
11 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 112 133 245
12 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 140 119 259
13 The Citadel The Citadel Corps 158 102 260
14 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 1 153 141 294
15 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 133 175 308
16 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 159 182 341
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 2 2 5 6 2 2 10 1 2 2 2 2 38 Humberto Porrata '25
Hannah Marsicano '24
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 4 1 1 2 9 3 1 5 9 3 1 1 40 Eden Nykamp '25
Amelia Johnson '25
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 13 5 7 3 4 4 5 2 7 1 3 3 57 Brent Penwarden '24
Casada Homan '26
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 8 3 8 1 6 1 2 3 6 4 13 4 59 Jacob Usher '25
Sean Harris '25
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 5 8 3 8 1 6 3 11 1 10 5 6 67 Jordan Byrd '24
Lily Theisen '23
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 1 4 2 4 5 7 12 9 4 7 6 13 74 Emma Shakespeare '24 [1-9]
Luke Justin '25 [10-12]
Saleta Powell '25 [1-9]
Melissa Janes '26 [10-12]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 9 11 6 5 14 11 16 8 3 6 7 7 103 Lily Schwartz '25
Tess Levanway '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lady Fins 6 7 9 7 8 DSQ 8 4 12 13 11 8 110 Kaitlyn Liebel '26
Samantha Drake '25
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 15 13 4 12 7 5 13 6 8 5 12 10 110 Gregory Walters '23
William Moran '23
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 16 16 12 11 3 10 4 7 5 8 8 12 112 Julian Drake '25 [1-6]
Hilton Kamps '25 [7-12]
Isabella Botelho '25 [1-6]
Angelina Khourisader '23 [7-9]
Imogene Dunn '25 [10-12]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 3 6 13 16 10 9 7 10 16 11 10 9 120 Sandra Heilshorn '23
Eva Klovatskiy '26
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 12 9 14 9 13 8 11 13 10 14 9 11 133 Naomi Sterlingsdottir '22
Dom Aloysius Mandigma '23
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 11 15 15 14 12 12 15 14 14 9 4 5 140 Anthon Funderburk '24 [1-9]
Brendan Smucker '25 [10-12]
Henry Hill '25 [1-9]
Sofia Scarpa '26 [10-12]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 1 7 12 16 10 11 14 14 16 13 12 14 14 153 Connor Teague '23 [1-6]
Jackson Mcgeough '25 [7-12]
Anjella Klaiber '23 [1-6]
Jonas Urban '23 [7-12]
The Citadel The Citadel Corps 14 14 10 13 15 15 9 12 11 15 15 15 158 Henry Parker '26 [1-12]
Robert Prause '26 [1-6, 10-12]
Jacob Broderick '26 [7-9]
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 10 10 11 15 16 13 6 15 15 16 16 16 159 Hudson Jenkins '25 [1-3, 7-9]
Sam Pearl '25 [4-6, 10-12]
Laurens Vermeulen '22 [1-3, 7-12]
Thomas Ingram '26 [4-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 1 3 3 1 1 2 1 3 3 3 4 28 Owen Bannasch '26
Kayla Putzke '24
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 5 2 1 4 7 2 3 5 8 1 1 1 40 Zachariah Schemel '25
Brilan Christopher '24
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 6 3 11 1 5 4 1 2 1 6 2 7 49 Griffin Richardson '25
Tess Heilman '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 2 9 6 5 3 3 6 3 11 5 4 3 60 Erik Volk '23 [1-12]
Melissa Janes '26 [1-9]
Saleta Powell '25 [10-12]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 1 4 7 2 4 5 9 12 14 2 6 2 68 Andreas Keswater '24 [1-6, 10-12]
Luke Justin '25 [7-9]
Emmy Digiacomo '24 [1-6, 10-12]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lady Fins 9 13 4 9 6 6 4 4 2 4 7 5 73 Agija Elerte '26
Piper Desantis '23
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 4 11 5 13 2 7 14 8 6 11 5 10 96 Noah Frank '26
Gordan Stine '26
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 8 5 2 10 12 14 8 7 4 10 12 9 101 Josh Becher '26 [1-3, 7-12]
Andrew Engel '26 [4-6]
Danielle Ketner '26 [1-3, 7-12]
The Citadel The Citadel Corps 7 8 8 7 8 11 5 6 7 13 11 11 102 Kenneth Buck '26
Edwin Mcalister '26
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 10 7 9 11 11 8 7 11 9 12 9 13 117 Ronan Sulkin '26
Elissa Martinez '23
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 11 10 13 8 14 9 11 10 10 9 8 6 119 William Mullray '26 [1-9]
Brandon Depalma '24 [10-12]
Harpoon Seabring '22 [1-9]
Henry Hill '25 [10-12]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 15 16 10 12 15 13 10 9 5 7 13 8 133 Henry Campbell '25 [1-6]
Carly Orhan '23 [7-12]
Noel Marran '24 [1-6]
Imogene Dunn '25 [7-9]
Angelina Khourisader '23 [10-12]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 1 13 6 DSQ 6 9 12 12 15 DNF 8 14 12 141 Clayton Weum '25 [1-6]
Emily Threeton '26 [7-12]
Jonas Urban '23 [1-6]
Isabella Botelho '25 [7-9]
Zi Burns '26 [10-12]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 14 12 12 15 10 10 13 14 12 14 10 14 150 Jake Montjoy '24
Blaine Garner '25
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 12 15 14 14 13 16 15 16 13 15 16 16 175 Alexander Oakes '26
Shane Hayward '24
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 16 14 15 16 16 15 16 13 15 16 15 15 182 Julian Larsen '26
Daniel Martin '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs101010121212141414161616
The CitadelThe Citadel Corps111111131313151515111
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 1111333555777
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 2222444666888
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles333555777999
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers444666888101010
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins555777999111111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Lady Fins666888101010121212
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes131313151515111333
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack777999111111131313
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 1888101010121212141414
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 2999111111131313151515
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 1141414161616222444
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 2151515111333555
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 3161616222444666
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights121212141414161616222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs111111131313151515111
The CitadelThe Citadel Corps121212141414161616222
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 1222444666888
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 2333555777999
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles444666888101010
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers555777999111111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins666888101010121212
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Lady Fins777999111111131313
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes141414161616222444
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack888101010121212141414
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 1999111111131313151515
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 2101010121212141414161616
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 1151515111333555
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 2161616222444666
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 3111333555777
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights131313151515111333
School / Team SkipperCrew
Eckerd College Eckerd College Eden Nykamp '25 Amelia Johnson '25
Tritons 1 Griffin Richardson '25 Tess Heilman '26
Eckerd College Eckerd College Lily Schwartz '25 Tess Levanway '26
Tritons 2 Ronan Sulkin '26 Elissa Martinez '23
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Naomi Sterlingsdottir '22 Dom Aloysius Mandigma '23
Eagles Alexander Oakes '26 Shane Hayward '24
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Anthon Funderburk '24 [1-9]
Brendan Smucker '25 [10-12]		 Henry Hill '25 [1-9]
Sofia Scarpa '26 [10-12]
Panthers William Mullray '26 [1-9]
Brandon Depalma '24 [10-12]		 Harpoon Seabring '22 [1-9]
Henry Hill '25 [10-12]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Brent Penwarden '24 Casada Homan '26
Fins Owen Bannasch '26 Kayla Putzke '24
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Kaitlyn Liebel '26 Samantha Drake '25
Lady Fins Agija Elerte '26 Piper Desantis '23
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Jacob Usher '25 Sean Harris '25
Wolfpack Jake Montjoy '24 Blaine Garner '25
Rollins College Rollins College Connor Teague '23 [1-6]
Jackson Mcgeough '25 [7-12]		 Anjella Klaiber '23 [1-6]
Jonas Urban '23 [7-12]
Tars 1 Clayton Weum '25 [1-6]
Emily Threeton '26 [7-12]		 Jonas Urban '23 [1-6]
Isabella Botelho '25 [7-9]
Zi Burns '26 [10-12]
Rollins College Rollins College Julian Drake '25 [1-6]
Hilton Kamps '25 [7-12]		 Isabella Botelho '25 [1-6]
Angelina Khourisader '23 [7-9]
Imogene Dunn '25 [10-12]
Tars 2 Henry Campbell '25 [1-6]
Carly Orhan '23 [7-12]		 Noel Marran '24 [1-6]
Imogene Dunn '25 [7-9]
Angelina Khourisader '23 [10-12]
The Citadel The Citadel Gregory Walters '23 William Moran '23
Bulldogs Noah Frank '26 Gordan Stine '26
The Citadel The Citadel Henry Parker '26 [1-12] Robert Prause '26 [1-6, 10-12]
Jacob Broderick '26 [7-9]
Corps Kenneth Buck '26 Edwin Mcalister '26
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Hudson Jenkins '25 [1-3, 7-9]
Sam Pearl '25 [4-6, 10-12]		 Laurens Vermeulen '22 [1-3, 7-12]
Thomas Ingram '26 [4-6]
Knights Julian Larsen '26 Daniel Martin '25
University of Miami University of Miami Sandra Heilshorn '23 Eva Klovatskiy '26
Hurricanes Josh Becher '26 [1-3, 7-12]
Andrew Engel '26 [4-6]		 Danielle Ketner '26 [1-3, 7-12]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Humberto Porrata '25 Hannah Marsicano '24
Bulls 1 Zachariah Schemel '25 Brilan Christopher '24
University of South Florida University of South Florida Jordan Byrd '24 Lily Theisen '23
Bulls 2 Andreas Keswater '24 [1-6, 10-12]
Luke Justin '25 [7-9]		 Emmy Digiacomo '24 [1-6, 10-12]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Emma Shakespeare '24 [1-9]
Luke Justin '25 [10-12]		 Saleta Powell '25 [1-9]
Melissa Janes '26 [10-12]
Bulls 3 Erik Volk '23 [1-12] Melissa Janes '26 [1-9]
Saleta Powell '25 [10-12]

Conditions — 10/22/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1018.4 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.8 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From NNE (18°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover11% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1018.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn · N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rollins: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rollins by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Rollins).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →