Navy Women's

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 49
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 52
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 53
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 71
5 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 72
6 George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries 76
7 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 82
8 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 109
9 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 120
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers A 5 10 2 3 20 Madeleine Rice '24
Eva Gonzalez-Whitehouse '26
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 7 7 1 5 20 Cho-Cho Williams '26
Emily Shioutakon '26
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas A 6 9 5 1 21 Kelly Bates '26 [1-4]
Margot Gordon '26 [1-2]
Anna Brzezinski '27 [3-4]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 1 11 11 2 25 Ava Farley '26
Madeline Smith '24
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries A 4 4 15 4 27 Avery Canavan '25 [1-4]
Genevieve Mumma '24 [1-2, 4]
Ella Adelman '26 [3]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 12 3 3 10 28 Aubin Hattendorf '24
Catherine Aitken '24
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers B 2 5 7 15 29 Sofia Segalla '25
Caroline Dannacher '25
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 13 2 8 7 30 Gianna Dewey '27
Allison Volk '25
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 3 8 9 12 32 Grace Watlington '26
Ellie Mcfall '24
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 14 1 6 11 32 Lina Carper '27
Rachel O'Neill '24
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 8 6 10 16 40 Laura Smith '26
Grace Keene '24
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 9 13 13 6 41 Megan Geith '24
Cadence Goodnight '26
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos A 11 16 4 13 44 Anna Groszkowski '26
Claire Miller '26
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries B 16 12 12 9 49 Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia '26
Elizabeth Ellis '24
Washington College Washington College Shoremen A 18 15 16 8 57 Kennedy Jones '24
Rachel Morgen '26
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas B 10 17 17 17 61 Alexa Shea '26 [1-4]
Morgan Rice '25 [1-2]
Lucy Jervis '27 [3-4]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen B 17 18 14 14 63 Hartley Meyer '25
Nora Ciak '27
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos B 15 14 18 18 65 Anjali Frary '27
Martha Dwyer '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains1111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries2222
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas3333
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen6666
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs4444
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers7777
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks5555
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos8888
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen9999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains10101010
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries11111111
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas12121212
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen15151515
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs13131313
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers16161616
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks14141414
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos17171717
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen18181818

Conditions — 09/09/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1017.2 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 75°F
Feels like 88°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From SSE (152°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover83% Sunshine8.6 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1017.2 hPa Rain0.15 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 5 kn · S 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Navy: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.32 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →