Sugar Bowl Women’s

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 91
2 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 91
3 Tulane University Tulane University Angry Wave 107
4 Tulane University Tulane University Riptide 118
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 141
6 Tulane University Tulane University Roll Wave 196
7 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 207
8 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 288
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Angry Wave A 2 2 1 3 1 1 3 3 1 17 Samantha Gardner '27
Andrea Riefkohl Gonzalez '24
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 4 9 8 1 7 2 2 1 2 36 Emily Alfortish '25
Clara Murphy '27
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave B 1 4 4 2 5 6 4 9 6 41 Mia Hanes '24
Ellie Spearman '25
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave A 8 7 7 8 3 3 1 8 5 50 Caroline Benson '23
Cj Ricci '25
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 3 1 3 9 6 9 9 12 3 55 Emma Tallman '25
Noelle Owen '24
Tulane University Tulane University Riptide A 11 6 2 7 4 4 11 6 8 59 Oakley Cunningham '27
Ella May Corckran '26
Tulane University Tulane University Riptide B 5 3 5 12 10 5 5 4 10 59 Lucy Spearman '25
Sloane Mullin '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 7 5 10 11 2 8 6 5 7 61 Kay Brunsvold '25
Kalea Woodard '24
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 9 10 14 5 8 10 7 2 15 80 Kailey Warrior '27
Jewel "Min Min" Kelly '24
Tulane University Tulane University Roll Wave B 6 12 12 6 12 13 10 10 9 90 Ashley Hoguet '26
Raquel Shulman '25
Tulane University Tulane University Angry Wave B 12 8 9 4 11 7 14 11 14 90 Ava Anderson '27
Catherine Anderson '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 13 11 13 10 9 11 8 13 11 99 Fiona Froelich '28
Elizabeth Williamson '26
Tulane University Tulane University Roll Wave A 10 13 6 14 13 15 15 7 13 106 Mira Herlihy '27
Caitlin Briggs '23
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 14 14 11 13 14 12 12 14 4 108 Ella Lansford '27
Lauren Turner '26
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 14 16 15 12 142 Kate Hennig '26
Sydney Krahulik '27
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies A DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 16 13 16 16 146 Hanna Progelhof '25 [1-9]
Emily Davison '24 [1-7, 9]
Gretchen March '25 [8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars112233445
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins22111616151514
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls887766554
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies334455667
Tulane UniversityTulane University Angry Wave556677889
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave4433221116
Tulane UniversityTulane University Riptide665544332
Tulane UniversityTulane University Roll Wave778899101011

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars9910101111121213
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins10109988776
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls161615151414131312
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies111112121313141415
Tulane UniversityTulane University Angry Wave13131414151516161
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave121211111010998
Tulane UniversityTulane University Riptide141413131212111110
Tulane UniversityTulane University Roll Wave1515161611223

Conditions — 09/23/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1014.0 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 77°F
Feels like 90°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From NNW (340°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover37% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1014.0 hPa Rain0.20 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn · W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tulane: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.29 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →