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CofC Women's Fall

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 147
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 208
3 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 292
4 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 306
5 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 327
6 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 403
7 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 430
8 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 476
9 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 523
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 1 3 4 3 8 3 2 5 5 7 8 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 62 Bella Shakespeare '27
Lucy Elvart '28
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 7 2 2 7 4 4 1 6 4 1 5 10 6 4 11 4 5 2 85 Fredrikke Foss '25
Nina Lubchenco '25
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 9 8 1 1 2 2 4 8 11 9 10 4 2 5 8 5 1 6 96 Emily Allen '25
Reagan Carris '26
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 3 1 5 4 5 8 10 3 16 10 3 2 7 10 5 1 6 1 100 Marina Conde '28
Isabelle Kanach '25
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 10 4 7 2 12 1 6 4 13 11 6 6 4 8 4 3 3 8 112 Kaitlyn Liebel '26
Payton Ruth '26
Rollins College Rollins College Tars A 8 7 16 6 6 14 5 7 7 13 4 5 9 1 3 9 4 12 136 Shay Bridge '28
Jane Mckenzie '27
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 5 15 10 11 3 9 7 11 3 14 7 7 12 9 10 6 7 4 150 Laura Smith '26
Gabrielle Byrne '26
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 6 14 12 DSQ 9 6 16 13 2 3 1 3 3 13 6 12 8 10 156 Grace Watlington '26
Gail Schneider '25
Rollins College Rollins College Tars B 11 11 6 9 1 13 11 9 14 5 2 11 5 7 1 13 13 14 156 Julia Scott '27 [1-17]
Zi Burns '25 [18]
Zi Burns '25 [1-15]
Nora Vandermeid '27 [16-17]
Julia Scott '27 [18]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 4 9 8 10 16 12 8 12 12 8 9 12 13 RAF 7 7 11 5 182 Arantxa Argibay '27
Cora Johnson '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 2 5 3 8 7 5 3 2 6 4 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 197 Emma Shakespeare '24
Melissa Janes '26
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 16 10 9 12 10 7 9 DSQ 8 17 11 8 11 3 14 14 10 9 197 Lyla Solway '28
Shea Hoffacker '27
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 18 12 15 13 11 16 13 DNS 9 12 13 9 10 11 13 8 12 7 221 Daniella Woodbridge '28
Olivia Campmany '25
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles A 14 13 11 15 15 15 18 DNS 10 2 12 14 8 12 12 10 15 11 226 Tia Schoening '26
Kristen Cooper '25
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 15 16 14 14 13 11 15 10 15 15 14 13 14 6 9 11 9 13 227 Olivia Gilmore '27
Molly Hanson '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 13 6 13 5 14 10 12 1 1 6 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 233 Kailey Warrior '27
Dana Aljasir '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 12 17 17 16 17 17 14 14 17 16 16 15 16 15 15 15 14 16 279 Anneliese Farner '28
Jane Caroline Minchew '25
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles B 17 18 18 17 18 18 17 15 18 18 15 16 15 14 16 16 16 15 297 Olivia Figley '26
Olivia Hoover '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (25 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars222111181818171717161616151515
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains111222333444555666
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles333444555666777888
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins444333222111181818171717
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes888777666555444333
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack555666777888999101010
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs666555444333222111
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars777888999101010111111121212
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls999101010111111121212131313141414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars111111121212131313141414151515161616
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains101010999888777666555
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles121212111111101010999888777
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins131313141414151515161616171717181818
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes171717181818111222333444
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack141414131313121212111111101010999
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs151515161616171717181818111222
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars161616151515141414131313121212111111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls181818171717161616151515141414131313

Conditions — 10/05/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1018.8 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From ENE (64°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine8.4 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1018.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 11 kn · E 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →