Navy Women's

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 94
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 139
3 George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries 158
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 158
5 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 176
6 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 212
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas B 4 3 4 3 1 2 11 1 1 5 4 4 43 Emily Doble '28
Morgan Rice '25
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas A 1 2 6 2 4 8 8 8 7 3 1 1 51 Kelly Bates '26
Margot Gordon '26
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 7 1 8 1 5 10 1 10 2 1 3 2 51 Gianna Dewey '27
Allison Volk '25
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 5 11 2 4 7 3 9 5 3 7 5 5 66 Lina Carper '27 [1-12]
Grace Phillips '27 [1-5]
Rachel O'Neill '24 [6-12]
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries A 3 6 9 7 9 5 4 3 6 6 2 10 70 Avery Canavan '25 [1-5]
Hayden Clary '28 [6-12]
Brooke Kelley '28 [1-4]
Caitlyn Schwartz '28 [5-12]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 6 4 1 11 3 4 2 7 9 11 6 9 73 Cho-Cho Williams '26
Brooke Bertrand '25
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 10 8 5 10 8 7 7 2 4 2 7 11 81 Grace Watlington '26
Gail Schneider '25
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries B 2 9 3 5 2 12 12 9 8 8 10 8 88 Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia '26 [1-6]
Eva Wieting '26 [7-12]
Lydia Woolson '28 [1-6]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 12 5 10 8 11 11 5 4 5 9 12 3 95 Laura Smith '26
Summer Duba '25
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 9 7 7 12 6 9 6 11 10 10 8 7 102 Kate Zurinskas '27 [1-12]
Darby Dryden '27 [1-5, 7-12]
Linnea Forsberg '25 [6]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 8 10 11 6 10 1 10 12 12 12 9 6 107 Emma Friedauer '26
Morgan Auth '27
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 11 DNF 12 9 12 6 3 6 11 4 11 12 110 Josephine Sherry '27 [1-6]
Linnea Forsberg '25 [7-12]
Molly Jethwa '28 [1-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains111111111111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries222222222222
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas333333333333
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen666666666666
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs444444444444
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks555555555555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains777777777777
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries888888888888
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas999999999999
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen121212121212121212121212
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs101010101010101010101010
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks111111111111111111111111

Conditions — 09/07/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1010.9 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 24.5 kn
From W (279°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover91% Sunshine6.8 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1010.9 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 15 kn · NW 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Navy: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.12
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.42 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →