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Oyster Bowl

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 20 20
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 33 33
3 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 35 35
4 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 3 43 43
5 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 43 43
6 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 46 46
7 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 57 57
8 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 63 63
9 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 70 70
10 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 71 71
11 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 79 79
12 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 91 91
13 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 94 94
14 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 102 102
15 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 113 113
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 3 4 3 4 3 1 1 1 20 Mason Cook '29 [1-8]
Jaden Talay '27 [1-6]
Mary Govan '27 [7-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 2 3 4 2 2 7 7 6 33 Teddy Martin '27
Melania Gonzalez '28
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 7 2 7 3 6 2 6 2 35 Ian Lent '28
Lucy Lukens '28
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 3 1 9 1 5 9 4 3 11 43 Ian Fox '28
Eva Gonzalez-Whitehouse '26
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 8 6 6 10 1 6 2 4 43 Drew D’Orsi '28
Pelin Yuksel '28
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 5 5 2 1 12 13 5 3 46 Hugh Carty '27
Eva Ottenbreit '27
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 4 1 5 6 11 5 13 12 57 Joseph Marynowski '28
Gina Bonazelli '26
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 6 7 9 8 8 3 9 13 63 Marina Conde '28
Emily Priest '29
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 9 14 8 7 7 12 8 5 70 Pilar Cundey '27
Kate Constan '26
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 11 12 10 11 5 8 4 10 71 Esther Ireland '29
Molly Hanson '27
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 10 13 13 9 4 9 14 7 79 Adrianna D'Agati '29
Emil Damji '29
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 13 10 11 12 14 10 12 9 91 Wynne Williams '27 [1-3]
Marcus Greco '28 [4-8]
Maeve Katics '26 [1-3]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 15 15 12 13 10 11 10 8 94 Walker Brescia '28 [1-6]
Mats Braaten '27 [7-8]
Brooke Hayward '27 [1-6]
Elise Jones '28 [7-8]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 12 8 14 15 13 14 11 15 102 Cash Espinoza '29 [1-8]
Siena Adduci '27 [1-6]
Emery Strockbine '28 [7-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 14 11 15 14 15 15 15 14 113 Liam Christopher '29
Gregory Lesmerises Degraff '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (41 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 111111111
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 222222222
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 333333333
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11010101010101010
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 21111111111111111
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 31212121212121212
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 144444444
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 255555555
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 11313131313131313
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 21414141414141414
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 31515151515151515
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 166666666
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 277777777
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 388888888
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 499999999

Conditions — 10/04/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1024.5 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 11.9 kn
From SSW (206°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover4% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1024.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 5 kn · S 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.12 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.50 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →