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SAISA South Top 6 Invitational

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 145
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 153
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 261
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 284
5 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 346
6 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 350
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 3 1 3 6 2 5 1 1 2 24 Steven Hardee '26
Arantxa Argibay '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 2 8 1 1 5 3 3 2 3 28 Cole Schweda '27
Taylor Collison '28
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes C 5 7 4 5 1 1 8 9 1 41 William Stratton '29
Cora Johnson '27
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 10 11 2 11 4 7 5 4 4 58 Pj Rodrigues '28
Avery Guck '28
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 11 9 12 2 3 8 7 3 6 61 Hank Seum '27
Madison Mihan '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins C 1 5 9 3 10 6 15 8 7 64 Grayson Tella '26
Emerson Teer '29
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles A 15 10 13 7 7 4 2 6 11 75 Kamron Kaiser '28
Suzie Nguyen '29
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 14 6 5 16 13 2 6 13 5 80 Danny Riano '27 [1-9]
Briana Hummel '27 [1, 5-9]
Isaac Van Buren '28 [2-4]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 6 4 6 4 9 11 14 17 14 85 Efe Guder '28 [1-7]
Sara Menesale '28 [8-9]
Macy Parke '28 [1-7]
Ivy Dumas '29 [8-9]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 12 2 7 14 8 12 13 5 13 86 Kailey Warrior '27
Catherine Brennan '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls C 8 3 11 12 11 13 10 7 15 90 Grace Jones '28
Melissa Janes '26
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 4 12 8 15 15 9 12 10 8 93 Jordan Vieira '28
Tia Soultanakis '26
Rollins College Rollins College Tars B 18 16 10 13 16 15 4 11 9 112 Milo Fleming '28
Alexander Goldsmith '28
Rollins College Rollins College Tars C 9 14 17 10 12 10 9 18 16 115 Adelaide Matzky '29
Cameron Kinnear '28
Rollins College Rollins College Tars A 13 17 14 9 14 14 16 12 10 119 Jack Adderley '28
Soleil Aurignac '29
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles C 16 15 15 8 6 17 11 14 17 119 Samantha Eckert '29
Olivia Figley '26
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons C 7 13 18 17 17 16 17 16 12 133 Peter Miller '29 [1-3, 7-9]
Anderson Osinski '29 [4-6]
Peyton Seidle '29 [1-3, 7-9]
Lily Tracey '29 [4-6]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles B 17 18 16 18 18 18 18 15 18 156 Bennett Tobey '29
Kayra Serpenguzel '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (51 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons111222333
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles222111181818
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins333444555
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes555666777
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars444333222
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls666555444

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons777888999
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles888777666
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins999101010111111
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes111111121212131313
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars101010999888
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls121212111111101010

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons131313141414151515
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles141414131313121212
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins151515161616171717
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes171717181818111
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars161616151515141414
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls181818171717161616

Conditions — 09/13/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1013.5 hPa

Temperature

81°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 85°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.7 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From NNE (19°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover20% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1013.5 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at South Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →