SAISA Women's Top 9 Invitational

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 95
2 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 145
3 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 209
4 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 230
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 236
6 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 250
7 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 305
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 1 1 3 1 2 4 1 3 1 2 7 1 3 3 33 Bella Shakespeare '27
Clara Murphy '27
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 3 3 10 5 1 7 2 4 2 5 8 5 5 2 62 Ashley Alfortish '27
Andrea Melnik '27
Rollins College Rollins College Tars A 2 4 1 8 5 2 3 7 4 6 5 7 8 5 67 Shay Bridge '28 [1-14]
Maggie Burnham '26 [1-10]
Jane Mckenzie '27 [11-14]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars B 14 2 2 4 14 5 10 2 5 1 6 3 2 8 78 Adelaide Matzky '29 [1-14]
Jane Mckenzie '27 [1-8]
Mollie Wood '29 [9-10, 13-14]
Maggie Burnham '26 [11-12]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers A 9 9 8 9 6 12 8 1 3 9 2 2 1 4 83 Bridget Monahan '26 [1-14]
Caroline Wilber '28 [1-6]
Anne Busey '29 [7-14]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 13 7 4 6 4 1 12 5 8 13 10 4 6 1 94 Sara Menesale '28
Ivy Dumas '29
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 4 13 12 2 3 3 4 8 6 3 3 11 11 13 96 Evelyn Hannah '28
Olivia Soucy '28
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 11 6 5 3 8 9 5 6 9 4 9 6 7 10 98 Arantxa Argibay '27 [1-14]
Gizela Kohan '27 [1-10]
Eva Klovatskiy '26 [11-14]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 7 5 7 11 10 11 9 11 7 8 4 13 4 6 113 Lyla Solway '28
Julia Boutet '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 8 10 6 7 13 13 7 13 12 11 13 9 13 7 142 Reese Ambrose '29 [1-5, 11-14]
Esme Pray '29 [6-10]
Anindita Carlsen '28 [1-5, 11-14]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers B 6 11 13 12 12 6 14 14 14 10 1 8 14 12 147 Mary Katherine Monahan '28 [1-14]
Anne Busey '29 [1-6]
Caroline Wilber '28 [7-14]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 12 8 11 13 7 8 6 12 13 12 12 10 9 14 147 Madison Mihan '27
Lauren Turner '26
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 5 14 14 14 9 14 11 10 10 7 11 12 10 11 152 Lanee Imperato '29 [1-14]
Cora Johnson '27 [1-10]
Lauren Montgomery '29 [11-14]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 10 12 9 10 11 10 13 9 11 14 14 14 12 9 158 Ella Lansford '27 [1-10, 13-14]
Elizabeth Williamson '26 [11-12]
Elizabeth Williamson '26 [1-10, 13-14]
Ella Lansford '27 [11-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers11223344556677
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars221116161515121211111010
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins33445566778899
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes6655443322111616
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack44332211161615151212
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars556677889910101111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls7788991010111112121515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers88776655443322
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars991010111112121515161611
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins1010998877665544
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes151516161122334455
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack1111121215151616112233
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars12121111101099887766
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls161615151212111110109988
School / Team SkipperCrew
Auburn University Auburn University Bridget Monahan '26 [1-14] Caroline Wilber '28 [1-6]
Anne Busey '29 [7-14]
Tigers Mary Katherine Monahan '28 [1-14] Anne Busey '29 [1-6]
Caroline Wilber '28 [7-14]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Bella Shakespeare '27 Clara Murphy '27
Cougars Ashley Alfortish '27 Andrea Melnik '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Ella Lansford '27 [1-10, 13-14]
Elizabeth Williamson '26 [11-12]
Elizabeth Williamson '26 [1-10, 13-14]
Ella Lansford '27 [11-12]
Fins Madison Mihan '27 Lauren Turner '26
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Evelyn Hannah '28 Olivia Soucy '28
Wolfpack Lyla Solway '28 Julia Boutet '27
Rollins College Rollins College Shay Bridge '28 [1-14] Maggie Burnham '26 [1-10]
Jane Mckenzie '27 [11-14]
Tars Adelaide Matzky '29 [1-14] Jane Mckenzie '27 [1-8]
Mollie Wood '29 [9-10, 13-14]
Maggie Burnham '26 [11-12]
University of Miami University of Miami Arantxa Argibay '27 [1-14] Gizela Kohan '27 [1-10]
Eva Klovatskiy '26 [11-14]
Hurricanes Lanee Imperato '29 [1-14] Cora Johnson '27 [1-10]
Lauren Montgomery '29 [11-14]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Sara Menesale '28 Ivy Dumas '29
Bulls Reese Ambrose '29 [1-5, 11-14]
Esme Pray '29 [6-10]
Anindita Carlsen '28 [1-5, 11-14]

Conditions — 09/20/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1016.4 hPa

Temperature

84°F
↑ 89°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 89°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 8.9 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From NNE (31°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1016.4 hPa Rain0.05 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · NE 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rollins: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.38 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rollins by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Rollins).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →