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New England Dinghy Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 20 23 43
2 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 35 35 70
3 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 53 35 88
4 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 39 53 92
5 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 81 49 130
6 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 41 96 137
7 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 80 74 154
8 Trinity College Trinity College Bantam 93 78 171
9 Williams College Williams College Ephs 82 94 176
10 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 84 109 193
11 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 113 80 193
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 1 2 1 5 3 1 2 2 1 1 20 Alex Takata '12 [1-10]
Billy Rohman '11 [11]
Laura Heyl '10 [1-10]
Caitlin Beach '10 [11]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 4 2 1 5 2 7 2 1 4 4 3 35 Sean Andrew '11
Jennifer Parenteau '10
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 4 4 4 1 6 6 5 1 2 4 39 Christopher Poole '13
Zachary Vickers '12
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 3 5 5 3 4 2 4 3 3 7 2 41 Michael Reney '13
Leo Connolly '13
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 5 3 3 2 3 4 3 11 7 3 9 53 Billy Hines '12 [1-11]
Tommy Holmberg '13 [1-10]
Carolyn Griffiths '10 [11]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers BKD 7 7 7 DNF BKD 5 4 11 6 7 80 Sam Wyer '12
Ben Pruitt '12
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 11 6 9 8 1 9 6 5 DNF 8 81 Conor Lodge '14
Jessica Hoffman '14
Williams College Williams College Ephs 7 8 8 8 7 11 8 8 6 5 6 82 Timothy Lorenzen '12
Elizabeth Dorr '12
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 9 6 9 6 6 5 7 9 8 9 10 84 Stephanie Dowling '12
Alison Rogers '12
Trinity College Trinity College Bantam 8 9 10 10 9 8 10 7 9 8 5 93 Michael Levy '12 [1-11]
Alie Schreiber '13 [1-10]
Zoe Edmonds '13 [11]
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 10 10 11 11 10 9 11 10 10 10 11 113 Meghan Breslin-Jewer '11
Katherine Kolios '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 3 1 1 1 7 5 1 1 1 1 23 Charlotte Williamson '15
Benjmain Berg '12
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 3 1 3 6 5 4 1 3 3 4 2 35 Jon Beery '10 [1-10]
Peter Giuliano '10 [11]
Brian Pracon '11 [1-10]
John Giuliano '11 [11]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 10 2 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 2 4 35 David Pierce '12 [1-11]
Christopher Calahan '12 [1-8]
Frances Chase '10 [9-11]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 4 5 3 3 5 4 7 8 5 3 49 Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14
Estelle Beguin '14
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 4 DSQ 4 5 6 2 3 2 4 3 8 53 John Joseph '12
Hadley Neale '13
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 6 7 6 4 7 1 8 8 10 10 7 74 Anna Hopper '14
James Pates '12
Trinity College Trinity College Bantam 5 5 7 8 10 11 6 6 7 7 6 78 Orhan Gazelle '11 [1-11]
Zoe Edmonds '13 [1-8]
Stephanie Joo '13 [9-11]
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 7 10 11 10 4 6 7 5 6 9 5 80 Jared Dunn '13
Jacob Hardy '13
Williams College Williams College Ephs 8 6 9 9 11 8 11 10 5 6 11 94 Joshua Revkin '13
Mary Anne Ludwig '12
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11 8 8 7 8 10 BKD 9 9 8 9 96 Terry Clarke '13
Andrew Labbe '13
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 9 9 10 11 9 9 9 11 11 11 10 109 Nick Belsito '13
Emilija Schreck '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs113355779911
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats221212101088664
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears3355779911111
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges442212121010886
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies10108866442212
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners5577991111113
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers664422121210108
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers7799111111335
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies88664422121210
Trinity CollegeTrinity College Bantam9911111133557
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs1111113355779

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs22446688101012
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1111119977553
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears446688101012122
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges3311111199775
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies997755331111
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners668810101212224
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers5533111111997
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers881010121222446
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies7755331111119
Trinity CollegeTrinity College Bantam101012122244668
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs12122244668810

Conditions — 04/10/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1012.3 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.2 kn
avg  ·  max 14.1 kn
Gusts to 30.7 kn
From WNW (282°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover53% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1012.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn · W 12 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bowdoin: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bowdoin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled days at Bowdoin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →