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PCCSC/Patagonia Womens Champs

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 33 28 61
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 57 44 101
3 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 73 56 129
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 55 85 140
5 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 79 64 143
6 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 70 92 162
7 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 88 118 206
8 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 121 89 210
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 4 2 2 5 2 1 2 33 Sarah Mace '14
Katie Riklin '13
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 7 4 3 2 3 3 3 1 5 1 1 3 5 5 4 55 Ginger Luckey '16
Natalie Davidson '16
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 4 5 3 4 6 6 1 1 7 3 3 3 4 1 3 3 57 Madeline Kennedy '14
Katrina Berry '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 3 2 2 3 7 4 7 2 2 6 6 1 7 7 8 70 Emelia Pelliccio '13
Erica Parker '14
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 6 1 7 7 5 2 5 6 5 6 5 5 2 4 2 5 73 Lindsay Grove '13
Katie Everett '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 8 6 5 5 4 4 7 5 8 1 4 4 7 6 4 1 79 Alicia Bernhard '13
Caitlin Riley '15
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 4 6 6 8 5 6 4 4 7 7 7 6 3 8 6 88 Jessica Bernhard '14
Emelia Sween '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 7 8 8 8 7 8 8 8 6 8 8 8 8 8 6 7 121 Kendall Sanson '15
Nicole Bosetti '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 2 1 1 1 3 2 3 2 4 1 2 2 1 1 1 28 Yuki Yoshiyasu '16 [1-16]
Natalie Urban '15 [1-6]
Michelle Catania '16 [7-16]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 3 1 4 3 4 5 6 2 1 1 3 1 1 4 3 2 44 Hanne Nagatani '13
Lindsay Stewart '13
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 5 4 2 2 3 2 3 1 3 2 6 3 4 5 5 6 56 Francesca Cappellini '16
Rachel Flanagan '14
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 6 3 4 2 1 1 4 6 5 2 5 7 7 6 3 64 Anna Hagberg '13
Danielle Sams '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 6 5 5 5 5 6 8 5 8 3 7 7 5 3 2 5 85 Lauren Dykman '16
Jacqueline Wetzel '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 4 3 6 6 6 7 4 6 4 6 5 8 6 6 8 4 89 Olivia Gebelein '15
Hollis Barth '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 8 7 7 7 7 4 5 7 7 7 4 6 3 2 4 7 92 Nora Brackbill '13
Justina Leo '15
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 8 5 8 8 4 8 8 7 8 118 Eileen Welch '15
Regina Rojas '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (35 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers112233445517177788
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows778811223344551717
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos221188771717554433
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans887717175544332211
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal334455171777881122
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins443322118877171755
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons171755443322118877
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos551717778811223344

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers991010111112121313141415151616
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows151516169910101111121213131414
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos101099161615151414131312121111
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans161615151414131312121111101099
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal111112121313141415151616991010
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins121211111010991616151514141313
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons141413131212111110109916161515
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos131314141515161699101011111212

Conditions — 04/20/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1018.0 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From NW (310°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1018.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Stanford: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.08 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stanford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (48 labelled days at Stanford).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →