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USF Women's

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 110
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 123
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 164
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 167
5 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 184
6 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 188
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 4 6 4 1 1 4 8 3 1 2 5 1 40 Mary Hall '15
Elizabeth Morrison '14
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 1 10 2 2 3 3 7 6 6 1 1 4 46 Melany Johnson '15
Brianna Green '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 5 7 1 3 4 2 6 1 2 3 9 8 51 Grace Lucas '14 [1-12]
Charlotte Saxe '16 [1-9]
Morgan Buckley '15 [10-12]
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 8 1 9 4 2 8 2 5 8 4 3 2 56 Elizabeth Glivinski '14
Hannah Callahan '16
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 3 2 5 5 6 1 1 9 5 8 8 6 59 Clerc Cooper '15
Elizabeth Chambers '14
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows A 2 4 6 6 8 7 3 2 4 9 10 9 70 Madeline Kennedy '14
Katrina Berry '15
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 6 5 8 9 9 6 5 7 3 6 6 5 75 Dominique Wright '15
Darcy Jensen '16
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 7 9 3 7 5 10 4 4 7 10 7 10 83 Marissa Lihan '14
Megan Hough '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 9 3 7 10 7 12 10 10 9 7 2 3 89 Alison Knoles '17 [1-12]
Charlie Bess '17 [1-7]
Kayla Burrows '17 [8-9]
Ali Yarbrough '16 [10-12]
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 10 8 10 11 11 9 11 8 10 5 11 7 111 Erica Lush '14
Indre Jankeviciute '15
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows B 11 11 12 8 10 5 9 11 11 11 4 11 114 Cecilia Jansson '15 [1-12]
Louise Currie '18 [1-6]
Ana-Melissa Kea '13 [7-12]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 12 12 11 12 12 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 142 Heidi Carlson '16
Lissa Mcclung '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (51 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers112233445566
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars221166554433
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons334455661122
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows556611223344
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen443322116655
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls665544332211

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers111112121313141415151616
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars121211111616151514141313
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons131314141515161611111212
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows151516161111121213131414
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen141413131212111116161515
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls161615151414131312121111

Conditions — 02/15/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1017.8 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.9 kn
avg  ·  max 14.3 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From WNW (303°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover33% Sunshine8.1 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1017.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 11 kn · E 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at South Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →