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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 19 12 31
2 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 18 24 42
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 30 18 48
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 26 28 54
5 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 28 32 60
6 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 30 39 69
7 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 54 60 114
8 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 33 83 116
9 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 72 64 136
10 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 81 56 137
11 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 62 80 142
12 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 63 85 148
13 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 88 66 154
14 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 79 79 158
15 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 107 75 182
16 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 92 113 205
17 Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 97 110 207
18 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 109 98 207
19 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 115 105 220
20 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 116 105 221
21 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 117 113 230
22 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 117 118 235
23 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 123 125 248
24 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 138 137 275
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 3 3 4 2 4 2 18 Ryan Hopps '18
Stephen Katz '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 1 5 3 1 2 7 19 Sterling Henken '18
Amelia Anderson '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 4 2 2 6 7 5 26 Joseph Schiff '17
Samantha Solem '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 9 9 1 5 3 1 28 Neil Stapleton '18
Ellen Gable '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 5 4 5 7 6 3 30 Tristram Craig '18
Ginger Luckey '16
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 7 8 7 3 1 4 30 Kyle Larsen '18
Jackson Pentith '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 2 7 6 4 8 6 33 Nicolas Delfino '16
Cheyenne Wright '16
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 10 6 11 8 10 9 54 David Cornella '17
Kathryn Cornella '16
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 12 10 9 9 9 13 62 Ian Spilman '15
Emma Shaw '14
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 8 1 8 23 5 18 63 Remy Margerum '17
Claire Stivers '18
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 14 11 12 10 17 8 72 Parker Smith '17
Levi Matsushima '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 17 12 13 12 15 10 79 Olivia Gibbons '17 [1-6]
Casey Weisenseel '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Hannah Aisawa '17 [3-4]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 16 17 14 11 11 12 81 Greg Kushnir '18
Kathryn Eberle '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 13 14 17 17 12 15 88 Joseph Lausten '18
Oliver Kunz '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 11 13 10 19 20 19 92 Gabriel Monti '15 [1-6]
Zoe Hessler '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexander Daniele '18 [3-4]
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 15 15 15 14 21 17 97 Kalvyn Ngo '17 [1-6]
Mindy Chow '16 [1-4]
Amy Woo '16 [5-6]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 6 DNS 23 21 16 16 107 Lucas Murray '15
Natasha Jarett '14
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 23 18 19 22 13 14 109 Alex Yeghiazarian '16
Cynthia Shyvers '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 24 DNS 16 13 14 23 115 Liam Russell '17 [1-2]
Jeff Tolan '17 [3-6]
James Kerman '17 [1-2]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 20 19 22 15 18 22 116 Samuel Rohrbach '17
Alexander Heide '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 18 DNS 18 16 19 21 117 Cullen Quine '18 [1-6]
Bobbie Hutchinson '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Denise Martinez '16 [3-4]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 21 DNS 20 18 22 11 117 Grant Lin '17
Christopher Steefel '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 19 20 21 20 23 20 123 Bleiz Larzul '18
Susan Bean '18
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 22 16 DNS DNS DNS DNS 138 Ry Ulmer-Strack '18
Alexander Brocchini '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 1 3 1 4 2 1 12 Simone Staff '18
Alexandria Ivory '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 4 6 2 1 3 2 18 Christopher Weis '18
Madisson Thomas '17
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 6 2 5 5 1 5 24 Drake Jensen '18
Savannah Mcintyre '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 5 1 3 11 4 4 28 Cobi Allen '16
Rory Mcclish '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 2 4 15 3 5 3 32 Alexander Burrow '18
Shannie Kuo '18
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 7 5 4 8 6 9 39 Andrew Gunnell '17
Michael Magnussen '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 9 8 8 9 15 7 56 Geoffrey Brelsford '18
Tarra Sanders '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 8 DSQ 6 6 9 6 60 Grace Carrick '18 [1-2]
Graham Gooding '16 [3-6]
Haley Weber '18 [1-2]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 1 3 14 13 13 10 11 64 Peter Schmidt '18
Kylee Walterman '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 11 9 7 7 13 19 66 Dylan Rinker '16
Chandler Gifford '18
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 16 11 11 2 18 17 75 Alana Mcsween '17
Joseph Naro '18
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 2 DNF 15 10 10 11 8 79 Alicia Ward '18 [1-6]
Lauren Orloff '16 [1-4]
Hannah Aisawa '17 [5-6]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 13 17 14 15 8 13 80 Kip Wanaselja '16
Conrad Esch '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 14 21 12 12 12 12 83 Brett Farrell '17
Ghanim Hableel '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 DNF 20 9 14 7 10 85 Hayden Christensen '17
Olivia Montiano '18
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 10 19 16 17 21 15 98 Samuel Sara '18
Hayley Palmer '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 12 7 23 DNF 17 21 105 Benjamin Blumenberg '18 [1-4]
Keiran Hansen '17 [5-6]
Camille Villadolid '18 [1-4]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 DNF 10 19 21 16 14 105 Yan Rui Goheen '17
Robyn Gillum '18
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 17 16 22 19 20 16 110 Ryan Morgan '15
Lilly Brummett '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 15 22 17 22 19 18 113 Max Nutkiewicz '15
Shad Othman '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 20 12 18 18 DNF 20 113 Erin Kelly '17
Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 18 DNF 20 16 14 DNF 118 Ismael Munoz '15
Oliver Kelton '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 21 13 21 20 DNF DNF 125 Nellie Ponarul '17
Kieran Hashmi '17
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 19 18 DNS DNS DNS DNS 137 Maille Kennedy '17
Shiron Drusinsky '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2201201201201201201
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3103103103103103103
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 1111111111111
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 2111111111111111111
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 1474747474747
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 2471471471471471471
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2271271271271271271
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3281281281281281281
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3295295295295295295
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1888888
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3323232323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4131131131131131131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5132132132132132132
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2343434343434
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors555555555555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2201201201201201201
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3103103103103103103
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 1111111111111
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters 2111111111111111111
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 1474747474747
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 2471471471471471471
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2271271271271271271
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3281281281281281281
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3295295295295295295
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1888888
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3323232323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4131131131131131131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5132132132132132132
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2343434343434
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors555555555555
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. David Cornella '17 Kathryn Cornella '16
Mustang 1 Grace Carrick '18 [1-2]
Graham Gooding '16 [3-6]		 Haley Weber '18 [1-2]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Greg Kushnir '18 Kathryn Eberle '17
Mustang 2 Geoffrey Brelsford '18 Tarra Sanders '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Joseph Lausten '18 Oliver Kunz '15
Mustang 3 Dylan Rinker '16 Chandler Gifford '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Liam Russell '17 [1-2]
Jeff Tolan '17 [3-6]		 James Kerman '17 [1-2]
Mustang 4 Benjamin Blumenberg '18 [1-4]
Keiran Hansen '17 [5-6]		 Camille Villadolid '18 [1-4]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Ryan Hopps '18 Stephen Katz '16
Keelhaulers 1 Drake Jensen '18 Savannah Mcintyre '18
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Kyle Larsen '18 Jackson Pentith '17
Keelhaulers 2 Andrew Gunnell '17 Michael Magnussen '18
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Parker Smith '17 Levi Matsushima '17
Otters 1 Peter Schmidt '18 Kylee Walterman '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Olivia Gibbons '17 [1-6] Casey Weisenseel '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Hannah Aisawa '17 [3-4]
Otters 2 Alicia Ward '18 [1-6] Lauren Orloff '16 [1-4]
Hannah Aisawa '17 [5-6]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Lucas Murray '15 Natasha Jarett '14
Aggies 1 Alana Mcsween '17 Joseph Naro '18
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Alex Yeghiazarian '16 Cynthia Shyvers '17
Aggies 2 Samuel Sara '18 Hayley Palmer '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Gabriel Monti '15 [1-6] Zoe Hessler '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexander Daniele '18 [3-4]
Bruins 1 Max Nutkiewicz '15 Shad Othman '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Cullen Quine '18 [1-6] Bobbie Hutchinson '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Denise Martinez '16 [3-4]
Bruins 2 Erin Kelly '17 Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bleiz Larzul '18 Susan Bean '18
Bruins 3 Nellie Ponarul '17 Kieran Hashmi '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nicolas Delfino '16 Cheyenne Wright '16
Tritons 1 Brett Farrell '17 Ghanim Hableel '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Samuel Rohrbach '17 Alexander Heide '15
Tritons 2 Yan Rui Goheen '17 Robyn Gillum '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Grant Lin '17 Christopher Steefel '18
Tritons 3 Ismael Munoz '15 Oliver Kelton '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Sterling Henken '18 Amelia Anderson '18
Gauchos 1 Simone Staff '18 Alexandria Ivory '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Joseph Schiff '17 Samantha Solem '15
Gauchos 2 Cobi Allen '16 Rory Mcclish '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Tristram Craig '18 Ginger Luckey '16
Gauchos 3 Christopher Weis '18 Madisson Thomas '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Neil Stapleton '18 Ellen Gable '17
Gauchos 4 Alexander Burrow '18 Shannie Kuo '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Remy Margerum '17 Claire Stivers '18
Gauchos 5 Hayden Christensen '17 Olivia Montiano '18
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Ian Spilman '15 Emma Shaw '14
Banana Slug's 1 Kip Wanaselja '16 Conrad Esch '17
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Ry Ulmer-Strack '18 Alexander Brocchini '17
Banana Slug's 2 Maille Kennedy '17 Shiron Drusinsky '18
Westmont College Westmont College Kalvyn Ngo '17 [1-6] Mindy Chow '16 [1-4]
Amy Woo '16 [5-6]
Warriors Ryan Morgan '15 Lilly Brummett '18

Conditions — 02/07/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 93%  ·  Pressure 1019.2 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From SSE (162°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover76% Sunshine0.9 hrs Humidity93% Pressure1019.2 hPa Rain0.09 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 10 kn · S 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cal Poly: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cal Poly by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Cal Poly, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →