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SAISA Coed Fleet Race Championships

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 28 39 67
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 29 40 69
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 40 37 77
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 75 41 116
5 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 69 50 119
6 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 65 58 123
7 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 69 86 155
8 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 74 88 162
9 Yellow Jackets Yellow Jackets Yellow Jackets 74 92 166
10 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 89 79 168
11 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 116 116 232
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 7 1 1 1 2 3 5 1 1 2 28 Stefano Peschiera '18
Grace Mccarthy '18
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 2 5 3 6 1 1 3 2 2 1 29 Michael Trebilcock '17 [1-6]
Sean Cornell '18 [7-11]
Lizette Arnold '17 [1-6]
Kristen Walker '17 [7-11]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 1 10 6 4 4 2 2 4 3 3 40 Karl Rasmus Sayre '19
Delphine Carroll '19
University of Florida University of Florida Gators OCS 10 3 2 8 3 7 7 3 6 4 65 Jack Famiglietti '18
Jasmine Dahlby '19
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 5 4 6 9 7 5 5 8 9 4 7 69 Curtis Woodworth '17
Alexandria Church '17
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 7 5 8 4 2 6 10 10 6 5 6 69 Max Thompson '19 [1-11]
Kaitlyn Delisser '20 [1-6]
Geoffrey Calderone '18 [7-11]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 6 4 7 9 9 4 9 7 7 10 74 John Roberts '17
Mateo Gomez '17
Yellow Jackets Yellow Jackets Yellow Jackets 6 3 7 8 11 7 6 1 5 11 9 74
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 10 8 2 5 3 RAF 8 4 10 8 5 75 Daniel Lawless '17 [1-2, 7-9]
Stephan Verhulst '19 [3-6, 10-11]
Hannah Knighton '17 [1-2, 7-9]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 8 9 9 10 5 8 9 6 8 9 8 89 Jack Gonzales '18 [1-11]
Brooke Hagler '18 [1-6]
Elizabeth Lonergan '20 [7-11]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 9 11 11 11 10 10 11 11 11 10 11 116 Andrew Edwards '18
Caroline Eberhardt '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 1 5 2 2 2 2 4 4 7 6 37 Jason D'Agostino '17
Sabine Zinserling '20
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 2 1 1 8 6 3 6 2 6 3 39 Jack Cusick '17
Chloe Dapp '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 4 4 7 5 5 5 1 1 3 1 4 40 Michael Sanandajian '18 [1-6]
Andrew Baird '18 [7-11]
Katie Berg '17 [1-6]
Darby Capellin '19 [7-11]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 7 3 6 3 4 4 6 3 1 2 2 41 Ethan Lounsbury '17 [1-4]
Alfonso Garcia Bringas '21 [5-11]
Anna Palmer '17 [1-4]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 6 8 8 1 7 4 2 5 3 1 50 Kyle Magno '18
Olivia Gassner '18
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 3 5 2 4 10 1 5 5 7 8 8 58 Samuel Armington '18 [1-11]
Katie Freeley '19 [1-6]
Juliana Cromie '20 [7-8]
Katie Dodge '18 [9-11]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 6 7 9 6 6 9 7 7 6 9 7 79 Margaux Bacro-Duverger '17
Ashley Thess '19
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 8 9 10 9 3 11 10 9 8 4 5 86 Jeffrey Hayden '20
Hannah Sellers '19
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 10 8 4 7 7 10 9 8 11 5 9 88 Abbie Probst '19 [1-6]
Robert Gruskos '20 [7-11]
Carly Duffy '19 [1-6]
Madison Carroll '20 [7-11]
Yellow Jackets Yellow Jackets Yellow Jackets 9 10 3 10 9 3 8 10 9 11 10 92
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 11 11 11 11 11 8 11 11 10 10 11 116 Jacqueline Welles '17
Cameron Gough '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars22334455667
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers11223344556
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons33445566778
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators889910101111112
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles44556677889
Yellow JacketsYellow Jackets Yellow Jackets556677889910
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins66778899101011
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes991010111111223
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack778899101011111
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed101011111122334
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1111112233445

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars22334455667
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers11223344556
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons33445566778
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators889910101111112
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles44556677889
Yellow JacketsYellow Jackets Yellow Jackets556677889910
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins66778899101011
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes991010111111223
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack778899101011111
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed101011111122334
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1111112233445
School / Team SkipperCrew
Clemson University Clemson University John Roberts '17 Mateo Gomez '17
Tigers Abbie Probst '19 [1-6]
Robert Gruskos '20 [7-11]		 Carly Duffy '19 [1-6]
Madison Carroll '20 [7-11]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Stefano Peschiera '18 Grace Mccarthy '18
Cougars Jack Cusick '17 Chloe Dapp '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Karl Rasmus Sayre '19 Delphine Carroll '19
Tritons Jason D'Agostino '17 Sabine Zinserling '20
Florida State University Florida State University Curtis Woodworth '17 Alexandria Church '17
Seminoles Jeffrey Hayden '20 Hannah Sellers '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Daniel Lawless '17 [1-2, 7-9]
Stephan Verhulst '19 [3-6, 10-11]		 Hannah Knighton '17 [1-2, 7-9]
Fins Ethan Lounsbury '17 [1-4]
Alfonso Garcia Bringas '21 [5-11]		 Anna Palmer '17 [1-4]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Andrew Edwards '18 Caroline Eberhardt '18
Wolfpack Jacqueline Welles '17 Cameron Gough '20
University of Florida University of Florida Jack Famiglietti '18 Jasmine Dahlby '19
Gators Samuel Armington '18 [1-11] Katie Freeley '19 [1-6]
Juliana Cromie '20 [7-8]
Katie Dodge '18 [9-11]
University of Miami University of Miami Max Thompson '19 [1-11] Kaitlyn Delisser '20 [1-6]
Geoffrey Calderone '18 [7-11]
Hurricanes Kyle Magno '18 Olivia Gassner '18
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Jack Gonzales '18 [1-11] Brooke Hagler '18 [1-6]
Elizabeth Lonergan '20 [7-11]
Coed Margaux Bacro-Duverger '17 Ashley Thess '19
University of South Florida University of South Florida Michael Trebilcock '17 [1-6]
Sean Cornell '18 [7-11]		 Lizette Arnold '17 [1-6]
Kristen Walker '17 [7-11]
Bulls Michael Sanandajian '18 [1-6]
Andrew Baird '18 [7-11]		 Katie Berg '17 [1-6]
Darby Capellin '19 [7-11]

Conditions — 04/08/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 37%  ·  Pressure 1019.5 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.1 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From NNE (16°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover61% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity37% Pressure1019.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 9 kn · SE 10 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →