GW Women's Invite

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 59 59
2 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 59 59
3 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 72 72
4 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 77 77
5 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 92 92
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 101 101
7 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 4 101 101
8 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 101 101
9 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 110 110
10 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 112 112
11 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 116 116
12 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 1 129 129
13 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 130 130
14 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 149 149
15 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 2 160 160
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 2 11 2 1 13 6 3 1 1 3 3 1 12 59 Riley Legault '19 [1-13]
Alexandra Fayer '19 [1-2, 5, 9-13]
Kia Olsson '18 [3-4, 6-8]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 5 1 3 2 8 1 4 11 2 5 7 2 8 59 Aitana Mendiguren '20
Sarah Noyes '20
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 14 6 11 3 1 4 8 4 4 2 6 8 1 72 Grace Howie '20
Elizabeth Hupp '21
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 1 4 1 10 2 8 6 3 5 7 2 14 14 77 Lenox Butcher '20
Laura Whelan '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 13 8 7 7 10 5 1 2 12 8 5 4 10 92 Jessica Mcjones '20
Karma Richards '20
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 4 9 8 8 12 10 9 5 3 12 8 9 4 101 Bridget Groble '17
Makalynne Dyer '22
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 4 6 13 12 4 5 2 2 8 8 11 11 12 7 101 Colleen Baumann '21
Julia Williams-Portland '21
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 15 7 10 13 14 7 11 9 6 1 1 5 2 101 Charlotte Leclue '19
Gabrielle Mascio '18
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 9 5 9 5 4 9 7 6 13 14 12 11 6 110 Taylor Brimberg '18
Marie Line '19
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 12 3 6 9 3 14 5 13 10 10 4 10 13 112 Olivia Windemuller '19
Abigail Tutt '21
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 3 12 14 15 11 12 10 7 7 4 9 3 9 116 Carolyn Kearney '18 [1-13]
Greta Morrissette '21 [1-2]
Kelly Hanlon '21 [3-13]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 1 10 10 4 12 15 13 14 14 11 6 10 7 3 129 Julia Gowell '18 [1-6]
Colleen Roney '18 [7-8]
Katie Purcell '20 [9-13]
Colleen Roney '18 [1-6, 9-10]
Marion Hopkinson '20 [7-8]
Waverlee Harvey '18 [11-13]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 8 15 DNF 11 7 3 12 10 9 9 13 6 11 130 Hannah Pokorny '21
Breanna Schultz '21
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 7 2 5 6 6 11 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 149 Brittney Slook '20
Emma Remis '20
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 2 11 14 13 14 9 15 13 12 14 13 14 13 5 160 Katarina Catallo '20 [1-13]
Dorothy Stump '18 [1-2, 9-10]
Katie Purcell '20 [3-8]
Marion Hopkinson '20 [11-13]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 11111111122222
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 22222222266666
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 13333333344444
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 24444444455555
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 35555555577777
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 111111111111111111313131313
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 212121212121212121414141414
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 17777777788888
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 2888888881010101010
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 318181818181818181111111111
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs 410101010101010101212121212
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 113131313131313131515151515
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 214141414141414141616161616
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos 115151515151515151818181818
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos 2161616161616161611111

Conditions — 04/14/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1013.8 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.4 kn
avg  ·  max 14.0 kn
Gusts to 28.4 kn
From SSW (203°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover38% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1013.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 20 kn · NE 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at George Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.11 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.23 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at George Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at George Washington, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →