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Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 40 28 68
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 38 42 80
3 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 59 49 108
4 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 87 70 157
5 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 66 91 157
6 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 3 88 70 158
7 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 56 105 161
8 Hosei University Hosei University Orange 104 69 173
9 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 92 94 186
10 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 101 89 190
11 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 148 99 247
12 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 149 137 286
13 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 136 154 290
14 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 120 184 304
15 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 168 170 338
16 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 180 183 363
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 2 6 3 2 3 3 7 2 4 4 1 1 38 Jeremy Hitchcock '17
Cantlen Forni '19
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 1 3 6 3 4 9 2 1 2 3 4 2 40 Michael Pacholski '19
Kelly Sojka '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 2 4 1 11 1 9 7 1 5 3 8 56 Cameron Baxter '19
Pyper Atkin '20
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 5 1 2 4 2 4 1 4 10 9 7 10 59 Peter Wong '18 [1-12]
Lorea Mendiguren '20 [1-10]
Will Paulsen '19 [11-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 7 5 7 7 5 2 5 5 9 6 2 6 66 Caitlin Schadt '18
Gianna Bailey '18
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 6 9 1 6 1 13 3 13 14 8 6 7 87 Connor Hughes '19
Audrey Jacobs '18
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 3 9 12 9 8 6 6 4 6 3 13 8 4 88 Mathew Butler '19 [1-12]
Jessica Lawler '18 [1-10]
Michalla White '20 [11-12]
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 12 7 5 14 7 8 11 11 6 1 5 5 92 Nathaniel Gordon '20
Avery Wolf '21
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 10 11 12 12 14 7 8 8 5 2 9 3 101 Leah Ford '19
Marianne Simpson '19
Hosei University Hosei University Orange 13 4 10 13 8 10 6 3 8 7 10 12 104 Katsuhito Onoda '19
Nagisa Mawatari '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 8 8 8 9 9 14 10 15 7 12 11 9 120 Timothy Zimmermann '19 [1-12]
Clara Baillie '21 [1-4, 7-10]
Dana Mcconnell '19 [5-6, 11-12]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 3 13 14 5 12 12 16 12 11 10 15 13 136 Nikoline Alden '19
Lily Sadighmehr '18
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 11 10 11 10 13 11 12 14 13 15 14 14 148 Dillon Kilroy '19
Jordanne Johnson '21
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 14 16 15 15 10 5 13 9 15 14 12 11 149 James Hare '21
Catherine Hackwell '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 16 14 16 11 16 15 15 10 12 11 16 16 168 Daniel Vick '18 [1-6]
Mckenna Roonan '21 [7-12]
Laura Furtado '18 [1-6]
Christopher Steefel '18 [7-12]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 15 15 13 16 15 16 14 16 16 16 13 15 180 Andrew Clements '17
Kenneth Migliardi '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 3 1 2 3 5 1 2 1 1 2 2 5 28 Patrick Wilkinson '20 [1-12]
Danielle Ahir '20 [1-10]
Megan Lucas '20 [11-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 1 2 3 2 9 3 6 2 4 3 3 4 42 Cuylar Zimmerman '19
Sophie Deming '20
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 5 6 1 1 3 2 1 8 2 5 7 8 49 Grace Yakutis '20
Melissa Schem '18
Hosei University Hosei University Orange 7 4 10 10 2 12 4 4 7 7 1 1 69 Marika Adachi '19
Ryosuke Nagai '18
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 3 2 3 7 4 1 5 3 5 13 9 11 7 70 Dylan Meade '20 [1-8, 11-12]
Michael Magnussen '18 [9-10]
Michael Magnussen '18 [1-8]
Paige Sullivan '19 [9-12]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 10 5 6 8 10 7 5 3 3 1 10 2 70 Hayden Potter '20
Farzana Mohamedali '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 11 8 11 7 4 10 10 7 5 4 6 6 89 Abraham Dearden '20
Arjun Boddu '18
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 4 11 8 9 11 4 7 11 8 11 4 3 91 Annika Garrett '19
Megan Zamzow '19
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 8 10 4 6 7 8 9 6 6 12 9 9 94 Austin Hauter '21
Blake Winner '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 6 13 5 5 6 9 12 10 10 8 5 10 99 Chandler Sharp '19
Giancarlo Defrancesco '21
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 9 7 9 12 8 6 11 9 9 6 8 11 105 Mary Toomey '22
William Boystak '19
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 12 9 13 11 12 11 8 12 12 13 12 12 137 Gabrielle Savage '18
Patrick Croft '18
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 13 12 12 14 13 13 15 14 11 10 14 13 154 Bay Whitney '21
Emily Hammond '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 14 14 15 13 14 15 13 15 15 15 13 14 170 Nils René '21 [1-4]
Irving Hui '19 [5-12]
Giulianna Miseo '20 [1-4]
Jerod Flores '19 [5-12]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 15 15 16 16 16 14 14 13 DNF DNS 15 15 183 Kevin Gates '27
Jowelle Long '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 16 16 14 15 15 16 16 16 14 14 16 16 184 Annie Thompson '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Christopher Shintani '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Jeanin Alvarado '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Michael Carmack '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds446688101012121414
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins11335577991111
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers2244668810101212
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine111113131515113355
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 188101012121414161622
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 2991111131315151133
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 310101212141416162244
Hosei UniversityHosei University Orange3355779911111313
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans121214141616224466
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins557799111113131515
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons66881010121214141616
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos779911111313151511
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies1313151511335577
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women1414161622446688
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 115151133557799
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 21616224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds557799111113131515
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins2244668810101212
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers3355779911111313
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine121214141616224466
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 1991111131315151133
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 210101212141416162244
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 3111113131515113355
Hosei UniversityHosei University Orange446688101012121414
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans1313151511335577
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins66881010121214141616
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons779911111313151511
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos88101012121414161622
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies1414161622446688
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women15151133557799
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 11616224466881010
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 211335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Andrew Clements '17 Kenneth Migliardi '18
Dolphins Kevin Gates '27 Jowelle Long '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Timothy Zimmermann '19 [1-12] Clara Baillie '21 [1-4, 7-10]
Dana Mcconnell '19 [5-6, 11-12]
49ers Annie Thompson '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Christopher Shintani '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Jeanin Alvarado '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Michael Carmack '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Hosei University Hosei University Katsuhito Onoda '19 Nagisa Mawatari '18
Orange Marika Adachi '19 Ryosuke Nagai '18
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia James Hare '21 Catherine Hackwell '19
UBC Thunderbirds Gabrielle Savage '18 Patrick Croft '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Leah Ford '19 Marianne Simpson '19
Bruins Abraham Dearden '20 Arjun Boddu '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Daniel Vick '18 [1-6]
Mckenna Roonan '21 [7-12]		 Laura Furtado '18 [1-6]
Christopher Steefel '18 [7-12]
Tritons Nils René '21 [1-4]
Irving Hui '19 [5-12]		 Giulianna Miseo '20 [1-4]
Jerod Flores '19 [5-12]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Cameron Baxter '19 Pyper Atkin '20
Gauchos Mary Toomey '22 William Boystak '19
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Caitlin Schadt '18 Gianna Bailey '18
Rainbow Wahine Annika Garrett '19 Megan Zamzow '19
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Michael Pacholski '19 Kelly Sojka '19
Rainbows 1 Patrick Wilkinson '20 [1-12] Danielle Ahir '20 [1-10]
Megan Lucas '20 [11-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Jeremy Hitchcock '17 Cantlen Forni '19
Rainbows 2 Cuylar Zimmerman '19 Sophie Deming '20
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Mathew Butler '19 [1-12] Jessica Lawler '18 [1-10]
Michalla White '20 [11-12]
Rainbows 3 Dylan Meade '20 [1-8, 11-12]
Michael Magnussen '18 [9-10]		 Michael Magnussen '18 [1-8]
Paige Sullivan '19 [9-12]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Peter Wong '18 [1-12] Lorea Mendiguren '20 [1-10]
Will Paulsen '19 [11-12]
Trojans Grace Yakutis '20 Melissa Schem '18
University of Washington University of Washington Connor Hughes '19 Audrey Jacobs '18
Huskies Hayden Potter '20 Farzana Mohamedali '20
University of Washington University of Washington Nathaniel Gordon '20 Avery Wolf '21
Husky Women Austin Hauter '21 Blake Winner '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Nikoline Alden '19 Lily Sadighmehr '18
Vikings 1 Bay Whitney '21 Emily Hammond '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Dillon Kilroy '19 Jordanne Johnson '21
Vikings 2 Chandler Sharp '19 Giancarlo Defrancesco '21

Conditions — 01/20/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1016.7 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.9 kn
avg  ·  max 13.0 kn
Gusts to 24.5 kn
From ENE (75°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover70% Sunshine8.9 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1016.7 hPa Rain0.09 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 11 kn · NE 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hawaii: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hawaii by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Hawaii, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →