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Rainier Cup Combined

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Purple 21 23 44
2 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 31 24 55
3 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 25 35 60
4 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 22 41 63
5 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 33 37 70
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 51 27 78
7 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 40 39 79
8 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Gold 53 47 100
9 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 56 45 101
10 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 62 63 125
11 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 68 59 127
12 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 71 62 133
13 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 61 73 134
14 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 64 70 134
15 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 66 78 144
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Purple 2 4 1 2 1 11 21 Karl Skeel '20
Avery Wolf '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 9 1 5 1 4 2 22 Josefina Ruggieri '21
Avery Burke '20
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 5 6 3 5 5 25 Aitor Iriso '21
Dylan Yong '21
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 7 3 8 6 4 31 Hayden Potter '20
Farzana Mohamedali '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 7 3 7 5 10 1 33 Kendall Kracke '20
Camille Ottaway '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 10 2 10 2 12 40 Abraham Dearden '20 [1-6]
Marianne Simpson '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Bleiz Larzul '19 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 12 6 12 6 8 7 51 Chandler Sharp '19
Julia Soes '21
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Gold 6 2 OCS DSQ 3 10 53 Austin Hauter '21
Blake Winner '20
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers OCS 8 9 4 11 8 56 Andrew Wilkinson '18
Kaden Ashdown '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 11 12 11 7 14 6 61 Marijke Jorna '21
Reilly Berkshire '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 5 9 8 13 13 14 62 Axel Greening '21
Taylor Bayly '21
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 14 15 14 9 9 3 64 Keevan Tallon '21 [1-2]
Marelie Vorster '20 [3-6]
Duncan Jackson '19 [1-2]
Mandy Watson '21 [3-6]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 13 13 4 11 DNS 9 66 Zachary Li '19
Elias Passas '19
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 8 11 10 12 12 15 68 Joanna Garcia '19
Rachel Cohen '19
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 10 14 13 14 7 13 71 Jonah Cadieux-Johnson '19
Catherine Hackwell '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Purple 8 5 1 2 3 4 23 Erik Skeel '20
Sarah Kahle '22
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 7 2 11 1 2 1 24 Connor Hughes '19
Cora Knauss '18
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 3 6 3 3 7 5 27 Dillon Kilroy '19
Emily Tan '20
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 9 2 5 14 3 35 James Melvin '19
Sofia Mack '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 6 4 9 9 1 8 37 Nikoline Alden '19
Hayley Rawden '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 13 6 6 4 6 39 Cassandra Shand '22 [1-6]
Thomas Garcia '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Hallie Muller '20 [3-4]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 12 8 4 9 7 41 Augustus Doricko '22 [1-6]
Cameron Juybari '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Marlena Tavernier-Fine '22 [3-4]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 10 1 12 10 10 2 45 Pierre Carr '22
Kyle Padgett '21
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Gold 9 3 7 13 5 10 47 John Kauffman '22 [1-2]
Ian Wolcott '20 [3-6]
Claire Johnson '22 [1-2]
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 12 7 10 8 11 11 59 Shaan Shridhar '19 [1-6]
Maddie Tutton '21 [1-4]
Katie Biely '21 [5-6]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 5 10 4 OCS 13 14 62 Matthew Goguen '20
Lauren Wittkopf '22
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 11 8 14 12 6 12 63 Niko Twilla '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Carter Dojan '20 [3-4]
Rebecca Sharp '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Madelyn Carr '20 [3-4]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 13 DNS 5 11 12 13 70 Tillie Morris '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Duncan Jackson '19 [3-4]
No Show [1-2, 5-6]
Keevan Tallon '21 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 DNF 11 15 7 15 9 73 Amber Crabb '20 [1-4]
Carter Dojan '20 [5-6]
Emily Hammond '20 [1-4]
Madelyn Carr '20 [5-6]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 14 14 13 14 8 15 78 Charles Novek '19
Alyssa Larios '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears123123123123123123
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins282828282828
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women828282828282

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears123123123123123123
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins282828282828
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women828282828282
School / Team SkipperCrew
Northwestern University Northwestern University Zachary Li '19 Elias Passas '19
Wildcats Charles Novek '19 Alyssa Larios '19
Oregon State University Oregon State University Andrew Wilkinson '18 Kaden Ashdown '21
Beavers Pierre Carr '22 Kyle Padgett '21
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Jonah Cadieux-Johnson '19 Catherine Hackwell '19
UBC Thunderbirds Matthew Goguen '20 Lauren Wittkopf '22
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Josefina Ruggieri '21 Avery Burke '20
Bears Augustus Doricko '22 [1-6] Cameron Juybari '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Marlena Tavernier-Fine '22 [3-4]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Abraham Dearden '20 [1-6] Marianne Simpson '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Bleiz Larzul '19 [3-4]
Bruins Cassandra Shand '22 [1-6] Thomas Garcia '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Hallie Muller '20 [3-4]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Aitor Iriso '21 Dylan Yong '21
Banana Slug's James Melvin '19 Sofia Mack '20
University of Oregon University of Oregon Keevan Tallon '21 [1-2]
Marelie Vorster '20 [3-6]		 Duncan Jackson '19 [1-2]
Mandy Watson '21 [3-6]
Ducks Tillie Morris '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Duncan Jackson '19 [3-4]		 No Show [1-2, 5-6]
Keevan Tallon '21 [3-4]
University of Washington University of Washington Hayden Potter '20 Farzana Mohamedali '20
Huskies Connor Hughes '19 Cora Knauss '18
University of Washington University of Washington Austin Hauter '21 Blake Winner '20
Husky Gold John Kauffman '22 [1-2]
Ian Wolcott '20 [3-6]		 Claire Johnson '22 [1-2]
University of Washington University of Washington Karl Skeel '20 Avery Wolf '21
Husky Purple Erik Skeel '20 Sarah Kahle '22
University of Washington University of Washington Joanna Garcia '19 Rachel Cohen '19
Husky Women Shaan Shridhar '19 [1-6] Maddie Tutton '21 [1-4]
Katie Biely '21 [5-6]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Kendall Kracke '20 Camille Ottaway '20
Viking Women Nikoline Alden '19 Hayley Rawden '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Chandler Sharp '19 Julia Soes '21
Vikings 1 Dillon Kilroy '19 Emily Tan '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Axel Greening '21 Taylor Bayly '21
Vikings 2 Niko Twilla '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Carter Dojan '20 [3-4]		 Rebecca Sharp '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Madelyn Carr '20 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Marijke Jorna '21 Reilly Berkshire '20
Vikings 3 Amber Crabb '20 [1-4]
Carter Dojan '20 [5-6]		 Emily Hammond '20 [1-4]
Madelyn Carr '20 [5-6]

Conditions — 04/13/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1018.4 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.8 kn
avg  ·  max 4.9 kn
Gusts to 10.7 kn
From WSW (257°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover78% Sunshine6.6 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1018.4 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · S 11 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.20 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →