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Anteater Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 36 18 54
2 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 28 31 59
3 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 38 22 60
4 Aztecs Aztecs Aztecs 61 25 86
5 Dolphins 2 Dolphins 2 Dolphins 2 36 59 95
6 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 57 49 106
7 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 50 64 114
8 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 51 76 127
9 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 65 70 135
10 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 82 59 141
11 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 59 90 149
12 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 89 89 178
13 Dolphins 1 Dolphins 1 Dolphins 1 98 90 188
14 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 91 98 189
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 2 1 1 2 4 7 4 7 28 Wilton Lawton '26
Amelia Gassner '24
Dolphins 2 Dolphins 2 Dolphins 2 3 7 13 1 1 1 8 2 36
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 4 10 3 5 3 5 2 4 36 Garrett Henderson '27 [1-8]
Paige O’Dell '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Ryan Lovejoy '28 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 8 4 2 4 2 2 11 5 38 George Soliman '24
Conor Kim '27
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 5 12 8 8 5 8 3 1 50 Florence Duff '25 [1-8]
Micaela Jorcino '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Lily Beckerman '28 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 1 3 4 3 10 3 13 14 51 Will Cornell '25 [1-6]
Dante Drolet '26 [7-8]
Emily Brownlow '26 [1-6]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 6 5 7 6 9 9 5 10 57 Audra Spokas-Jaros '25
Vivian Zhu '28
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 9 2 6 13 8 6 7 8 59 Lara Granucci '28
Rylan Hedges '28
Aztecs Aztecs Aztecs 7 6 OCS 7 6 4 10 6 61
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 12 9 5 14 11 10 1 3 65 Camden Wacha '27
Abigail Harrison '25
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 11 11 11 9 7 12 12 9 82 Conrad Kistler '26
Nitsa Thotz '26
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 10 14 10 12 12 14 6 11 89 Luke Melvin '27
Ennis Piepkorn '26
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 14 13 9 10 13 11 9 12 91 Erin Welker '27
Samantha George '27
Dolphins 1 Dolphins 1 Dolphins 1 13 8 12 11 14 13 14 13 98
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 1 3 3 1 1 4 1 1 4 18 Morgan Headington '28
Eli Jacobson-Bell '28
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 2 2 2 5 3 5 2 1 22 Blake Roberts '25
Vienna Lopez '27
Aztecs Aztecs Aztecs 1 8 3 3 1 3 4 2 25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 4 7 4 6 2 2 3 3 31 Carsten Zieger '28
John Mayfield '28
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 10 1 7 4 5 6 9 7 49 Emma Kalway '26
Stella Potter '26
Dolphins 2 Dolphins 2 Dolphins 2 8 10 6 2 12 7 8 6 59
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 9 4 8 7 9 8 6 8 59 Liam Williams '26
Lachlan Gillies '26
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 2 6 11 5 11 7 9 5 10 64 Sienna Stromberg '25
Maura Darby '25
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 14 6 9 12 10 4 10 5 70 Jaquelyn Quintana '25 [1, 3-6]
Mitchell Powers '25 [2, 7-8]
Mitchell Powers '25 [1, 3-6]
Jaquelyn Quintana '25 [2, 7-8]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 7 5 13 13 11 11 7 9 76 Bianca Weber '26
Valarie Pieruccini '26
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 12 12 11 10 6 14 13 11 89 Juliette Cramer '26
Blossom Jee '25
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 5 13 14 8 14 12 11 13 90 Alex Tang '27 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Maximilian Miesen '25 [2, 4, 6, 8]
Maximilian Miesen '25 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Alex Tang '27 [2, 4, 6, 8]
Dolphins 1 Dolphins 1 Dolphins 1 13 14 10 9 8 10 12 14 90
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 11 9 12 14 13 13 14 12 98 Christopher Moore '26
Benjamin Paige '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 13939393939393939
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 24040404040404040
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 15959595959595959
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 2123123123123123123123123
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 133333333
Dolphins 1Dolphins 1 Dolphins 199999999
Dolphins 2Dolphins 2 Dolphins 2110110110110110110110110
AztecsAztecs Aztecs1515151515151515
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans138138138138138138138138
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies148148148148148148148148
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins271271271271271271271271
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons2929292929292929
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs134134134134134134134134

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 13939393939393939
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 24040404040404040
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 15959595959595959
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 2123123123123123123123123
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 133333333
Dolphins 1Dolphins 1 Dolphins 199999999
Dolphins 2Dolphins 2 Dolphins 2110110110110110110110110
AztecsAztecs Aztecs1515151515151515
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans138138138138138138138138
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies148148148148148148148148
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins271271271271271271271271
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons2929292929292929
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs134134134134134134134134
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Erin Welker '27 Samantha George '27
Sun Devils 1 Christopher Moore '26 Benjamin Paige '28
Arizona State University Arizona State University Camden Wacha '27 Abigail Harrison '25
Sun Devils 2 Jaquelyn Quintana '25 [1, 3-6]
Mitchell Powers '25 [2, 7-8]		 Mitchell Powers '25 [1, 3-6]
Jaquelyn Quintana '25 [2, 7-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Garrett Henderson '27 [1-8] Paige O’Dell '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Ryan Lovejoy '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Mustangs 1 Morgan Headington '28 Eli Jacobson-Bell '28
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Florence Duff '25 [1-8] Micaela Jorcino '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Lily Beckerman '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Mustangs 2 Sienna Stromberg '25 Maura Darby '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Wilton Lawton '26 Amelia Gassner '24
Bears 1 Carsten Zieger '28 John Mayfield '28
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Will Cornell '25 [1-6]
Dante Drolet '26 [7-8]		 Emily Brownlow '26 [1-6]
Bears 2 Bianca Weber '26 Valarie Pieruccini '26
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Luke Melvin '27 Ennis Piepkorn '26
Aggies Juliette Cramer '26 Blossom Jee '25
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Conrad Kistler '26 Nitsa Thotz '26
Bruins Liam Williams '26 Lachlan Gillies '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Audra Spokas-Jaros '25 Vivian Zhu '28
Tritons Emma Kalway '26 Stella Potter '26
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz George Soliman '24 Conor Kim '27
Banana Slugs Blake Roberts '25 Vienna Lopez '27
University of Southern California University of Southern California Lara Granucci '28 Rylan Hedges '28
Trojans Alex Tang '27 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Maximilian Miesen '25 [2, 4, 6, 8]		 Maximilian Miesen '25 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Alex Tang '27 [2, 4, 6, 8]

Conditions — 04/26/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1014.5 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From SSW (212°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover62% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1014.5 hPa Rain0.35 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn · W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC Irvine: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Irvine by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at UC Irvine, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →