Cal Poly University S.L.O. '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.26 (fleet 1.79) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.04 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 14–28 (33%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 3 | 9–18 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 5–10 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (42 matches) the record is 14–28 against 17.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−3.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-12 | PCCSC Carter Ford Open Team Race Championship | skipper | 2.15 | 1.79 | 2–7 | 2.5 | −0.36 | 0.1 | 79% |
| 2025-02-08 | McIntyre Team Race | skipper | 2.09 | 0.86 | 1–10 | 2.4 | −1.23 | 1.1 | 96% |
| 2025-02-01 | Mustang Team Race | skipper | 2.05 | 2.38 | 6–1 | 5.7 | +0.33 | 0.1 | 62% |
| 2024-03-02 | McIntyre Team Race | skipper | 1.69 | 1.06 | 5–10 | 6.5 | −0.63 | 0.7 | 90% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Open | Skipper | A | 7 | 7.3 | 2.81 |
| Stoney Burke | Skipper | A | 10 | 12.5 | 0.77 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Harbor Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 10 | 6.1 | — |
| Anteater Open | Skipper | B | 8 | 3.2 | 1.74 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Port of Los Angeles Harbor Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 10 | 5.6 | — |
| PCCSC Carter Ford Open Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 9 | 22% | — |
| Mustang Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 86% | — |
| Mustang Open Varsity | Skipper | A | 5 | 4.2 | 2.74 |
| McIntyre Team Race | Skipper | TR | 11 | 9% | — |
| Anteater Open | Skipper | A | 8 | 4.5 | 1.52 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Frosh Soph | Skipper | A | 8 | 2.8 | 2.98 |
| Stoney Burke | Skipper | A | 9 | 3.9 | 3.51 |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Skipper | A | 8 | 10.5 | 2.37 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Top-9 Invite | Skipper | B | 18 | 10.6 | -0.86 |
| Port of Los Angeles Harbor Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 9 | 5.7 | — |
| Mustang Open (JV) | Skipper | B | 8 | 2.0 | 2.53 |
| McIntyre Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 33% | — |
| Anteater Open | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.2 | 1.43 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Frosh/Soph | Skipper | A | 10 | 3.1 | 2.61 |
| PCCSC Match Race Championship Keelboat | Crew | A | 1 | 3.0 | — |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Skipper | B | 10 | 5.6 | 2.83 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Garrett Henderson |  Parker |
'23 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
