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Mustang Open Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 12 40 52
2 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 40 30 70
3 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 57 14 71
4 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 40 35 75
5 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 42 35 77
6 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 37 56 93
7 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 69 38 107
8 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 46 93 139
9 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 49 114 163
10 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Fillies 83 80 163
11 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 92 82 174
12 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 99 81 180
13 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 95 90 185
14 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 109 80 189
15 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Ursas 110 MRP 114 MRP 224 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 Nicholas Mueller '27
Gavin Steuerwald '28
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 8 8 4 5 2 6 2 2 37 Nate Ingebritson '25
Annika Baumgartner '28
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 3 5 3 2 8 4 5 10 40 Garrett Henderson '27 [1-5]
Robert Bloomfield '26 [6-8]
Paulina Williams '26 [1-5]
Mira Shupe '26 [6-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 7 1 5 4 5 11 4 3 40 George Soliman '24
Conor Kim '27
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 6 3 6 3 3 9 7 5 42 Brendan O'Connor '27
Thomas Murphy '26
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 5 6 2 7 6 7 6 7 46 Sterling Maggard '27
Brent Lin '24
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 10 4 9 8 4 2 8 4 49 Matt Grimsley '26
Patrick Gardiner '26
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 9 7 10 9 5 10 6 57 Nikita Swatek '25
Sriskandha Kandimalla '25
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 2 11 8 9 12 10 9 8 69 Christopher Hopkins '25
Ellie Dickson '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Fillies 13 14 13 15 11 3 3 11 83 Ximena Greatorex '25 [1-5]
Florence Duff '25 [6-8]
Maya Peña '26 [1-5]
Catalina Brody '28 [6-8]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 12 7 11 13 10 12 14 13 92 Jonah Eckerman '27
Max Bloom '27
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 9 10 14 11 15 14 13 9 95 Conrad Kistler '26
Nitsa Thotz '26
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 15 12 10 14 14 8 12 14 99 Nathaniel Holden '25
Tristan Meyer '27
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 11 13 15 12 13 15 15 15 109 Chase Vanderveer '27
Eoghan Kelley '28
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Ursas 14 15 12 6 7 13 11 12 110 MRP Alyssa Cunningham Barkus '26 [1-8]
Valarie Pieruccini '26 [1-4, 6-8]
Paula Castillo Hi Espino '27 [5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 1 1 1 5 1 2 2 14 Arin Bekem '26
Audrey Whitney '26
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 5 4 3 6 3 2 6 1 30 Jack Kisling '25 [1-5]
Morgan Headington '28 [6-8]
Gabriel Gargiulo '25 [1-5]
Eli Jacobson-Bell '28 [6-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 9 2 2 2 6 5 7 35 Mitchel Sanford '28
Izzy De Fontaine '28
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 7 3 5 4 1 11 1 3 35 Blake Roberts '25 [1-8]
Vienna Lopez '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Chas Mitchell '26 [5-6]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 4 5 4 5 4 4 7 5 38 Owen Gormely '27
Beverly Schimmel '26
California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 6 2 8 3 8 3 4 6 40 Sam Jennings '27
Mateo Krok '27
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 3 6 6 RDG 6 5 8 15 56 Wilton Lawton '26
Emily Brownlow '26
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 9 10 9 10 7 13 12 10 80 Paul Trudell '26
Zackary Brownstone '28
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Fillies 10 11 10 8 9 8 10 14 80 Sienna Stromberg '25 [1-4]
Samantha Katz '28 [5-8]
Maura Darby '25 [1-4]
Simone Karlon '27 [5-8]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 12 7 12 14 11 12 9 4 81 Luke Melvin '27
Ennis Piepkorn '26
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 8 13 7 11 10 9 13 11 82 Nicholas Shand '27 [1-8]
Aidan Mccormick '28 [1-5]
Mia Kotelec '25 [6-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 14 14 15 12 13 10 3 9 90 Orion Spatafora '25
Jonah Sullivan '25
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 11 12 14 9 OCS 7 11 13 93 Seraphee De Labaca '26
Adalia Jimenez '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Ursas 13 8 11 13 12 14 15 8 114 MRP Bianca Weber '26 [1-8]
Catherine Arcaris '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Marianna Maciel '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 15 15 13 DNF 14 15 14 12 114 Mason Norwood '26
Cade Januszewski '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils3939393939393939
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears2323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Ursas2424242424242424
California Poly Maritime AcademyCalifornia Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers202202202202202202202202
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Fillies104104104104104104104104
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs33333333
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins110110110110110110110110
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs1515151515151515
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos1919191919191919
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies148148148148148148148148
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters2525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins2727272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons2929292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos311311311311311311311311
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs134134134134134134134134

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils3939393939393939
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears2323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Ursas2424242424242424
California Poly Maritime AcademyCalifornia Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers202202202202202202202202
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Fillies104104104104104104104104
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs33333333
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins110110110110110110110110
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs1515151515151515
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos1919191919191919
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies148148148148148148148148
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters2525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins2727272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons2929292929292929
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos311311311311311311311311
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs134134134134134134134134
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Matt Grimsley '26 Patrick Gardiner '26
Sun Devils Mason Norwood '26 Cade Januszewski '27
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ximena Greatorex '25 [1-5]
Florence Duff '25 [6-8]		 Maya Peña '26 [1-5]
Catalina Brody '28 [6-8]
Fillies Sienna Stromberg '25 [1-4]
Samantha Katz '28 [5-8]		 Maura Darby '25 [1-4]
Simone Karlon '27 [5-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Garrett Henderson '27 [1-5]
Robert Bloomfield '26 [6-8]		 Paulina Williams '26 [1-5]
Mira Shupe '26 [6-8]
Mustangs Jack Kisling '25 [1-5]
Morgan Headington '28 [6-8]		 Gabriel Gargiulo '25 [1-5]
Eli Jacobson-Bell '28 [6-8]
California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Nicholas Mueller '27 Gavin Steuerwald '28
Keelhaulers Sam Jennings '27 Mateo Krok '27
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Sterling Maggard '27 Brent Lin '24
Dolphins Seraphee De Labaca '26 Adalia Jimenez '25
San Diego State University San Diego State University Christopher Hopkins '25 Ellie Dickson '25
Aztecs Owen Gormely '27 Beverly Schimmel '26
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Chase Vanderveer '27 Eoghan Kelley '28
Broncos Paul Trudell '26 Zackary Brownstone '28
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Nate Ingebritson '25 Annika Baumgartner '28
Bears Wilton Lawton '26 Emily Brownlow '26
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Alyssa Cunningham Barkus '26 [1-8] Valarie Pieruccini '26 [1-4, 6-8]
Paula Castillo Hi Espino '27 [5]
Ursas Bianca Weber '26 [1-8] Catherine Arcaris '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Marianna Maciel '25 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Nathaniel Holden '25 Tristan Meyer '27
Aggies Luke Melvin '27 Ennis Piepkorn '26
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Nikita Swatek '25 Sriskandha Kandimalla '25
Anteaters Arin Bekem '26 Audrey Whitney '26
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Conrad Kistler '26 Nitsa Thotz '26
Bruins Orion Spatafora '25 Jonah Sullivan '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Brendan O'Connor '27 Thomas Murphy '26
Tritons Mitchel Sanford '28 Izzy De Fontaine '28
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Jonah Eckerman '27 Max Bloom '27
Gauchos Nicholas Shand '27 [1-8] Aidan Mccormick '28 [1-5]
Mia Kotelec '25 [6-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz George Soliman '24 Conor Kim '27
Banana Slugs Blake Roberts '25 [1-8] Vienna Lopez '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Chas Mitchell '26 [5-6]

Conditions — 02/22/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1023.2 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.3 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 10.5 kn
From NE (46°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1023.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 4 kn · NW 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Cal Poly: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cal Poly by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Cal Poly, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →