Rollins College '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.06 (fleet 2.72) | 203 of 328 | +0.09 ± 0.16 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 31–44 (41%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 3 | 19–23 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 3 | 12–21 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 6 graded regattas (75 matches) the record is 31–44 against 27.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+3.9). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | SAISA Open Team Race Championship | skipper | 2.41 | 3.57 | 8–10 | 5.0 | +1.16 | 2.6 | 5% |
| 2026-03-14 | Bud Morrow Open Team Race | skipper | 2.44 | 1.98 | 6–6 | 6.9 | −0.45 | 0.3 | 84% |
| 2026-02-28 | Mendelblatt Open Team Race | skipper | 2.45 | 2.44 | 5–7 | 5.0 | −0.01 | 0.0 | 64% |
| 2025-04-05 | SAISA Open Team Race Champs | skipper | 2.16 | 2.66 | 3–6 | 2.4 | +0.50 | 0.2 | 45% |
| 2025-03-01 | The Mendelblatt Team Race | skipper | 2.04 | 1.63 | 2–7 | 2.4 | −0.41 | 0.1 | 82% |
| 2025-02-15 | Lake Virginia Team Race | skipper | 1.82 | 2.36 | 7–8 | 5.4 | +0.53 | 0.6 | 25% |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Milo Miller |  Old Dominion University |
'27 |
| ISSA | Milo Miller |  Good Hope County Day School |
'23 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
