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SAISA Fall Open Champs, Robert L. Armstrong Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 38 41 79
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 49 73 122
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 105 37 142
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 55 121 176
5 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 133 74 207
6 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 129 92 221
7 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 85 161 246
8 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 112 134 246
9 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 126 144 270
10 Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 169 123 292
11 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 142 154 296
12 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 193 181 374
13 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 191 192 383
14 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 152 243 395
15 Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 247 149 396
16 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 195 211 406
17 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 216 206 422
18 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 230 226 456
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 1 2 1 2 6 1 1 3 1 2 1 5 8 2 38 Noah Zittrer '26
Clara Murphy '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 4 1 2 1 9 3 2 5 3 1 6 3 4 4 49 Owen Bannasch '26 [1-15]
Ella Wisely '27 [1-7]
Grayson Tella '26 [8-9]
Kayla Putzke '24 [10-15]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 14 2 4 3 6 4 2 3 2 4 4 4 1 1 1 55 Jordan Vieira '28
Eloise Weiss '27
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 5 3 4 5 2 5 8 1 11 3 2 7 5 DSQ 85 Steven Hardee '26
Isaac Van Buren '28
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 16 11 7 5 3 10 7 5 4 12 6 5 4 2 8 105 Humberto Porrata '25
Dana Aljasir '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 6 6 10 4 7 13 10 11 2 7 3 6 14 7 112 Benjamin Usher '27
Shea Hoffacker '27
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 12 7 5 7 14 1 14 6 9 5 13 10 11 6 6 126 Mitchell Hnatt '28
Bryson Eaton '28
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 15 3 9 8 11 8 6 7 7 7 14 17 2 10 5 129 Kenneth Buck '26 [1-15]
Alana Hantz '27 [1-6]
Luke Pennisi '28 [7-15]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 3 10 8 9 7 16 10 4 6 6 15 9 9 9 12 133 Hilton Kamps '25 [1-6, 13-15]
Shay Bridge '28 [7-12]
Jane Mckenzie '27 [1-6, 13-15]
Cameron Kinnear '28 [7-12]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 4 9 10 6 8 17 11 11 8 17 9 8 14 7 3 142 Carter Weatherilt '28
Avery Harris '25
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 7 14 14 13 9 12 4 14 14 9 5 7 8 12 10 152 Brendan Smucker '25
Thomas Mccormack Iii '25
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 9 15 12 11 12 15 8 13 13 8 10 14 15 3 11 169 Johnny Perkins '25
Emma Bellotte '27
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 10 12 15 16 10 5 16 17 15 13 12 13 13 15 9 191 Ian Hoogenboom '25
Jack Wigmore '27
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 8 8 11 18 DSQ 11 9 15 12 10 17 15 10 17 13 193 Julian Larsen '26
Brianna Nardelli '25
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 17 13 13 12 16 13 12 9 10 14 8 16 17 11 14 195 Noah Jost '27 [1-15]
Sarina Schmoyer '27 [1-5]
Kathleen Hale '26 [6-15]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 13 17 16 15 15 3 15 16 16 15 11 18 16 13 17 216 Zechariah Frantz '25
Andrew Lam '26
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 11 18 17 17 17 14 17 12 17 16 16 12 12 18 16 230 Alex Bagnoni '27 [1-4, 8-15]
John Kelley '28 [5-7]
John Kelley '28 [1-4, 8-15]
Annika Kaelin '28 [5-7]
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 18 16 18 14 13 18 18 18 18 18 18 11 18 16 15 247 Nathan Hjort '27
Priscilla Foster '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 2 1 2 3 1 2 5 2 1 4 2 2 2 6 37 Kay Brunsvold '25
Kalea Woodard '24
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 8 1 3 1 4 7 1 1 3 3 3 1 3 1 1 41 Benjamin Dufour '26
Andrea Melnik '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 5 12 2 3 2 2 10 4 7 10 6 3 1 3 3 73 Patrick Igoe '26 [1-15]
Cheyenne Dooley '28 [1-6]
Kayla Putzke '24 [7]
Joshua Knowles '26 [8-9]
Reagan Carris '26 [10-15]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 4 3 6 8 5 4 8 3 5 2 1 12 7 4 2 74 Milo Miller '27 [1-15]
Sam Frushone '27 [1-3, 10-12]
Julia Scott '27 [4-9]
Isabel Brenner '28 [13-15]
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 1 10 4 7 1 BKD 7 11 1 5 8 11 5 8 7 92 Andrew Tollefson '26 [1-15]
Luke Pennisi '28 [1-6]
Henry Parker '26 [7-15]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 6 5 DSQ 14 7 DNF 9 6 4 4 5 4 4 10 5 121 Pj Rodrigues '28 [1-15]
Avery Guck '28 [1-6, 8-15]
Lily Schwartz '25 [7]
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 10 6 13 4 6 5 6 7 9 18 7 10 6 7 9 123 Quinn Healey '27
Yolanda Fan '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 7 9 5 10 12 3 11 9 13 8 14 5 8 5 15 134 Robert Chase '26 [1-4]
Ryan Brelage '28 [5-15]
Annika Milstien '25 [1-4]
Olivia Soucy '28 [5-8, 11-13]
Marc Hauenstein '27 [9-10, 14-15]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 12 8 11 12 17 6 4 2 11 7 13 9 9 13 10 144 Nilah Miller '25
Sam Heighway '25
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 3 7 7 5 10 15 12 14 14 6 10 6 17 15 8 149 Dawson Kohl '27 [1-15]
Emma Kilcollins '27 [1-6]
Mason Oleniczak '28 [7-15]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 9 11 9 11 11 9 5 8 10 11 9 8 15 16 12 154 Brady Parks '25 [1-5]
Niah Ford '26 [6-15]
Niah Ford '26 [1-5]
Matthew Aguilera '26 [6-15]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 11 4 10 6 9 8 17 16 6 13 12 17 10 11 11 161 Nathan Long '28 [1-3]
Brendan Jay '27 [4-6, 13-15]
David Webb '28 [7-9]
Oliver West '27 [10-12]
James Hopkins '27 [1-4, 9-15]
Dan Elling '28 [5-8]
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 13 17 8 17 15 12 3 10 8 15 11 7 12 17 16 181 Charlie Eckert '27
Emma Salomon '27
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 16 13 14 9 16 14 16 13 18 9 2 18 18 12 4 192 Zhaohui Harry Ding '28
William Robertson '25
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 15 14 17 15 13 13 15 15 12 17 15 14 11 6 14 206 Mason Howell '28 [1-15]
Paige Arneson '25 [1-5]
Suhas Medidi '26 [6-15]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 14 16 12 16 14 17 13 12 15 12 16 16 16 9 13 211 Emma Gumny '28 [1-6, 11-13]
May Proctor '27 [7-10, 14-15]
Kathleen Hale '26 [1-5]
May Proctor '27 [6, 11-13]
Sarina Schmoyer '27 [7-10, 14-15]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 17 18 16 18 8 10 14 18 16 14 17 15 14 14 17 226 Kaitlyn Bagnoni '25 [1-9]
Annika Kaelin '28 [10-15]
Will Bilowz '28 [1-12]
Kaitlyn Bagnoni '25 [13-15]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 18 15 15 13 18 16 18 17 17 16 18 13 13 18 18 243 William Meade '27
Aaron Lukowski '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars222111181818171717161616
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs131313141414151515161616171717
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers111222333444555
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils333444555666777
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons444333222111181818
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles555666777888999
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles777888999101010111111
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers666555444333222
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets888777666555444
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins999101010111111121212131313
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes151515161616171717181818111
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels161616151515141414131313121212
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack101010999888777666
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish111111121212131313141414151515
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars121212111111101010999888
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls171717181818111222333
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights141414131313121212111111101010
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons181818171717161616151515141414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars222111181818171717161616
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs131313141414151515161616171717
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers111222333444555
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils333444555666777
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons444333222111181818
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles555666777888999
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles777888999101010111111
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers666555444333222
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets888777666555444
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins999101010111111121212131313
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes151515161616171717181818111
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels161616151515141414131313121212
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack101010999888777666
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish111111121212131313141414151515
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars121212111111101010999888
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls171717181818111222333
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights141414131313121212111111101010
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons181818171717161616151515141414
School / Team SkipperCrew
Clemson University Clemson University Mitchell Hnatt '28 Bryson Eaton '28
Tigers Nilah Miller '25 Sam Heighway '25
College of Charleston College of Charleston Noah Zittrer '26 Clara Murphy '27
Cougars Benjamin Dufour '26 Andrea Melnik '27
Duke University Duke University Ian Hoogenboom '25 Jack Wigmore '27
Blue Devils Zhaohui Harry Ding '28 William Robertson '25
Eckerd College Eckerd College Jordan Vieira '28 Eloise Weiss '27
Tritons Pj Rodrigues '28 [1-15] Avery Guck '28 [1-6, 8-15]
Lily Schwartz '25 [7]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Zechariah Frantz '25 Andrew Lam '26
Eagles Mason Howell '28 [1-15] Paige Arneson '25 [1-5]
Suhas Medidi '26 [6-15]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Brendan Smucker '25 Thomas Mccormack Iii '25
Panthers William Meade '27 Aaron Lukowski '28
Florida State University Florida State University Carter Weatherilt '28 Avery Harris '25
Seminoles Brady Parks '25 [1-5]
Niah Ford '26 [6-15]		 Niah Ford '26 [1-5]
Matthew Aguilera '26 [6-15]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Alex Bagnoni '27 [1-4, 8-15]
John Kelley '28 [5-7]		 John Kelley '28 [1-4, 8-15]
Annika Kaelin '28 [5-7]
Yellow Jackets Kaitlyn Bagnoni '25 [1-9]
Annika Kaelin '28 [10-15]		 Will Bilowz '28 [1-12]
Kaitlyn Bagnoni '25 [13-15]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Owen Bannasch '26 [1-15] Ella Wisely '27 [1-7]
Grayson Tella '26 [8-9]
Kayla Putzke '24 [10-15]
Fins Patrick Igoe '26 [1-15] Cheyenne Dooley '28 [1-6]
Kayla Putzke '24 [7]
Joshua Knowles '26 [8-9]
Reagan Carris '26 [10-15]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Benjamin Usher '27 Shea Hoffacker '27
Wolfpack Robert Chase '26 [1-4]
Ryan Brelage '28 [5-15]		 Annika Milstien '25 [1-4]
Olivia Soucy '28 [5-8, 11-13]
Marc Hauenstein '27 [9-10, 14-15]
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Nathan Hjort '27 Priscilla Foster '27
Sailfish Dawson Kohl '27 [1-15] Emma Kilcollins '27 [1-6]
Mason Oleniczak '28 [7-15]
Rollins College Rollins College Hilton Kamps '25 [1-6, 13-15]
Shay Bridge '28 [7-12]		 Jane Mckenzie '27 [1-6, 13-15]
Cameron Kinnear '28 [7-12]
Tars Milo Miller '27 [1-15] Sam Frushone '27 [1-3, 10-12]
Julia Scott '27 [4-9]
Isabel Brenner '28 [13-15]
The Citadel The Citadel Kenneth Buck '26 [1-15] Alana Hantz '27 [1-6]
Luke Pennisi '28 [7-15]
Bulldogs Andrew Tollefson '26 [1-15] Luke Pennisi '28 [1-6]
Henry Parker '26 [7-15]
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Julian Larsen '26 Brianna Nardelli '25
Knights Charlie Eckert '27 Emma Salomon '27
University of Miami University of Miami Steven Hardee '26 Isaac Van Buren '28
Hurricanes Nathan Long '28 [1-3]
Brendan Jay '27 [4-6, 13-15]
David Webb '28 [7-9]
Oliver West '27 [10-12]		 James Hopkins '27 [1-4, 9-15]
Dan Elling '28 [5-8]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Noah Jost '27 [1-15] Sarina Schmoyer '27 [1-5]
Kathleen Hale '26 [6-15]
Tar Heels Emma Gumny '28 [1-6, 11-13]
May Proctor '27 [7-10, 14-15]		 Kathleen Hale '26 [1-5]
May Proctor '27 [6, 11-13]
Sarina Schmoyer '27 [7-10, 14-15]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Humberto Porrata '25 Dana Aljasir '27
Bulls Kay Brunsvold '25 Kalea Woodard '24
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Johnny Perkins '25 Emma Bellotte '27
Demon Deacons Quinn Healey '27 Yolanda Fan '27

Conditions — 10/26/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1022.4 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 11.1 kn
From WSW (258°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover4% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1022.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn · E 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.06)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →