SAISA Top 9 Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 130
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 140
3 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 165
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 242
5 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 254
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 261
7 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 263
8 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 306
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 3 2 1 1 3 3 10 1 1 7 4 1 4 41 Noah Zittrer '26
Clara Murphy '27
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 2 3 2 5 4 4 3 9 2 2 3 3 1 43 Atlee Kohl '25
Briana Hummel '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 1 1 3 3 2 7 DSQ 8 3 3 1 13 2 64 Owen Bannasch '26
Ella Wisely '27
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles A 4 8 5 2 9 1 6 6 11 1 10 2 13 78 Peter Foley '26 [1-13]
Niah Ford '26 [1-9]
Brady Parks '25 [10-13]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 13 6 8 12 1 5 7 11 4 4 2 4 10 87 Aidan Dennis '25
Ana Stewart '27
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 14 7 7 7 7 8 2 7 8 6 BKD 6 12 99 Jonnie Ciffolillo '27
Aidan Iaconis '26
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 5 13 4 4 13 10 12 5 5 5 8 5 11 100 Jordan Vieira '28
Eloise Weiss '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 7 5 9 8 8 6 5 2 12 13 6 15 5 101 Patrick Igoe '26 [1-12]
Cole Schweda '27 [13]
Reagan Carris '26 [1-12]
Kayla Putzke '24 [13]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 15 11 14 6 5 2 1 12 6 11 5 10 15 113 Robert Chase '26 [1-13]
Marc Hauenstein '27 [1-3]
Annika Milstien '25 [4-13]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 8 4 10 14 12 15 9 15 10 8 7 8 3 123 Humberto Porrata '25 [1-5, 10-13]
Efe Guder '28 [6-9]
Melissa Janes '26 [1-5, 10-13]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 6 9 13 13 10 14 15 4 9 10 14 7 16 140 Emma Shakespeare '24 [1-6, 10-12]
Grace Jones '28 [7-9]
Kalea Woodard '24 [13]
Sara Menesale '28 [1-5, 10-12]
Dana Aljasir '27 [6-9, 13]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars A 16 12 12 15 15 9 4 3 14 15 12 9 6 142 Hilton Kamps '25
Jane Mckenzie '27
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 10 10 11 11 6 16 11 10 13 12 13 12 7 142 Pj Rodrigues '28
Avery Guck '28
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 12 15 6 10 14 11 13 16 7 9 15 11 9 148 Benjamin Usher '27
Jane Caroline Minchew '25
Rollins College Rollins College Tars B 11 14 15 9 16 12 8 14 16 14 11 16 8 164 Milo Miller '27 [1-3, 7-9, 13]
Shay Bridge '28 [4-6, 10-12]
Cameron Kinnear '28 [1-3, 7-9, 13]
Sam Frushone '27 [4-6, 10-12]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles B 9 16 16 16 11 13 14 13 15 16 9 14 14 176 Brady Parks '25 [1-3]
Carter Weatherilt '28 [4-13]
Avery Harris '25 [1-3]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars1112223334445
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons22211116161615151514
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles3334445556667
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins44433322211116
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes77788899910101011
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack5556667778889
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars6665554443332
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls8887776665554

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars99910101011111112121213
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1010109998887776
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles11111112121213131314141415
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins1212121111111010109998
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1515151616161112223
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack1313131414141515151616161
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars14141413131312121211111110
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls16161615151514141413131312
School / Team SkipperCrew
College of Charleston College of Charleston Noah Zittrer '26 Clara Murphy '27
Cougars Jonnie Ciffolillo '27 Aidan Iaconis '26
Eckerd College Eckerd College Jordan Vieira '28 Eloise Weiss '27
Tritons Pj Rodrigues '28 Avery Guck '28
Florida State University Florida State University Peter Foley '26 [1-13] Niah Ford '26 [1-9]
Brady Parks '25 [10-13]
Seminoles Brady Parks '25 [1-3]
Carter Weatherilt '28 [4-13]
Avery Harris '25 [1-3]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Owen Bannasch '26 Ella Wisely '27
Fins Patrick Igoe '26 [1-12]
Cole Schweda '27 [13]
Reagan Carris '26 [1-12]
Kayla Putzke '24 [13]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Benjamin Usher '27 Jane Caroline Minchew '25
Wolfpack Robert Chase '26 [1-13] Marc Hauenstein '27 [1-3]
Annika Milstien '25 [4-13]
Rollins College Rollins College Hilton Kamps '25 Jane Mckenzie '27
Tars Milo Miller '27 [1-3, 7-9, 13]
Shay Bridge '28 [4-6, 10-12]
Cameron Kinnear '28 [1-3, 7-9, 13]
Sam Frushone '27 [4-6, 10-12]
University of Miami University of Miami Atlee Kohl '25 Briana Hummel '27
Hurricanes Aidan Dennis '25 Ana Stewart '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Emma Shakespeare '24 [1-6, 10-12]
Grace Jones '28 [7-9]
Kalea Woodard '24 [13]
Sara Menesale '28 [1-5, 10-12]
Dana Aljasir '27 [6-9, 13]
Bulls Humberto Porrata '25 [1-5, 10-13]
Efe Guder '28 [6-9]
Melissa Janes '26 [1-5, 10-13]

Conditions — 09/07/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1011.2 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 78°F
Feels like 95°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.6 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 13.8 kn
From S (171°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover61% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1011.2 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn · S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at South Florida: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.14 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →