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Halloween Regatta at PYC

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 18 23 41
2 Black River Public School Black River Public School Varsity 37 10 47
3 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black Mixed 39 47 86
4 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity 49 48 97
5 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Green 25 75 100
6 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Monster Mash 25 75 100
7 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 75 32 107
8 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 59 49 108
9 Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School GRC-SC Mixed 32 87 119
10 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 69 61 130
11 Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen 59 75 134
12 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 79 73 152
13 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue-mixed 124 31 155
14 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 78 100 178
15 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator 56 125 181
16 Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks 115 78 193
17 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) 125 75 200
18 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Gold 78 128 206
19 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Ghosts 121 104 225
20 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Pumpkins 87 138 225
21 Holland High School Holland High School Mixed 83 143 226
22 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Mixed 120 116 236
23 Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic Skeleton Crew Mixed 146 96 242
24 Traverse City West Traverse City West Mixed 130 116 246
25 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Skeletons 154 95 249
26 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Orange-mixed 148 115 263
27 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Sailing Pioneers 152 143 295
28 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Bats 152 164 316
29 Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook White 168 157 325
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 2 2 6 3 1 4 18 Noah Wolters '19
Bryson Hough '21
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Green 1 6 5 4 2 7 25 Henry Gonzalez '21
Madison Fan '21
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Monster Mash 6 5 4 2 3 5 25 Luuk Schmit '18
Frank Bachulis '22
Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School GRC-SC Mixed 8 3 7 7 5 2 32 Samuel Boehle '19 [1-6]
Ben Walters '20 [1-2]
Daniel Betten '20 [3-6]
Black River Public School Black River Public School Varsity 4 1 1 19 11 1 37 Eden Nykamp '21
Mack Timmer '19
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black Mixed 3 8 2 5 12 9 39 Zoe Czadzeck '20
Abby Airo '20
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity 9 14 9 1 10 6 49 Ben Lilly '18
Hazel Mcgovern '21
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator 5 16 13 13 6 3 56 Gabe Maday '22
No Show
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 7 7 8 15 8 14 59 Ryan Peterson '20
Ryan Navarre '19
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen RDG 12 3 6 17 11 59 John Huskin '18 [1-6]
Shay Gualdoni '21 [1-2]
Teddy Prokop '19 [3-4]
Mclellan '19 [5-6]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 10 9 15 18 4 13 69 Matthew Elliott '20
Bryce Vandenavond '19
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 11 11 19 10 7 17 75 Dominic Dulac '20
Carly Orhan '19
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 12 17 11 14 14 10 78 Siri Schantz '19
Lena Olsen '22
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Gold 13 13 12 17 15 8 78 Ajay Provost '19
Amelia Burke '18
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 16 4 17 9 21 12 79 Ashley Strong '20
Eva Paschke '20
Holland High School Holland High School Mixed 17 10 10 11 20 15 83 Blake Vander Kuyl '18 [1-6]
Alden Gort '22 [1-4]
Paloma Havlik '20 [5-6]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Pumpkins 19 18 14 8 9 19 87 Isabel Dziuba '19
Ryan Patterson '19
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks 20 21 22 20 16 16 115 Megan O'Gorman '18
Jacki Spiegel '18
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Mixed 26 19 18 23 13 21 120 Zoe Hoctor '21
Vivien Strange '21
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Ghosts 14 25 21 12 19 DNF 121 Nate Marsden '19
Meghan Guo '19
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue-mixed DNS 20 16 22 18 18 124 Jon Crowe '18
Teresa Nunez '19
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) 15 22 25 16 25 22 125 Jacob Schaupeter '21
Fritz Woerner '20
Traverse City West Traverse City West Mixed 22 15 20 RDG 22 DNF 130 Nic Zenner '21
Liam Clone '20
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic Skeleton Crew Mixed 24 24 24 25 24 25 146 Drew Kovalchik '19
Kyle Clark '21
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Orange-mixed 21 27 26 27 23 24 148 Madison Paulus '20
Lauren Scolari '20
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Bats 23 28 23 26 29 23 152 Lukas Denner '18 [1-6]
David Wang '20 [1-4]
Hans Liu '19 [5-6]
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Sailing Pioneers 25 26 DNF 24 27 20 152 Lilly Kate Rogers '19
Katherine Lykins '19
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Skeletons 18 23 DNF DNS 26 27 154 Ethan Lee '19
Henry Ashcraft '21
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook White 27 29 DNF 28 28 26 168 Bonnie Zhu '19
Meghan Foley '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Black River Public School Black River Public School Varsity 3 1 1 2 2 1 10 Jack Hemmelgarn '19
Christopher Heideman '20
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 2 4 RDG 7 1 5 23 Harrison George '18
Charlie Navarre '21
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue-mixed 5 3 2 1 6 14 31 Owen Bannasch '22
Jack Sielicki '18
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue 1 2 13 3 3 10 32 Emma Turner '19
Luc Walz '20
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black Mixed 7 8 8 13 8 3 47 Claire Deblanc '20 [1-6]
Grace Kucharski '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Sarah Colvin '23 [3-4]
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity 4 6 3 8 15 12 48 Caroline Grin '21
Annika Lampen '21
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Mixed 9 5 RDG 14 9 4 49 Zak Colvin '19
Griffin Phares '21
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 15 16 4 5 13 8 61 Jake Elsen '21 [1-2]
Jack Bull '19 [3-6]
Jack Turpen '21 [1-2]
Jake Elsen '21 [3-6]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 13 13 10 11 7 19 73 Ryan Hexter '21
Lucas Bellamy '20
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Monster Mash 6 12 14 10 12 21 75 Connagh Rowley '18 [1-6]
Chow Li '21 [1-2]
Jay Hannah '21 [3-6]
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen 10 9 9 6 16 25 75 Daniel Ament '21 [1-6]
Shay Gualdoni '21 [1-2, 5-6]
John Godoshian '18 [3-4]
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Green 11 11 17 9 14 13 75 Adrian Stone '20
Minfei Shen '20
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed) 14 7 5 15 18 16 75 Christina Thomas '21
Cullen O'Brien '22
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks 21 17 7 4 22 7 78 Jakob Kuipers '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Emily Gilson '18 [3-4]
Emily Gilson '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Gilson Ryan '21 [3-4]
Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School GRC-SC Mixed 20 19 12 17 10 9 87 Owen Steger '21 [1-6]
Matthew Mauren '20 [1-2]
Ben Walters '20 [3-4]
Anthony Betten '22 [5-6]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Skeletons 27 28 6 12 11 11 95 Bashar Fakhoury '22 [1-4]
Brian Liu '18 [5-6]
Liam Hounsell '23 [1-4]
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic Skeleton Crew Mixed 19 20 24 22 5 6 96 Anthony Dziuba '21 [1-6]
Maddie Yang '19 [1-2]
Talena Monasmith '22 [3-4]
Makenna Atkins '21 [5-6]
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mixed 12 15 20 16 19 18 100 Cameron Friedauer '20
Emma Friedauer '23
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Ghosts 8 18 15 18 23 22 104 Kaya Donat '20
Michael Williams '20
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Orange-mixed 25 10 11 19 27 23 115 Phillip Chumiecki '22
Briana Licari '18
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Mixed 22 23 16 20 20 15 116 Marshall Wellejus '22
Donovan Decoster '22
Traverse City West Traverse City West Mixed 26 24 DNF DNS 4 2 116 Bryce Wilmoth '20
Jacob Varner '21
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator 16 21 21 21 26 20 125 Annie Myler '20
Mary Frances Myler '18
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Gold 24 14 RDG 25 17 RAF 128 Caelan Wright '19
Drew Snyder '19
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Pumpkins 17 22 23 28 21 27 138 Dwight Ellis '20
Walter Paliga '22
Holland High School Holland High School Mixed 18 25 22 26 28 24 143 Duncan Elmer '21 [1-2, 4]
Greta Traver '23 [3, 5-6]
Greta Traver '23 [1-2, 4]
Duncan Elmer '21 [3]
Seth Weller '19 [5-6]
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Sailing Pioneers 23 26 25 27 25 17 143 Simon Rockwell '20
Ella Donnelly '21
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook White 28 27 19 23 RAF RAF 157 Susanna Wu '19
Lauren Winegarden '20
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Bats DNS DNS DNS 24 24 26 164 Anna Russo '20
Noah Stillman '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Varsity113355
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks224466
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue-mixed335577
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Orange-mixed446688
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Green557799
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook White66881010
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Ghosts77991111
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Bats9911111313
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Monster Mash101012121414
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Skeletons8810101212
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Sailing Pioneers121214141616
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity111113131515
Grand Rapids Christian High SchoolGrand Rapids Christian High School GRC-SC Mixed131315151717
Grosse Pointe North High SchoolGrosse Pointe North High School Norsemen141416161818
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue151517171919
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold161618182020
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed)171719192121
Holland High SchoolHolland High School Mixed181820202323
Lansing CatholicLansing Catholic Skeleton Crew Mixed191921212424
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mixed202023234040
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Black Mixed232340404545
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed242443434646
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed212124244343
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator404045454747
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Mixed434346464949
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central Gold4545474711
Traverse City WestTraverse City West Mixed4646494922
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity47471133
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Pumpkins49492244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Varsity224466
Bloomfield Hills High SchoolBloomfield Hills High School Black Hawks335577
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue-mixed446688
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Orange-mixed557799
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Green66881010
Cranbrook KingswoodCranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook White77991111
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Ghosts8810101212
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Bats101012121414
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Monster Mash111113131515
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Skeletons9911111313
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Sailing Pioneers131315151717
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity121214141616
Grand Rapids Christian High SchoolGrand Rapids Christian High School GRC-SC Mixed141416161818
Grosse Pointe North High SchoolGrosse Pointe North High School Norsemen151517171919
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue161618182020
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold171719192121
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White (Mixed)181820202323
Holland High SchoolHolland High School Mixed191921212424
Lansing CatholicLansing Catholic Skeleton Crew Mixed202023234040
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mixed212124244343
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Black Mixed242443434646
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed404045454747
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red Mixed232340404545
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City St Francis Gladiator434346464949
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Mixed4545474711
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central Gold4646494922
Traverse City WestTraverse City West Mixed47471133
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity49492244
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Pumpkins113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Black River Public School Black River Public School Eden Nykamp '21 Mack Timmer '19
Varsity Jack Hemmelgarn '19 Christopher Heideman '20
Bloomfield Hills High School Bloomfield Hills High School Megan O'Gorman '18 Jacki Spiegel '18
Black Hawks Jakob Kuipers '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Emily Gilson '18 [3-4]		 Emily Gilson '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Gilson Ryan '21 [3-4]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Jon Crowe '18 Teresa Nunez '19
BRMS Blue-mixed Owen Bannasch '22 Jack Sielicki '18
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Madison Paulus '20 Lauren Scolari '20
BRMS Orange-mixed Phillip Chumiecki '22 Briana Licari '18
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Henry Gonzalez '21 Madison Fan '21
Cranbrook Green Adrian Stone '20 Minfei Shen '20
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood Bonnie Zhu '19 Meghan Foley '18
Cranbrook White Susanna Wu '19 Lauren Winegarden '20
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Nate Marsden '19 Meghan Guo '19
Ghosts Kaya Donat '20 Michael Williams '20
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Lukas Denner '18 [1-6] David Wang '20 [1-4]
Hans Liu '19 [5-6]
MIXED Bats Anna Russo '20 Noah Stillman '20
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Luuk Schmit '18 Frank Bachulis '22
MIXED Monster Mash Connagh Rowley '18 [1-6] Chow Li '21 [1-2]
Jay Hannah '21 [3-6]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Ethan Lee '19 Henry Ashcraft '21
MIXED Skeletons Bashar Fakhoury '22 [1-4]
Brian Liu '18 [5-6]		 Liam Hounsell '23 [1-4]
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Lilly Kate Rogers '19 Katherine Lykins '19
EGR Sailing Pioneers Simon Rockwell '20 Ella Donnelly '21
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Ben Lilly '18 Hazel Mcgovern '21
EGR Varsity Caroline Grin '21 Annika Lampen '21
Grand Rapids Christian High School Grand Rapids Christian High School Samuel Boehle '19 [1-6] Ben Walters '20 [1-2]
Daniel Betten '20 [3-6]
GRC-SC Mixed Owen Steger '21 [1-6] Matthew Mauren '20 [1-2]
Ben Walters '20 [3-4]
Anthony Betten '22 [5-6]
Grosse Pointe North High School Grosse Pointe North High School John Huskin '18 [1-6] Shay Gualdoni '21 [1-2]
Teddy Prokop '19 [3-4]
Mclellan '19 [5-6]
Norsemen Daniel Ament '21 [1-6] Shay Gualdoni '21 [1-2, 5-6]
John Godoshian '18 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Dominic Dulac '20 Carly Orhan '19
Blue Emma Turner '19 Luc Walz '20
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Ashley Strong '20 Eva Paschke '20
Gold Ryan Hexter '21 Lucas Bellamy '20
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Jacob Schaupeter '21 Fritz Woerner '20
White (Mixed) Christina Thomas '21 Cullen O'Brien '22
Holland High School Holland High School Blake Vander Kuyl '18 [1-6] Alden Gort '22 [1-4]
Paloma Havlik '20 [5-6]
Mixed Duncan Elmer '21 [1-2, 4]
Greta Traver '23 [3, 5-6]		 Greta Traver '23 [1-2, 4]
Duncan Elmer '21 [3]
Seth Weller '19 [5-6]
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic Drew Kovalchik '19 Kyle Clark '21
Skeleton Crew Mixed Anthony Dziuba '21 [1-6] Maddie Yang '19 [1-2]
Talena Monasmith '22 [3-4]
Makenna Atkins '21 [5-6]
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Siri Schantz '19 Lena Olsen '22
Mixed Cameron Friedauer '20 Emma Friedauer '23
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Zoe Czadzeck '20 Abby Airo '20
Black Mixed Claire Deblanc '20 [1-6] Grace Kucharski '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Sarah Colvin '23 [3-4]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Noah Wolters '19 Bryson Hough '21
Grey Mixed Harrison George '18 Charlie Navarre '21
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Ryan Peterson '20 Ryan Navarre '19
Red Mixed Zak Colvin '19 Griffin Phares '21
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City Gabe Maday '22 No Show
St Francis Gladiator Annie Myler '20 Mary Frances Myler '18
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Zoe Hoctor '21 Vivien Strange '21
Mixed Marshall Wellejus '22 Donovan Decoster '22
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Ajay Provost '19 Amelia Burke '18
Gold Caelan Wright '19 Drew Snyder '19
Traverse City West Traverse City West Nic Zenner '21 Liam Clone '20
Mixed Bryce Wilmoth '20 Jacob Varner '21
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Matthew Elliott '20 Bryce Vandenavond '19
Lakers Varsity Jake Elsen '21 [1-2]
Jack Bull '19 [3-6]		 Jack Turpen '21 [1-2]
Jake Elsen '21 [3-6]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Isabel Dziuba '19 Ryan Patterson '19
MIXED Pumpkins Dwight Ellis '20 Walter Paliga '22

Conditions — 10/28/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1009.9 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 44°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From WSW (236°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover81% Sunshine5.0 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1009.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Bloomfield Hills/Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.17)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.25 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 15% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bloomfield Hills/Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Bloomfield Hills/Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →